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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Copenhagen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-86
27-23 26-24 18-23 18-16
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#8
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game93.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Copenhagen
13 Nov 2026
HOLB v COPE
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
HOLB73
COPE74
18 Oct 2024
HOLB89
COPE86
11 Apr 2024
HOLB75
COPE88
22 Oct 2023
HOLB73
COPE96
01 Apr 2023
HOLB65
COPE73
14 Oct 2022
HOLB81
COPE90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Copenhagen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
66avg 59
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
71-109
71
109
-38
54avg 59
H22/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 59
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 59
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
91-99 OT
91
99
-8
72avg 59
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
65-84
65
84
-19
54avg 59
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-103
77
103
-26
62avg 59
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 59
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 59
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
32avg 59
A12/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
19-11
23-21
16-26
17-28
16-23
17-39
21-19
21-14
15-28
26-8
16-24
15-25
21-18
16-26
23-19
25-19
21-21
24-23
15-22
16-17
19-17
13-31
17-19
20-25
25-28
14-25
18-25
14-12
17-18
13-29
26-21
32-22
28-33
21-21
25-22
20-17
11-12
11-22
16-26
165.7Avg total
76.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.889.5167.2-11.825%
Season at home (2)91.5100.5192.0-9.050%
Season away (2)64.078.5142.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)76.389.4165.7-13.120%
Last 5 (5)75.288.4163.6-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)72.694.3166.9-21.810%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.980.0160.9+0.950%
vs Weaker (1)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
71avg 77
H23/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
88-83
88
83
+5
72avg 77
H26/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
78avg 77
A11/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
89avg 77
H25/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
82-65
82
65
+17
82avg 77
A27/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 77
H03/05
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-100
75
100
-25
60avg 77
A19/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
80avg 77
H04/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 77
H11/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-16
17-15
28-19
19-23
27-26
19-22
23-12
25-15
18-21
26-16
19-23
24-24
19-16
19-11
16-27
16-17
22-15
27-17
17-16
25-22
22-12
22-18
13-23
17-23
30-25
14-22
14-30
24-21
25-21
11-29
24-17
20-24
23-21
20-29
29-22
19-12
15-28
20-15
24-33
167.4Avg total
84.5Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.293.0175.2-10.80%
Season at home (3)84.790.7175.3-6.00%
Season away (1)75.0100.0175.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)84.582.9167.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)82.289.4171.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.589.2163.8-14.80%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.790.7166.3-15.00%
vs Weaker (18)87.574.6162.1+12.994%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
Holbaek-StenhusCopenhagen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H22/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A12/10
Basketligaen
79.8Avg total
38.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.943.379.2-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.045.783.7-7.727%-
Last 30 away (15)33.841.074.8-7.240%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.279.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.547.282.7-11.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.237.276.5+2.062%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H26/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A27/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H03/05
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A19/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H11/10
Basketligaen
83.5Avg total
43.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.382.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.140.382.4+1.861%-
Last 30 away (12)41.040.381.3+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.583.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.844.880.5-9.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.050.391.3-9.30%-
vs Weaker (18)43.937.781.6+6.383%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.1
43.2%
51.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.78.1
26.4%
32.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.917.0
71.1%
70.2%17.0
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.3
50.4%
51.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.5
31.0%
32.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.514.2
66.0%
70.2%14.2
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LWLLLLLWLL
Copenhagen
LLLLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#8
-15.5
Net rating
+2.6
91.0
Offensive rating
103.5
106.5
Defensive rating
100.9
41.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
20.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.4%
3-point %
31.0%
44.0%
Assist %
58.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.0 · 103.5Defence106.5 · 100.9Shooting41.6% · 48.9%3-point %26.4% · 31.0%Ball care20.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Copenhagen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
9
Copenhagen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ABears Academy58-77
04/10/24HAmager106-98
28/09/24ASvendborg70-80
25/09/24HBakken Bears77-103
28/04/24ABears Academy65-84
26/04/24AAmager91-99 OT
11/04/24HCopenhagen75-88
26/03/24HHerlev Wolfpack78-74
22/03/24HBears Academy71-109
14/03/24ACopenhagen72-82
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/24HHorsens78-88
04/10/24HBakken Bears92-96
28/09/24HTeam FOG Naestved84-88
19/09/24AAmager75-100
03/05/24HBears Academy82-75
27/04/24AHerlev Wolfpack82-65
25/04/24HBears Academy91-86 OT
11/04/24AHolbaek-Stenhus88-75
26/03/24HAmager88-83
23/03/24HHerlev Wolfpack85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.891.564.0
Allowed / game89.5100.578.5
Point differential-11.8-9.0-14.5
Avg total167.2192.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.284.775.0
Allowed / game93.090.7100.0
Point differential-10.8-6.0-25.0
Avg total175.2175.3175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%99.392.3+7.0
2 Svendborg65183%86.276.0+10.2
3 Horsens54180%87.679.8+7.8
4 Bakken Bears54180%88.882.6+6.2
5 Randers73443%89.384.3+5.0
6 Herlev Wolfpack52340%79.883.8-4.0
7 Holbaek-Stenhus41325%77.889.5-11.8
8 Vaerlose41325%72.287.5-15.2
9 Amager51420%90.490.6-0.2
10 Bears Academy51420%76.483.6-7.2
11 Copenhagen4040%82.293.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2726181889
Copenhagen2324231686
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