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Honka vs KTP Kotka Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game100.4
Honka
Finland
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
6.0/10
Above normal
KTP Kotka Basket
Finland
Position#2
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game85.8
FinlandKorisliiga· Tapiolan Liikuntahalli
Other2026-27
Meetings · Honka v KTP Kotka Basket
17 Mar 2027
HON v KTP
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
HON93
KTP 98
28 Dec 2025
HON89
KTP 84
28 Feb 2025
HON89
KTP 94
05 Oct 2024
HON94
KTP 87
22 Nov 2022
HON78
KTP 94
08 Feb 2015
HON87
KTP 96
23 Nov 2014
HON85
KTP 87
09 Apr 2014
HON81
KTP 92
11 Jan 2014
HON80
KTP 103
26 Mar 2011
HON89
KTP 99
30 Dec 2010
HON91
KTP 97
15 Mar 2010
HON96
KTP 92
16 Dec 2009
HON80
KTP 67
22 Apr 2009
HON75
KTP 62
16 Apr 2009
HON81
KTP 55
11 Feb 2009
HON98
KTP 82
24 Oct 2008
HON79
KTP 69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Honka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KTP Kotka Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 82
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
88avg 82
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 82
A10/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
92avg 82
H16/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 82
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
94-96
94
96
-2
85avg 82
H24/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
119-105
119
105
+14
119avg 82
A30/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
no box
H03/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
78-119
78
119
-41
no box
A07/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
90-108
90
108
-18
no box
H13/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
34-18
21-30
18-25
23-19
25-22
17-25
20-19
22-29
30-20
28-20
28-30
16-24
30-22
26-21
28-19
28-35
24-27
19-25
29-22
27-28
21-23
22-25
24-20
39-25
30-23
26-24
24-33
28-25
21-31
22-23
23-12
18-44
15-25
32-29
13-21
22-30
24-23
20-25
24-30
197.9Avg total
97.9Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)98.7100.4199.1-1.664%
Season at home (6)95.794.7190.3+1.067%
Season away (5)102.4107.2209.6-4.860%
Last 10 (10)97.9100.0197.9-2.160%
Last 5 (5)95.0103.8198.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)94.697.5192.2-2.936%
vs Similar (17)87.093.8180.8-6.841%
vs Weaker (2)95.097.0192.0-2.050%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 78
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 78
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 78
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 78
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 78
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 78
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
55-92
55
92
-37
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
20-22
25-30
33-23
21-29
26-16
26-29
24-19
24-17
28-13
25-17
24-28
29-16
19-26
11-21
12-18
13-27
182.5Avg total
94.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.285.8178.0+6.473%
Season at home (5)95.882.2178.0+13.680%
Season away (6)89.288.8178.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)94.987.6182.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)93.094.0187.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar (14)82.984.4167.4-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.180.6174.8+13.593%
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
HonkaKTP Kotka Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A10/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H24/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A30/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H03/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
33-69
33
69
-36
A07/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/11
Korisliiga
101.4Avg total
50.3Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.748.994.7-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.945.991.7+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)45.652.097.6-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)50.351.1101.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)49.055.4104.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)48.050.798.7-2.736%-
vs Similar (17)44.247.791.9-3.547%-
vs Weaker (2)46.049.595.5-3.50%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/11
Korisliiga
90.8Avg total
46.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.487.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.485.0+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.743.288.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.390.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (14)42.442.584.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.042.490.4+5.679%-
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.6
55.8%
54.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.718.2
73.7%
75.8%18.2
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
75.8%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Honka
LLWWLLWWWW
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+0.5
Net rating
+7.6
100.4
Offensive rating
101.8
99.9
Defensive rating
94.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
11.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.7%
3-point %
38.7%
60.3%
Assist %
53.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 101.8Defence99.9 · 94.2Shooting52.9% · 54.5%3-point %32.7% · 38.7%Ball care11.8% · 16.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Honka   ■ KTP Kotka Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Honka wins
6
KTP Kotka Basket wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26KTP Kotka Basket v Honka105-119
06/03/26KTP Kotka Basket v Honka89-68
03/02/26Honka v KTP Kotka Basket93-98
28/12/25Honka v KTP Kotka Basket89-84
21/10/25KTP Kotka Basket v Honka97-81
28/02/25Honka v KTP Kotka Basket89-94
26/02/25KTP Kotka Basket v Honka87-67
03/12/24KTP Kotka Basket v Honka92-96
05/10/24Honka v KTP Kotka Basket94-87 OT
20/01/23KTP Kotka Basket v Honka91-78
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HBisons Loimaa90-108
07/11/26AKarhu Basket78-119
03/11/26HHelsinki Seagulls94-91
30/10/26AKTP Kotka Basket119-105
24/10/26HKipina94-96
21/10/26AKipina100-109
16/10/26HLahti Basketball100-86
10/10/26AKataja108-99
06/10/26HPyrinto Tampere97-96 OT
03/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-91
KTP Kotka Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKataja55-92
11/11/26ABisons Loimaa106-74
08/11/26HLahti Basketball100-81
04/11/26AKipina99-104
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Honka
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game98.795.7102.4
Allowed / game100.494.7107.2
Point differential-1.6+1.0-4.8
Avg total199.1190.3209.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game92.295.889.2
Allowed / game85.882.288.8
Point differential+6.4+13.6+0.3
Avg total178.0178.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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