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Hogsbo W vs Sodertalje W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-62
14-14 32-17 16-19 24-12
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game69.8
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Sodertalje W
Sweden
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game65.8
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W
27 Feb 2027
HOGS v SODE
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
HOGS97
SODE101
22 Nov 2025
HOGS61
SODE53
23 Nov 2024
HOGS86
SODE62
02 Dec 2023
HOGS51
SODE82
08 Oct 2022
HOGS65
SODE103
27 Dec 2021
HOGS69
SODE64
04 Nov 2020
HOGS94
SODE60
27 Nov 2019
HOGS82
SODE62
23 Feb 2019
HOGS64
SODE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#5
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
no box
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
54avg 70
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 70
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 70
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
106-71
106
71
+35
106avg 70
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-40
86
40
+46
90avg 70
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
50avg 70
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
102-55
102
55
+47
104avg 70
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
108-70
108
70
+38
112avg 70
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 70
A17/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
25-25
20-24
18-17
14-17
17-20
14-15
27-15
14-24
21-19
14-15
24-19
16-22
18-20
17-19
14-23
26-19
20-26
29-15
31-11
21-14
16-7
21-14
28-5
9-24
19-19
18-33
15-21
29-13
30-15
27-16
16-11
24-14
25-16
34-20
25-20
18-14
22-21
20-22
13-29
157.5Avg total
83.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.369.8159.2+19.567%
Season at home (3)91.779.3171.0+12.367%
Season away (3)87.060.3147.3+26.767%
Last 10 (10)83.374.2157.5+9.150%
Last 5 (5)86.069.6155.6+16.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.781.9146.6-17.29%
vs Similar (3)71.383.3154.7-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.364.2150.5+22.188%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
83avg 85
H13/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
75-53
75
53
+22
no box
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
79avg 85
H23/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
73-67
73
67
+6
78avg 85
A25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 85
H28/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
H29/09
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
82-48
82
48
+34
89avg 85
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
89-50
89
50
+39
94avg 85
H13/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
66avg 85
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
73-64
73
64
+9
76avg 85
A16/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
13-21
22-13
23-18
24-14
16-14
16-13
19-12
19-21
24-11
15-21
24-20
18-21
24-14
19-17
12-15
19-16
23-26
16-19
23-11
13-22
10-21
14-19
22-19
23-13
23-8
18-12
18-15
27-4
23-17
24-14
15-15
20-36
29-16
16-19
14-15
11-22
24-19
15-7
23-16
144.0Avg total
77.9Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.465.8142.2+10.660%
Season at home (2)74.065.5139.5+8.550%
Season away (3)78.066.0144.0+12.067%
Last 10 (10)77.966.1144.0+11.880%
Last 5 (5)76.465.8142.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)69.083.5152.5-14.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)85.461.9147.3+23.493%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
Hogsbo WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
59-28
59
28
+31
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/11
Basketligan W
76.0Avg total
39.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.372.0+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.334.673.9+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)35.934.170.0+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.176.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.631.474.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.937.868.7-6.99%-
vs Similar (3)41.337.779.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.631.372.9+10.281%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H23/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H29/09
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
46-21
46
21
+25
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H13/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A16/11
Basketligan W
76.2Avg total
41.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.431.774.1+10.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.330.473.7+12.980%-
Last 30 away (15)41.532.974.4+8.580%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.176.2+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.676.2+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.047.583.5-11.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)42.930.573.4+12.386%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.1
51.4%
46.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.4
32.8%
31.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
71.3%12.9
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.9
51.6%
46.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.98.7
41.6%
31.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.111.3
74.8%
71.3%11.3
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LWWLWWLLWL
Sodertalje W
WLWWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#5
+19.8
Net rating
+24.0
105.5
Offensive rating
111.1
85.7
Defensive rating
87.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
42.3%
Opp. effective FG%
41.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
41.6%
66.7%
Assist %
72.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 111.1Defence85.7 · 87.1Shooting50.5% · 55.7%3-point %32.8% · 41.6%Ball care17.3% · 19.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 32.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo W wins
6
Sodertalje W wins
DateGameScore
28/02/24Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W79-59
02/12/23Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W51-82
15/03/23Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W121-55
08/10/22Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W65-103
27/12/21Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W69-64
05/12/21Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W68-61
10/01/21Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W104-74
04/11/20Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W94-60
27/11/19Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W82-62
29/09/19Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W63-68
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ANorrkoping W73-86
02/11/24HOstersund W108-70
19/10/24AVisby W102-55
12/10/24HLulea W61-97
06/10/24AUppsala W86-40
28/09/24HAlvik W106-71
07/04/24ANorrkoping W65-84
05/04/24HNorrkoping W73-77
03/04/24ANorrkoping W72-67
23/03/24HOstersund W87-95 OT
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ALund W73-64
21/10/24ANorrkoping W79-86
13/10/24HOstersund W89-50
05/10/24AVisby W82-48
29/09/24HLulea W59-81
28/04/24HLulea W81-72
25/04/24ALulea W73-67
23/04/24HLulea W82-73
16/04/24AUppsala W75-53
13/04/24HUppsala W86-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game89.391.787.0
Allowed / game69.879.360.3
Point differential+19.5+12.3+26.7
Avg total159.2171.0147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game76.474.078.0
Allowed / game65.865.566.0
Point differential+10.6+8.5+12.0
Avg total142.2139.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W770100%95.447.4+48.0
2 Norrkoping W550100%90.263.4+26.8
3 Alvik W54180%81.678.8+2.8
4 Hogsbo W64267%89.369.8+19.5
5 Sodertalje W53260%76.465.8+10.6
6 AIK Basket W42250%83.587.8-4.2
7 Uppsala W63350%59.271.5-12.3
8 Lund W51420%68.687.8-19.2
9 Visby W61517%54.284.7-30.5
10 MarkSjuharad W5050%58.481.6-23.2
11 Ostersund W6060%60.288.2-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W1432162486
Sodertalje W1417191262
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