Holbaek-Stenhus will host Copenhagen on 13 November 2026 in the Basketligaen, with Copenhagen the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 76% to win, a reflection of their 5-4 season record and 84.0 points per game compared with Holbaek-Stenhus's 4-6 record and 77.1 points per game. Copenhagen has been stronger on the road, going 3-1 with 78.5 points per game and only 71.2 allowed, while Holbaek-Stenhus has struggled at home, 2-2 with 81.8 points scored and 87.2 allowed. The last five games for Holbaek-Stenhus include a 78-80 loss to Vejen, a 84-81 win over Gladsaxe and a 75-105 defeat to Bakken Bears, whereas Copenhagen's recent outings feature a 90-96 loss to Randers, a 93-67 win over BMS Herlev and a 98-103 loss to Svendborg. In their 10 previous meetings, Copenhagen has won nine times, most recently defeating Holbaek-Stenhus 91-88 on 19 November 2025. Pythia projects a 79-87 score, 165.2 total points, a 10.5-point spread with a 59% chance the home team covers, a 166.5 total line with a 46% over probability, and a 4% overtime likelihood. Copenhagen's recent road dominance suggests they will likely extend their winning streak.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 77.1 | 87.4 | 164.5 | -10.3 | 40% |
| Season at home (4) | 81.8 | 87.2 | 169.0 | -5.5 | 50% |
| Season away (6) | 74.0 | 87.5 | 161.5 | -13.5 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.1 | 87.4 | 164.5 | -10.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.6 | 85.4 | 163.0 | -7.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 76.5 | 102.5 | 179.0 | -25.9 | 8% |
| vs Similar (14) | 87.9 | 84.3 | 172.2 | +3.6 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 75.3 | 73.7 | 149.0 | +1.7 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 84.0 | 81.6 | 165.6 | +2.4 | 56% |
| Season at home (5) | 88.4 | 89.8 | 178.2 | -1.4 | 40% |
| Season away (4) | 78.5 | 71.2 | 149.8 | +7.2 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.9 | 83.1 | 165.0 | -1.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 85.6 | 176.8 | +5.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 82.2 | 92.2 | 174.3 | -10.0 | 11% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 89.5 | 76.2 | 165.7 | +13.4 | 91% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 45.0 | 85.7 | -4.2 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.3 | 45.3 | 86.6 | -4.0 | 36% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.3 | 44.7 | 85.0 | -4.4 | 44% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.3 | 44.2 | 84.5 | -3.9 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.6 | 42.8 | 81.4 | -4.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 41.1 | 51.5 | 92.6 | -10.5 | 23% | 69% |
| vs Similar (14) | 41.1 | 41.6 | 82.6 | -0.5 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 38.0 | 32.3 | 70.3 | +5.7 | 67% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 42.9 | 83.8 | -1.9 | 40% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.7 | 44.6 | 88.3 | -0.9 | 33% | 80% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.3 | 41.1 | 79.4 | -2.9 | 47% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 42.1 | 80.0 | -4.2 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 43.6 | 85.4 | -1.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 38.4 | 45.5 | 83.9 | -7.2 | 16% | 63% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 45.5 | 38.3 | 83.7 | +7.2 | 82% | 45% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holbaek-Stenhus +14 | 71.1% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +15.5 | 74.9% | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.29 | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +16.5 | 77.6% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +14.5 | 72.0% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.35 | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 98.5 | 88.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +17.5 | 80.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 95.5 | 81.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus +20.5 | 86.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 99.5 | 90.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 93.5 | 75.4% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 97.5 | 86.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 96.5 | 83.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 92.5 | 72.2% | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.36 | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 94.5 | 78.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 70.5 | 94.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 94.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 69.5 | 95.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Copenhagen +14.5 | 96.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 97.5 | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 98.5 | 96.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 83.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 75.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 72.5 | 72.0% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 95.5 | 94.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 89.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 71.5 | 93.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 96.5 | 95.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 93.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 99.5 | 97.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 72.5 | 91.8% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 93.5 | 92.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen +9.5 | 92.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Over 140.5 | 93.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 94.5 | 93.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 82.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus over 71.5 | 75.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 74.5 | 88.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Lost |
| Under 185.5 | 88.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 76.5 | 84.1% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Lost |
