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Hokkaido vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 73-79
22-21 14-18 21-20 16-20
Position#20
Record9-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
Position#23
Record5-26
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game84.4
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale (Hokkaido)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hokkaido v Shinshu
28 Jan 2024
HOKK90
SHIN56
27 Jan 2024
HOKK73
SHIN79
09 Mar 2022
HOKK94
SHIN103
03 Jan 2021
HOKK62
SHIN59
02 Jan 2021
HOKK72
SHIN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
54-81
54
81
-27
44avg 65
A20/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
69-86
69
86
-17
58avg 65
H23/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
77-64
77
64
+13
70avg 65
H24/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
87-65
87
65
+22
80avg 65
H30/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 65
H31/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
60avg 65
A06/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
61-92
61
92
-31
19avg 65
A07/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
84-66
84
66
+18
87avg 65
A17/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
79-98
79
98
-19
74avg 65
A20/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
80avg 65
A21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
11-19
11-21
17-18
17-28
20-17
9-22
23-19
12-19
20-14
24-11
21-20
24-15
26-22
19-16
18-12
19-17
19-25
17-13
33-26
11-19
22-13
21-27
19-15
16-21
16-23
13-31
16-17
24-20
19-14
20-20
21-12
30-31
19-19
13-21
17-27
13-14
19-22
27-22
23-31
155.0Avg total
75.4Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.280.7154.9-6.529%
Season at home (14)77.282.3159.5-5.129%
Season away (17)71.879.4151.2-7.629%
Last 10 (10)75.479.6155.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)75.883.8159.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.582.8156.3-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.772.0148.7+4.767%
vs Weaker (2)87.573.0160.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 64
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
43avg 64
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
42avg 64
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
49avg 64
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
48avg 64
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 64
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
64-92
64
92
-28
no box
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 64
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
48avg 64
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
56avg 64
H21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
23-21
12-26
19-19
16-31
8-17
13-12
16-23
10-31
13-25
12-16
20-24
13-20
20-26
8-15
18-12
18-18
9-22
12-26
16-11
15-21
21-28
14-19
29-5
16-25
21-23
13-22
14-22
19-14
20-31
19-16
13-20
16-25
16-21
14-23
11-18
12-12
21-19
16-22
14-28
147.7Avg total
63.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.684.4155.9-12.816%
Season at home (17)71.482.8154.2-11.424%
Season away (14)71.886.3158.1-14.57%
Last 10 (10)63.784.0147.7-20.310%
Last 5 (5)66.882.8149.6-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)69.185.1154.2-16.04%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.481.8163.2-0.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
HokkaidoShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H23/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H24/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H30/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H31/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A17/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A20/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A21/01
B League
76.7Avg total
37.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.276.9-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.142.981.0-4.88%-
Last 30 away (17)35.538.273.7-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.576.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.277.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)36.040.676.6-4.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.337.374.7+0.033%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/01
B League
79.5Avg total
33.4Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.680.3-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.941.978.8-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)36.445.682.1-9.229%-
Last 10 (10)33.446.179.5-12.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.443.879.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.844.880.6-9.016%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.237.678.8+3.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.119.9
45.1%
50.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.3
35.1%
33.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
72.0%12.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 62.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.1
45.5%
50.9%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.77.8
27.2%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws13.19.3
71.0%
72.0%9.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
LLWLLWWWLL
Shinshu
LLLLWLLLLL
#20
League position
#23
-6.2
Net rating
-28.4
105.2
Offensive rating
87.1
111.4
Defensive rating
115.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
43.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.4%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.1%
3-point %
27.2%
61.8%
Assist %
64.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 87.1Defence111.4 · 115.5Shooting47.5% · 43.3%3-point %35.1% · 27.2%Ball care15.6% · 20.4%Off. rebounds31.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hokkaido wins
6
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
11/12/22Shinshu v Hokkaido77-65
10/12/22Shinshu v Hokkaido69-55
09/03/22Hokkaido v Shinshu94-103
27/10/21Shinshu v Hokkaido87-84
04/04/21Shinshu v Hokkaido91-57
03/04/21Shinshu v Hokkaido90-76
03/01/21Hokkaido v Shinshu62-59
02/01/21Hokkaido v Shinshu72-60
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AChiba82-89
20/01/24AChiba79-98
17/01/24AIbaraki Robots84-66
07/01/24ASun Rockers Shibuya61-92
06/01/24ASun Rockers Shibuya73-74
31/12/23HToyama88-81
30/12/23HToyama87-65
24/12/23HKyoto77-64
23/12/23HKyoto69-86
20/12/23AAlvark54-81
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HAlvark63-81
20/01/24HAlvark57-87
17/01/24HYokohama71-81
07/01/24ANagasaki64-92
06/01/24ANagasaki79-73
30/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex55-77
29/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex59-73
24/12/23ANeoPhoenix55-96
23/12/23ANeoPhoenix53-83
20/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya81-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLWWW29%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game74.277.271.8
Allowed / game80.782.379.4
Point differential-6.5-5.1-7.6
Avg total154.9159.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL24%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %16%24%7%
Points / game71.671.471.8
Allowed / game84.482.886.3
Point differential-12.8-11.4-14.5
Avg total155.9154.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3127487%82.166.3+15.9
2 NeoPhoenix3127487%90.277.4+12.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex3124777%78.168.5+9.6
4 SeaHorses Mikawa31211068%82.576.2+6.4
5 Ryukyu31211068%79.275.8+3.4
6 Shimane31191261%84.377.6+6.6
7 Saga31181358%76.574.0+2.5
8 Chiba31181358%85.483.0+2.4
9 Diamond Dolphins31181358%81.179.0+2.1
10 Brave Thunders32181456%79.977.5+2.3
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya31171455%77.976.2+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.31161552%77.973.9+4.1
13 Akita32161650%73.274.5-1.3
14 Sendai31141745%79.380.2-0.9
15 Nagasaki31141745%81.782.8-1.1
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31141745%71.475.0-3.6
17 Gunma31141745%77.181.3-4.2
18 Yokohama31141745%76.681.9-5.3
19 Osaka31131842%78.082.4-4.5
20 Hokkaido3192229%74.280.7-6.5
21 Kyoto3192229%77.584.3-6.8
22 Shinshu3152616%71.684.4-12.8
23 Toyama3142713%73.684.9-11.3
24 Ibaraki Robots3132810%74.586.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido2214211673
Shinshu2118202079
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