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Shinshu vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 59-73
13-20 20-26 8-15 18-12
Position#23
Record4-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game85.5
Shinshu
Japan
vs
Utsunomiya Brex 🏆
Japan
Position#1
Record18-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game69.0
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Utsunomiya Brex
30 Dec 2023
SHIN55
UTSU77
29 Dec 2023
SHIN59
UTSU73
01 Jan 2023
SHIN70
UTSU62
31 Dec 2022
SHIN83
UTSU61
05 Dec 2021
SHIN61
UTSU83
04 Dec 2021
SHIN63
UTSU72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
64-83
64
83
-19
57avg 66
H02/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 66
H03/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
62-83
62
83
-21
53avg 66
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 66
A09/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
76avg 66
A10/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 66
A16/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
79-97
79
97
-18
76avg 66
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 66
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
43avg 66
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
42avg 66
A24/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
10-20
14-23
13-21
14-19
19-25
23-8
14-28
21-18
17-26
14-23
10-16
15-17
25-20
13-26
28-20
21-23
25-19
16-17
17-24
22-27
10-27
20-20
15-21
21-23
19-24
18-28
21-22
27-31
23-21
12-26
19-19
16-31
8-17
13-12
16-23
10-31
13-25
12-16
20-24
157.1Avg total
69.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.885.5159.2-11.717%
Season at home (12)75.884.0159.8-8.233%
Season away (12)71.886.9158.8-15.10%
Last 10 (10)69.188.0157.1-18.90%
Last 5 (5)67.093.6160.6-26.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.186.8157.9-15.70%
vs Similar (9)77.379.6156.9-2.256%
vs Weaker (3)80.768.3149.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
86-53
86
53
+33
82avg 70
A02/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
76-57
76
57
+19
69avg 70
A03/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 70
H06/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H09/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 70
H10/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 70
A16/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
83-86
83
86
-3
73avg 70
A17/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
65avg 70
H20/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
84avg 70
H23/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
60-76
60
76
-16
49avg 70
H24/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-4
23-13
21-18
26-18
13-12
18-22
24-15
21-8
21-22
16-12
12-14
14-19
23-22
16-21
22-24
16-10
28-22
15-21
14-16
19-15
19-19
25-15
21-17
20-20
32-20
19-19
20-24
12-23
17-18
22-14
16-19
23-14
15-19
25-13
24-18
19-18
18-19
16-18
19-13
7-26
147.6Avg total
77.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.569.0146.5+8.575%
Season at home (12)76.871.2148.0+5.575%
Season away (12)78.266.8144.9+11.475%
Last 10 (10)77.670.0147.6+7.670%
Last 5 (5)77.873.2151.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.586.0171.5-0.550%
vs Similar (6)75.076.5151.5-1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.467.8147.2+11.682%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
ShinshuUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H03/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A10/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A23/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
A24/12
B League
82.6Avg total
36.3Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.278.5-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.039.776.7-2.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.542.880.3-5.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.346.382.6-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.851.485.2-17.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.645.381.9-8.817%-
vs Similar (9)39.037.076.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (3)36.329.365.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
39-17
39
17
+22
A02/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A16/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A17/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H20/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H23/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/12
B League
74.2Avg total
39.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.034.773.6+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.536.676.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.532.971.4+5.675%-
Last 10 (10)39.734.574.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.876.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.040.579.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (6)35.236.771.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.033.673.6+6.473%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.3
48.7%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.9
28.4%
33.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.89.6
69.6%
72.0%9.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.3
52.6%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.6
32.5%
33.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws14.79.6
65.3%
72.0%9.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLLLLLL
Utsunomiya Brex
LWWLWWWLWW
#23
League position
#1
-27.2
Net rating
+14.4
93.6
Offensive rating
107.3
120.8
Defensive rating
92.9
46.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
21.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.4%
3-point %
32.5%
66.3%
Assist %
62.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 107.3Defence120.8 · 92.9Shooting46.1% · 50.7%3-point %28.4% · 32.5%Ball care21.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Shinshu   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shinshu wins
4
Utsunomiya Brex wins
DateGameScore
01/01/23Shinshu v Utsunomiya Brex70-62
31/12/22Shinshu v Utsunomiya Brex83-61
05/12/21Shinshu v Utsunomiya Brex61-83
04/12/21Shinshu v Utsunomiya Brex63-72
11/10/20Utsunomiya Brex v Shinshu84-74
10/10/20Utsunomiya Brex v Shinshu74-52
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23ANeoPhoenix55-96
23/12/23ANeoPhoenix53-83
20/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya81-97
17/12/23AShimane79-97
16/12/23AShimane67-95
10/12/23ARyukyu79-83
09/12/23ARyukyu81-83
06/12/23HSeaHorses Mikawa62-83
03/12/23HAkita70-80
02/12/23HAkita64-83
Utsunomiya Brexlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HShimane60-76
23/12/23HShimane83-68
20/12/23HChiba78-65
17/12/23AKyoto83-86
16/12/23AKyoto85-71
10/12/23HBrave Thunders76-74
09/12/23HBrave Thunders86-83 OT
06/12/23HAkita63-67
03/12/23AYokohama76-57
02/12/23AYokohama86-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game73.875.871.8
Allowed / game85.584.086.9
Point differential-11.7-8.2-15.1
Avg total159.2159.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.576.878.2
Allowed / game69.071.266.8
Point differential+8.5+5.5+11.4
Avg total146.5148.0144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%42%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2420483%80.265.8+14.5
2 NeoPhoenix2420483%90.677.5+13.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex2418675%77.569.0+8.5
4 Ryukyu2418675%80.677.0+3.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2416867%82.276.2+6.0
6 Diamond Dolphins2416867%82.277.9+4.3
7 Brave Thunders2415962%80.276.8+3.4
8 Shimane24141058%82.877.0+5.8
9 Saga24131154%77.275.0+2.2
10 Chiba24131154%83.283.0+0.2
11 Nagasaki24131154%83.883.8-0.1
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles24131154%74.574.7-0.2
13 Akita24121250%72.873.8-1.1
14 Osaka24121250%77.479.1-1.8
15 Hiroshima D.24111346%77.974.7+3.2
16 Sendai24111346%81.180.6+0.5
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya24111346%76.777.4-0.8
18 Gunma24111346%75.679.4-3.8
19 Yokohama24101442%74.881.2-6.5
20 Kyoto2471729%75.683.0-7.5
21 Hokkaido2461825%72.880.7-7.9
22 Shinshu2442017%73.885.5-11.7
23 Toyama2432112%73.085.0-11.9
24 Ibaraki Robots241234%73.385.2-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu132081859
Utsunomiya Brex2026151273
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