PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hogsbo W vs Sodertalje W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game86.2
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.3/10
🧊 Cold
3.8/10
Below normal
Sodertalje W
Sweden
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game66.5
SwedenBasketligan WRound 19· Gothia Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W
27 Feb 2027
HOGS v SODE
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
HOGS97
SODE101
22 Nov 2025
HOGS61
SODE53
23 Nov 2024
HOGS86
SODE62
02 Dec 2023
HOGS51
SODE82
08 Oct 2022
HOGS65
SODE103
27 Dec 2021
HOGS69
SODE64
04 Nov 2020
HOGS94
SODE60
27 Nov 2019
HOGS82
SODE62
23 Feb 2019
HOGS64
SODE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 58
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 58
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 58
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
no box
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
50-94
50
94
-44
11avg 58
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 58
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
47avg 58
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
66-94
66
94
-28
50avg 58
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
43-108
43
108
-65
20avg 58
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
8-18
10-21
24-21
15-31
9-19
13-30
10-22
18-23
18-16
8-31
23-19
18-12
16-19
13-28
18-13
17-16
11-23
18-25
19-21
18-25
13-32
11-28
4-18
15-30
16-15
17-15
14-20
25-17
154.4Avg total
68.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.386.2146.5-25.817%
Season at home (3)68.379.7148.0-11.333%
Season away (3)52.392.7145.0-40.30%
Last 10 (10)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 5 (5)62.484.6147.0-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.787.6154.3-20.929%
vs Similar (9)79.080.8159.8-1.844%
vs Weaker (14)86.466.8153.1+19.686%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 68
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
57-95
57
95
-38
42avg 68
A21/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
55avg 68
H24/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
46avg 68
A26/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
53avg 68
A03/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
80-56
80
56
+24
78avg 68
H09/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
64-63
64
63
+1
58avg 68
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
58avg 68
H24/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
62avg 68
A31/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
25-24
24-17
10-18
14-20
13-21
12-26
18-28
16-18
16-25
23-17
9-13
8-25
21-18
18-29
17-22
18-29
18-16
27-18
14-11
16-12
21-10
22-18
21-16
16-11
14-9
16-23
18-20
24-30
14-18
17-15
12-18
14-19
20-17
24-15
20-20
22-11
12-13
20-11
18-19
143.8Avg total
70.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.066.5139.5+6.583%
Season at home (3)73.063.7136.7+9.367%
Season away (3)73.069.3142.3+3.7100%
Last 10 (10)70.173.7143.8-3.660%
Last 5 (5)72.265.0137.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.182.0148.1-15.925%
vs Similar (13)81.672.2153.8+9.477%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.259.3145.6+26.989%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
Hogsbo WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H07/11
Basketligan W
74.6Avg total
30.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.575.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.076.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.975.2-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.444.274.6-13.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.246.474.6-18.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.946.977.7-16.014%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.033.175.1+8.986%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A21/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H24/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A26/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H09/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H07/11
Basketligan W
70.4Avg total
34.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.275.9+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.134.275.2+6.977%-
Last 30 away (17)40.436.076.4+4.459%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.370.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.064.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.840.473.1-7.612%-
vs Similar (13)43.336.279.5+7.177%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.929.173.0+14.8100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
46.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.2
26.0%
30.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
71.1%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.218.8
45.6%
46.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.1
31.0%
30.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
71.1%12.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLLLLLLLW
Sodertalje W
WWLWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#5
-13.8
Net rating
-5.0
74.5
Offensive rating
84.1
88.3
Defensive rating
89.2
41.6%
Effective FG%
45.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.0%
3-point %
31.0%
63.9%
Assist %
65.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence74.5 · 84.1Defence88.3 · 89.2Shooting41.6% · 45.9%3-point %26.0% · 31.0%Ball care20.4% · 16.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hogsbo W wins
7
Sodertalje W wins
DateGameScore
30/03/26Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W91-57
28/03/26Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W97-101 OT
22/11/25Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W61-53
28/09/25Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W91-86 OT
22/02/25Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W70-74
23/11/24Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W86-62
28/02/24Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W79-59
02/12/23Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W51-82
15/03/23Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W121-55
08/10/22Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W65-103
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBrahe W72-67
30/10/26ALulea W43-108
24/10/26HVisby W66-94
18/10/26ANorrkoping W64-76
10/10/26HAlvik W67-78
03/10/26AOnsala W50-94
30/03/26ASodertalje W57-91
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HVisby W72-54
31/10/26AOnsala W78-71
24/10/26HAlvik W67-81
18/10/26ALulea W64-63
09/10/26HAIK Basket W80-56
03/10/26AUppsala W77-74
26/04/26ALulea W64-94
24/04/26HLulea W64-73
21/04/26ALulea W57-95
16/04/26ANorrkoping W78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game60.368.352.3
Allowed / game86.279.792.7
Point differential-25.8-11.3-40.3
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game73.073.073.0
Allowed / game66.563.769.3
Point differential+6.5+9.3+3.7
Avg total139.5136.7142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.