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Shinshu vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 57-87
16-25 16-21 14-23 11-18
Position#23
Record5-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#2
Record25-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game66.7
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Alvark
21 Jan 2024
SHIN63
ALVA81
20 Jan 2024
SHIN57
ALVA87
02 Oct 2022
SHIN79
ALVA67
01 Oct 2022
SHIN61
ALVA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 65
A16/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
79-97
79
97
-18
76avg 65
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 65
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
43avg 65
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
42avg 65
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
49avg 65
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
48avg 65
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 65
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
64-92
64
92
-28
no box
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 65
H17/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
10-27
20-20
15-21
21-23
19-24
18-28
21-22
27-31
23-21
12-26
19-19
16-31
8-17
13-12
16-23
10-31
13-25
12-16
20-24
13-20
20-26
8-15
18-12
18-18
9-22
12-26
16-11
15-21
21-28
14-19
29-5
16-25
21-23
13-22
14-22
19-14
20-31
19-16
13-20
152.7Avg total
66.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.484.4156.8-12.017%
Season at home (15)72.982.6155.5-9.727%
Season away (14)71.886.3158.1-14.57%
Last 10 (10)66.386.4152.7-20.110%
Last 5 (5)65.679.2144.8-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)69.985.2155.1-15.34%
vs Similar (6)81.881.3163.2+0.567%
vs Weaker (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 78
A16/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
94avg 78
A17/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-54
81
54
+27
82avg 78
H20/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
77avg 78
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
59-82
59
82
-23
45avg 78
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
73avg 78
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
99avg 78
A30/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 78
H06/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
99-76
99
76
+23
102avg 78
H07/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 78
H17/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-14
16-10
18-22
20-15
27-20
27-34
20-15
23-15
19-11
21-11
18-17
19-19
26-18
21-14
17-17
21-21
9-25
19-19
10-17
18-14
18-13
13-15
25-26
24-22
21-14
32-8
17-17
23-24
21-20
24-22
26-13
24-25
28-13
21-12
26-26
23-23
26-20
28-14
15-15
154.7Avg total
84.1Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.066.7148.7+15.386%
Season at home (15)81.070.1151.1+10.973%
Season away (14)83.163.1146.1+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.170.6154.7+13.590%
Last 5 (5)90.671.2161.8+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.093.0155.0-31.00%
vs Similar (2)72.565.5138.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.766.8149.5+15.989%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
ShinshuAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
A24/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/01
B League
82.6Avg total
34.1Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.580.8-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.942.180.1-4.227%-
Last 30 away (15)36.744.981.6-8.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.148.582.6-14.40%-
Last 5 (5)34.445.680.0-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.145.481.5-9.313%-
vs Similar (6)41.537.879.3+3.783%-
vs Weaker (1)40.035.075.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A16/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A17/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A30/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H06/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H07/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/01
B League
78.9Avg total
42.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.734.476.1+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.978.2+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.131.973.9+10.293%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.278.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.682.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.050.079.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (2)30.534.565.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.033.876.8+9.289%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.2
45.6%
50.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.4
28.3%
33.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws13.89.5
68.8%
72.0%9.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.2
39.3%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
72.0%14.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLWLLLLLLL
Alvark
WWWWWLWWWW
#23
League position
#2
-28.7
Net rating
+20.2
90.2
Offensive rating
121.3
118.9
Defensive rating
101.1
44.1%
Effective FG%
56.3%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
41.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.3%
3-point %
39.3%
66.9%
Assist %
62.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 121.3Defence118.9 · 101.1Shooting44.1% · 56.3%3-point %28.3% · 39.3%Ball care20.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 41.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Shinshu   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shinshu wins
5
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
02/10/22Shinshu v Alvark79-67
01/10/22Shinshu v Alvark61-66
17/10/21Alvark v Shinshu86-74
16/10/21Alvark v Shinshu65-58
07/02/21Alvark v Shinshu77-68
06/02/21Alvark v Shinshu83-73
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HYokohama71-81
07/01/24ANagasaki64-92
06/01/24ANagasaki79-73
30/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex55-77
29/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex59-73
24/12/23ANeoPhoenix55-96
23/12/23ANeoPhoenix53-83
20/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya81-97
17/12/23AShimane79-97
16/12/23AShimane67-95
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HSendai92-72
07/01/24HBrave Thunders99-76
06/01/24HBrave Thunders94-79
30/12/23ASaga94-61
29/12/23ASaga74-68
24/12/23HDiamond Dolphins59-82
23/12/23HDiamond Dolphins83-68
20/12/23HHokkaido81-54
17/12/23ANagasaki94-84
16/12/23ANagasaki71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %17%27%7%
Points / game72.472.971.8
Allowed / game84.482.686.3
Point differential-12.0-9.7-14.5
Avg total156.8155.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %86%73%100%
Points / game82.081.083.1
Allowed / game66.770.163.1
Point differential+15.3+10.9+20.0
Avg total148.7151.1146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%73%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3026487%90.277.9+12.3
2 Alvark2925486%82.066.7+15.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex3023777%78.268.5+9.8
4 Ryukyu3021970%79.675.9+3.7
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2920969%82.375.3+7.0
6 Shimane30191163%84.277.0+7.3
7 Brave Thunders29171259%79.977.5+2.4
8 Diamond Dolphins29171259%80.578.5+2.0
9 Saga30171357%76.574.4+2.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya29161355%78.276.1+2.1
11 Chiba29161355%84.883.1+1.7
12 Hiroshima D.29151452%78.073.9+4.2
13 Nagasaki29141548%82.182.8-0.7
14 Akita29141548%72.774.1-1.3
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles30141647%71.774.5-2.8
16 Yokohama29131645%75.480.9-5.5
17 Sendai29121741%79.180.5-1.4
18 Osaka29121741%76.881.7-4.9
19 Gunma29121741%76.181.4-5.3
20 Hokkaido2992031%73.879.8-6.0
21 Kyoto2992031%77.383.8-6.4
22 Shinshu2952417%72.484.4-12.0
23 Toyama3042613%74.085.3-11.3
24 Ibaraki Robots302287%73.886.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1616141157
Alvark2521231887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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