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Copenhagen vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-74
24-16 25-26 14-15 25-17
Position#4
Record6-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#10
Record3-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game90.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· N
Other2023-24
Meetings · Copenhagen v Holbaek-Stenhus
29 Jan 2027
COPE v HOLB
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
COPE91
HOLB88
10 Jan 2025
COPE90
HOLB85
14 Mar 2024
COPE82
HOLB72
12 Jan 2024
COPE88
HOLB74
04 Mar 2023
COPE92
HOLB59
03 Jan 2023
COPE77
HOLB66
16 Dec 2022
COPE86
HOLB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Copenhagen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
79-56
79
56
+23
68avg 69
H03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
99-53
99
53
+46
93avg 69
A10/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
84-59
84
59
+25
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
62-103
62
103
-41
no box
H02/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
92-102
92
102
-10
74avg 69
H09/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
no box
A14/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
80avg 69
H17/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
74avg 69
A30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 69
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-71
42
71
-29
26avg 69
A08/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
22-17
15-16
19-12
23-17
28-9
25-13
23-14
22-4
28-19
18-19
16-17
11-29
15-17
19-30
17-27
23-22
22-31
15-25
32-24
17-23
19-18
17-14
11-23
27-25
25-14
17-18
16-27
20-28
20-34
22-18
26-14
24-22
14-29
28-12
15-19
14-22
9-19
10-15
9-15
155.8Avg total
77.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.780.4161.1+0.238%
Season at home (8)84.082.8166.8+1.250%
Season away (8)77.478.1155.5-0.825%
Last 10 (10)77.678.2155.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)72.081.8153.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.489.4160.8-18.00%
vs Similar (10)81.277.2158.4+4.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.074.3161.3+12.782%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 53
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
65-63
65
63
+2
59avg 53
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 53
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-109
52
109
-57
32avg 53
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-115
87
115
-28
70avg 53
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-101
67
101
-34
55avg 53
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
77-115
77
115
-38
50avg 53
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 53
H03/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
69-47
69
47
+22
58avg 53
H07/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
13-20
11-18
13-22
21-10
9-15
20-22
15-16
13-14
9-15
8-17
12-13
11-26
23-17
22-20
14-15
12-20
15-29
10-34
15-26
17-36
25-25
16-20
29-34
17-31
13-31
17-22
20-17
20-25
15-26
27-35
15-29
8-20
19-23
12-12
22-21
22-14
17-10
16-12
14-11
148.7Avg total
65.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.090.1158.1-22.120%
Season at home (8)67.485.1152.5-17.812%
Season away (7)68.795.7164.4-27.029%
Last 10 (10)65.183.6148.7-18.520%
Last 5 (5)72.290.8163.0-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.190.6158.7-22.512%
vs Similar (3)71.367.7139.0+3.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
CopenhagenHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A10/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H02/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H09/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H17/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A08/01
Basketligaen
81.6Avg total
40.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.581.4+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.840.081.8+1.869%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.181.0-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.081.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.884.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.946.480.2-12.50%-
vs Similar (10)41.041.882.8-0.870%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.236.681.8+8.573%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-62
30
62
-32
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H03/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H07/01
Basketligaen
74.3Avg total
32.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.843.175.9-10.320%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.742.175.9-8.427%-
Last 30 away (15)31.944.176.0-12.313%-
Last 10 (10)32.342.074.3-9.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.648.282.8-13.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.545.277.7-12.612%-
vs Similar (3)38.730.369.0+8.3100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.6
48.8%
51.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
31.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.910.3
64.8%
67.0%10.3
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.618.5
39.7%
51.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.6
26.2%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.19.4
58.4%
67.0%9.4
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Copenhagen
LLLWLLLWWW
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLLLLLLLWL
#4
League position
#10
+5.8
Net rating
-25.5
102.3
Offensive rating
80.3
96.5
Defensive rating
105.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
39.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
23.2%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.3%
3-point %
26.2%
53.9%
Assist %
54.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 80.3Defence96.5 · 105.8Shooting49.3% · 39.6%3-point %33.3% · 26.2%Ball care18.5% · 23.2%Off. rebounds33.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Copenhagen   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Copenhagen wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24AHorsens42-71
04/01/24HTeam FOG Naestved81-82
30/12/23ARanders88-94
17/12/23HVaerlose85-84
14/12/23ASvendborg64-78
09/12/23HBakken Bears92-102
02/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved62-103
12/11/23HAmager84-59
10/11/23AAmager99-53
03/11/23HBears Academy79-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HAmager69-47
03/01/24HHorsens61-76
30/12/23ASvendborg77-115
17/12/23ABakken Bears67-101
08/12/23HRanders87-115
29/11/23HBakken Bears52-109
16/11/23HVaerlose70-78
12/11/23ABears Academy42-59
09/11/23ABears Academy65-63
02/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack61-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game80.784.077.4
Allowed / game80.482.878.1
Point differential+0.2+1.2-0.8
Avg total161.1166.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLLLW12%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%12%29%
Points / game68.067.468.7
Allowed / game90.185.195.7
Point differential-22.1-17.8-27.0
Avg total158.1152.5164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1514193%102.375.9+26.4
2 Horsens1613381%88.269.9+18.3
3 Team FOG Naestved1613381%97.880.9+16.9
4 Svendborg1512380%89.379.3+10.0
5 Randers159660%95.585.8+9.7
6 Vaerlose147750%81.885.9-4.1
7 Copenhagen1661038%80.780.4+0.2
8 Bears Academy1431121%74.086.1-12.1
9 Holbaek-Stenhus1531220%68.090.1-22.1
10 Herlev Wolfpack1521313%71.791.6-19.9
11 Amager151147%71.298.0-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Copenhagen2425142588
Holbaek-Stenhus1626151774
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