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Svendborg vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 80-70
12-14 18-17 29-13 21-26
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game103.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Svendborg v Holbaek-Stenhus
26 Sep 2026
SVEN86
HOLB75
16 Jan 2026
SVEN103
HOLB42
28 Sep 2024
SVEN80
HOLB70
30 Dec 2023
SVEN115
HOLB77
28 Jan 2023
SVEN88
HOLB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
61avg 77
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 77
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
54avg 77
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 77
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
65avg 77
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 77
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
73avg 77
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 77
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
89avg 77
A21/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 77
H25/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
25-26
22-20
12-17
25-16
11-23
20-21
32-23
17-15
14-19
14-24
17-28
21-19
25-25
22-24
25-16
23-30
13-19
15-24
27-24
27-25
21-23
16-21
16-24
25-28
17-35
17-33
28-28
23-20
28-29
19-17
17-28
22-22
21-7
29-18
21-17
12-14
23-27
21-21
20-12
169.3Avg total
81.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.569.0153.5+15.5100%
Season at home (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)93.064.0157.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.487.9169.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)84.689.8174.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.893.7170.4-16.911%
vs Similar (5)83.679.4163.0+4.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)104.682.3186.9+22.3100%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
64avg 59
A15/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
A02/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 59
H10/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
66avg 59
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
71-109
71
109
-38
54avg 59
H22/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 59
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 59
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
91-99 OT
91
99
-8
72avg 59
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
65-84
65
84
-19
54avg 59
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-103
77
103
-26
62avg 59
H25/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
20-28
20-31
23-13
12-19
23-25
21-16
25-21
22-17
18-16
24-26
27-21
14-24
19-11
23-21
16-26
17-28
16-23
17-39
21-19
21-14
15-28
26-8
16-24
15-25
21-18
16-26
23-19
25-19
21-21
24-23
15-22
16-17
19-17
13-31
17-19
20-25
25-28
14-25
18-25
171.1Avg total
79.4Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.0103.0180.0-26.00%
Season at home (1)77.0103.0180.0-26.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.491.7171.1-12.320%
Last 5 (5)77.289.6166.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.095.1165.0-25.15%
vs Similar (8)80.980.0160.9+0.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
SvendborgHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/09
Basketligaen
84.3Avg total
40.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.785.9-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.284.6+0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)42.145.087.1-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.984.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.089.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.246.886.0-7.717%-
vs Similar (5)42.242.684.8-0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.136.486.6+13.786%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A15/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H22/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H25/09
Basketligaen
80.6Avg total
37.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.143.678.7-8.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.444.580.9-8.120%-
Last 30 away (15)33.842.776.5-8.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.080.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.482.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.146.780.9-12.610%-
vs Similar (8)39.237.276.5+2.062%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.221.6
48.9%
51.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.6
33.0%
32.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.614.4
63.7%
70.2%14.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.0
47.1%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.2
26.8%
32.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.915.4
64.4%
70.2%15.4
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WWLLLLWLWL
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLWLLWLL
#2
League position
#7
-8.2
Net rating
-17.1
98.5
Offensive rating
92.7
106.7
Defensive rating
109.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
44.4%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
20.9%
Turnover %
20.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
26.8%
57.2%
Assist %
45.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 92.7Defence106.7 · 109.8Shooting49.1% · 44.4%3-point %33.0% · 26.8%Ball care20.9% · 20.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 30.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Svendborg   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Svendborg wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24HRanders76-74
21/09/24AHerlev Wolfpack93-64
10/05/24AHorsens87-94
29/04/24ABakken Bears87-124
25/04/24HBakken Bears80-93
22/04/24ABakken Bears78-97
15/04/24ARanders93-84
12/04/24HBakken Bears62-86
08/04/24HVaerlose88-83
05/04/24AHorsens70-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24HBakken Bears77-103
28/04/24ABears Academy65-84
26/04/24AAmager91-99 OT
11/04/24HCopenhagen75-88
26/03/24HHerlev Wolfpack78-74
22/03/24HBears Academy71-109
14/03/24ACopenhagen72-82
10/03/24HAmager91-80
02/03/24AHerlev Wolfpack94-99 OT
15/02/24AVaerlose80-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.576.093.0
Allowed / game69.074.064.0
Point differential+15.5+2.0+29.0
Avg total153.5150.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game103.0103.0-
Point differential-26.0-26.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg220100%84.569.0+15.5
2 Horsens330100%89.377.0+12.3
3 Team FOG Naestved220100%89.077.0+12.0
4 Randers21150%90.070.5+19.5
5 Amager21150%89.579.5+10.0
6 Bakken Bears21150%87.583.5+4.0
7 Vaerlose21150%78.094.0-16.0
8 Bears Academy2020%77.090.0-13.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack3030%75.392.0-16.7
10 Copenhagen1010%75.0100.0-25.0
11 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%77.0103.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg1218292180
Holbaek-Stenhus1417132670
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