| Copenhagen over 73.5 | 90.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 88.5 | 83.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Lost |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 91.5 | 89.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 92.5 | 90.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 92.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 89.5 | 85.3% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 73.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 87.5 | 80.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Lost |
| Over 145.5 | 88.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 81.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 75.5 | 86.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Lost |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 85.5 | 75.1% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Lost |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 90.5 | 87.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 77.5 | 81.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Lost |
| Over 146.5 | 87.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 80.5 | 72.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Lost |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 86.5 | 78.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Lost |
| Holbaek-Stenhus under 84.5 | 72.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Copenhagen over 78.5 | 78.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Lost |
| Over 151.5 | 79.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 71.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 79.5 | 75.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Lost |
| Copenhagen +4.5 | 85.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Lost |
| Copenhagen (regulation) | 73.6% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.19 | - | - | -2.3pp | Lost |
| Copenhagen win | 76.0% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.17 | -3.7pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.4 | 21.5 | 55.2% | 43.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 8.1 | 31.2% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 11.8 | 68.0% | 11.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.2 | 20.8 | 55.2% | 41.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.4 | 8.6 | 31.2% | 25.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 12.8 | 68.0% | 12.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/11/25 | Copenhagen v Holbaek-Stenhus | 91-88 |
| 04/11/25 | Holbaek-Stenhus v Copenhagen | 73-74 |
| 10/01/25 | Copenhagen v Holbaek-Stenhus | 90-85 OT |
| 18/10/24 | Holbaek-Stenhus v Copenhagen | 89-86 |
| 11/04/24 | Holbaek-Stenhus v Copenhagen | 75-88 |
| 14/03/24 | Copenhagen v Holbaek-Stenhus | 82-72 |
| 12/01/24 | Copenhagen v Holbaek-Stenhus | 88-74 |
| 22/10/23 | Holbaek-Stenhus v Copenhagen | 73-96 |
| 01/04/23 | Holbaek-Stenhus v Copenhagen | 65-73 |
| 04/03/23 | Copenhagen v Holbaek-Stenhus | 92-59 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Vejen | 78-80 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Gladsaxe | 84-81 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Bakken Bears | 75-105 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Vaerlose | 68-64 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Horsens | 83-97 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Bears Academy | 88-67 |
| 01/10/26 | H | BMS Herlev | 80-77 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Svendborg | 75-86 |
| 24/09/26 | A | Team FOG Naestved | 56-117 |
| 17/09/26 | H | Randers | 84-100 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Randers | 90-96 |
| 04/11/26 | A | BMS Herlev | 93-67 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Svendborg | 98-103 OT |
| 24/10/26 | H | Vejen | 97-96 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Bears Academy | 78-66 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Horsens | 69-80 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Team FOG Naestved | 66-90 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Gladsaxe | 77-62 |
| 22/09/26 | H | Vaerlose | 88-74 |
| 20/04/26 | A | Randers | 63-97 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 40% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | LLWWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 77.1 | 81.8 | 74.0 |
| Allowed / game | 87.4 | 87.2 | 87.5 |
| Point differential | -10.3 | -5.5 | -13.5 |
| Avg total | 164.5 | 169.0 | 161.5 |
| Over 166.25 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | 100% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 56% |
| Home | WLWLL | 40% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Points / game | 84.0 | 88.4 | 78.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.6 | 89.8 | 71.2 |
| Point differential | +2.4 | -1.4 | +7.2 |
| Avg total | 165.6 | 178.2 | 149.8 |
| Over 166.25 | 33% | 60% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 91% | 99.0 | 72.6 | +26.4 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 102.0 | 76.6 | +25.4 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 89.2 | 77.6 | +11.6 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 90.6 | 79.7 | +10.9 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 95.6 | 86.0 | +9.6 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 84.0 | 81.6 | +2.4 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 77.1 | 87.4 | -10.3 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 80.9 | 93.6 | -12.7 | |
| 9 | Gladsaxe | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 79.4 | 88.9 | -9.5 |
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 78.0 | 91.7 | -13.7 | |
| 11 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10% | 78.8 | 92.6 | -13.8 | |
| 12 | BMS Herlev | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 74.4 | 97.0 | -22.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 15 | 19 | 29 | 89 | |
| 17 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 74 |
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