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Shinshu vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 63-81
12-12 21-19 16-22 14-28
Position#23
Record5-25
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#2
Record26-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game66.4
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Alvark
21 Jan 2024
SHIN63
ALVA81
20 Jan 2024
SHIN57
ALVA87
02 Oct 2022
SHIN79
ALVA67
01 Oct 2022
SHIN61
ALVA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
79-97
79
97
-18
76avg 64
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 64
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
43avg 64
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
42avg 64
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
49avg 64
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
48avg 64
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 64
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
64-92
64
92
-28
no box
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 64
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
48avg 64
H20/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-24
18-28
21-22
27-31
23-21
12-26
19-19
16-31
8-17
13-12
16-23
10-31
13-25
12-16
20-24
13-20
20-26
8-15
18-12
18-18
9-22
12-26
16-11
15-21
21-28
14-19
29-5
16-25
21-23
13-22
14-22
19-14
20-31
19-16
13-20
16-25
16-21
14-23
11-18
150.9Avg total
65.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.984.5156.3-12.617%
Season at home (16)71.982.9154.8-10.925%
Season away (14)71.886.3158.1-14.57%
Last 10 (10)65.385.6150.9-20.310%
Last 5 (5)65.282.0147.2-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.485.2154.6-15.94%
vs Similar (6)81.881.3163.2+0.567%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
94avg 78
A17/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-54
81
54
+27
82avg 78
H20/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
77avg 78
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
59-82
59
82
-23
45avg 78
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
73avg 78
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
99avg 78
A30/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 78
H06/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
99-76
99
76
+23
102avg 78
H07/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 78
H17/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
87-57
87
57
+30
85avg 78
A20/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
27-20
27-34
20-15
23-15
19-11
21-11
18-17
19-19
26-18
21-14
17-17
21-21
9-25
19-19
10-17
18-14
18-13
13-15
25-26
24-22
21-14
32-8
17-17
23-24
21-20
24-22
26-13
24-25
28-13
21-12
26-26
23-23
26-20
28-14
15-15
25-16
21-16
23-14
18-11
155.8Avg total
85.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.266.4148.5+15.887%
Season at home (15)81.070.1151.1+10.973%
Season away (15)83.362.7146.0+20.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.770.1155.8+15.690%
Last 5 (5)93.269.0162.2+24.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)72.565.5138.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.966.4149.3+16.489%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
ShinshuAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/01
B League
81.8Avg total
34.1Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.980.9-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.642.479.9-4.825%-
Last 30 away (14)36.445.682.1-9.229%-
Last 10 (10)34.147.781.8-13.60%-
Last 5 (5)34.245.679.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.945.481.3-9.512%-
vs Similar (6)41.537.879.3+3.783%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A17/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A30/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H06/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H07/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/01
B League
80.0Avg total
43.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.333.876.0+8.583%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.978.2+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.230.773.9+12.5100%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.480.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.685.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)30.534.565.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.133.776.8+9.489%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.4
46.2%
50.9%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.9
27.2%
33.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.79.8
71.5%
72.0%9.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.8
54.4%
50.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.4
42.2%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
72.0%13.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLWLLLLLL
Alvark
WWWWWWLWWW
#23
League position
#2
-28.6
Net rating
+23.5
88.7
Offensive rating
123.5
117.2
Defensive rating
100.0
43.7%
Effective FG%
57.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
20.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
41.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.2%
3-point %
42.2%
64.8%
Assist %
61.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 123.5Defence117.2 · 100.0Shooting43.7% · 57.5%3-point %27.2% · 42.2%Ball care20.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.4% · 41.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Shinshu   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shinshu wins
6
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Shinshu v Alvark57-87
02/10/22Shinshu v Alvark79-67
01/10/22Shinshu v Alvark61-66
17/10/21Alvark v Shinshu86-74
16/10/21Alvark v Shinshu65-58
07/02/21Alvark v Shinshu77-68
06/02/21Alvark v Shinshu83-73
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HAlvark57-87
17/01/24HYokohama71-81
07/01/24ANagasaki64-92
06/01/24ANagasaki79-73
30/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex55-77
29/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex59-73
24/12/23ANeoPhoenix55-96
23/12/23ANeoPhoenix53-83
20/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya81-97
17/12/23AShimane79-97
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AShinshu87-57
17/01/24HSendai92-72
07/01/24HBrave Thunders99-76
06/01/24HBrave Thunders94-79
30/12/23ASaga94-61
29/12/23ASaga74-68
24/12/23HDiamond Dolphins59-82
23/12/23HDiamond Dolphins83-68
20/12/23HHokkaido81-54
17/12/23ANagasaki94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %17%25%7%
Points / game71.971.971.8
Allowed / game84.582.986.3
Point differential-12.6-10.9-14.5
Avg total156.3154.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %87%73%100%
Points / game82.281.083.3
Allowed / game66.470.162.7
Point differential+15.8+10.9+20.7
Avg total148.5151.1146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%73%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3026487%82.266.4+15.8
2 NeoPhoenix3026487%90.277.9+12.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex3023777%78.268.5+9.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa3021970%82.675.6+7.0
5 Ryukyu3021970%79.675.9+3.7
6 Shimane31191261%84.377.6+6.6
7 Chiba30171357%85.283.0+2.2
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya30171357%78.075.8+2.2
9 Saga30171357%76.574.4+2.2
10 Brave Thunders30171357%79.877.7+2.1
11 Diamond Dolphins30171357%80.778.9+1.7
12 Hiroshima D.30151550%77.673.8+3.8
13 Akita30151550%72.974.0-1.1
14 Nagasaki30141647%81.882.6-0.9
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles30141647%71.774.5-2.8
16 Sendai30131743%79.380.4-1.1
17 Osaka30131743%77.581.9-4.4
18 Gunma30131743%76.480.9-4.5
19 Yokohama30131743%75.981.6-5.7
20 Hokkaido3092130%74.080.4-6.5
21 Kyoto3092130%77.083.8-6.8
22 Shinshu3052517%71.984.5-12.6
23 Toyama3042613%74.085.3-11.3
24 Ibaraki Robots3132810%74.586.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1221161463
Alvark1219222881
← all games of the day
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