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Nagasaki vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 92-64
25-16 23-21 22-13 22-14
Position#17
Record13-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#23
Record5-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game84.2
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shinshu
08 Oct 2026
NAGA74
SHIN71
07 Jan 2024
NAGA92
SHIN64
06 Jan 2024
NAGA73
SHIN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 75
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 75
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
58avg 75
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 75
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
67avg 75
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 75
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 75
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
49avg 75
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
57avg 75
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 75
H06/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
22-22
14-11
15-29
14-19
21-14
23-20
14-14
16-17
14-20
10-16
22-18
15-20
20-27
34-27
15-20
13-17
24-16
10-24
29-17
26-26
20-19
18-26
31-26
23-22
18-24
12-23
19-21
13-21
18-22
12-13
21-23
10-28
15-16
22-27
21-15
21-15
28-21
19-14
5-29
155.8Avg total
73.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.083.6165.6-1.548%
Season at home (14)77.481.4158.7-4.043%
Season away (13)87.185.9173.0+1.254%
Last 10 (10)73.782.1155.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)74.486.2160.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.083.4163.4-3.446%
vs Similar (9)80.783.7164.3-3.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.883.8173.6+6.060%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 65
A09/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
76avg 65
A10/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 65
A16/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
79-97
79
97
-18
76avg 65
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 65
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
43avg 65
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
42avg 65
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
49avg 65
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
48avg 65
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 65
A06/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
25-20
13-26
28-20
21-23
25-19
16-17
17-24
22-27
10-27
20-20
15-21
21-23
19-24
18-28
21-22
27-31
23-21
12-26
19-19
16-31
8-17
13-12
16-23
10-31
13-25
12-16
20-24
13-20
20-26
8-15
18-12
18-18
9-22
12-26
16-11
15-21
21-28
14-19
29-5
154.5Avg total
68.8Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.784.2157.0-11.519%
Season at home (14)73.182.7155.8-9.629%
Season away (13)72.485.8158.2-13.58%
Last 10 (10)68.885.7154.5-16.910%
Last 5 (5)60.280.4140.6-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.185.0155.2-14.95%
vs Similar (7)78.980.1159.0-1.357%
vs Weaker (2)82.567.0149.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
NagasakiShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
B League
77.9Avg total
37.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.141.783.8+0.456%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.040.979.9-1.943%-
Last 30 away (13)45.542.588.0+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.877.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.841.380.1-2.546%-
vs Similar (9)44.241.886.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.042.689.6+4.460%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A10/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A06/01
B League
82.2Avg total
35.1Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.242.479.6-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.541.578.9-4.027%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.380.3-6.440%-
Last 10 (10)35.147.182.2-12.020%-
Last 5 (5)28.647.876.4-19.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.945.381.2-9.414%-
vs Similar (7)40.137.477.6+2.771%-
vs Weaker (2)40.529.570.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.2
47.4%
50.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.9
31.1%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
72.0%12.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.4
47.5%
50.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.2
28.5%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.010.0
71.4%
72.0%10.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWLLWL
Shinshu
WLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#23
-10.4
Net rating
-25.1
97.9
Offensive rating
94.3
108.3
Defensive rating
119.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
45.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.1%
3-point %
28.5%
70.1%
Assist %
66.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 94.3Defence108.3 · 119.4Shooting47.1% · 45.3%3-point %31.1% · 28.5%Ball care19.9% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.8% · 30.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Nagasaki v Shinshu73-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HShinshu73-79
31/12/23HHiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23HHiroshima D.64-79
24/12/23AOsaka72-90
23/12/23AOsaka95-97
20/12/23ARyukyu76-74
17/12/23HAlvark84-94
16/12/23HAlvark62-71
10/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-67
09/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ANagasaki79-73
30/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex55-77
29/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex59-73
24/12/23ANeoPhoenix55-96
23/12/23ANeoPhoenix53-83
20/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya81-97
17/12/23AShimane79-97
16/12/23AShimane67-95
10/12/23ARyukyu79-83
09/12/23ARyukyu81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeLLLLL43%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%43%54%
Points / game82.077.487.1
Allowed / game83.681.485.9
Point differential-1.5-4.0+1.2
Avg total165.6158.7173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %19%29%8%
Points / game72.773.172.4
Allowed / game84.282.785.8
Point differential-11.5-9.6-13.5
Avg total157.0155.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2723485%81.066.1+14.9
2 NeoPhoenix2723485%90.878.3+12.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex2721678%78.068.6+9.4
4 Ryukyu2719870%79.976.6+3.3
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2718967%82.576.3+6.2
6 Brave Thunders27171063%80.176.7+3.5
7 Shimane27161159%84.177.9+6.2
8 Diamond Dolphins27161159%80.978.6+2.3
9 Hiroshima D.28151354%78.573.8+4.6
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya27141352%77.776.6+1.0
11 Saga27141352%76.275.3+0.9
12 Chiba27141352%84.183.8+0.3
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles27141352%72.774.0-1.3
14 Akita28141450%72.773.0-0.2
15 Nagasaki27131448%82.083.6-1.5
16 Sendai27121544%80.280.6-0.4
17 Osaka27121544%77.981.4-3.4
18 Gunma27121544%75.680.4-4.8
19 Yokohama28121643%75.281.3-6.0
20 Hokkaido2781930%73.979.9-6.0
21 Kyoto2781930%77.384.1-6.9
22 Shinshu2752219%72.784.2-11.5
23 Toyama2842414%73.785.1-11.4
24 Ibaraki Robots272257%75.086.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2523222292
Shinshu1621131464
← all games of the day
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