Horsens vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 18:15

Final 105-82

33-24 22-17 24-11 26-30

Position#1

Record7-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game75.0

Horsens 🏆

Aalborg

Position#10

Record0-9

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game98.1

BasketligaenRound 10

Other2014-15

Meetings · Horsens v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

91-63

+28

A13/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

77-93

-16

H16/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-79

A20/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#15

111-79

111

+32

H23/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

82-77

H30/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

78-86

-8

A03/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

76-63

+13

A08/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

97-65

+32

H10/11

Denmark Cup

Svendborg

91-69

+22

A17/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

82-70

+12

A20/11

Basketligaen

31-11

24-10

22-17

14-25

16-19

22-17

23-29

16-28

23-27

21-21

21-12

23-19

–

22-13

19-23

23-21

18-20

26-20

15-31

16-14

21-21

25-12

15-17

23-13

13-21

–

22-20

24-9

23-21

22-19

28-14

21-15

23-19

10-22

161.7Avg total

87.3Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	83.2	75.0	158.2	+8.2	78%
Season at home (3)	81.0	81.7	162.7	-0.7	67%
Season away (6)	84.3	71.7	156.0	+12.7	83%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	74.4	161.7	+12.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	70.6	155.4	+14.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.1	85.2	164.4	-6.1	38%
vs Similar (9)	72.7	73.0	145.7	-0.3	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	86.6	76.2	162.8	+10.3	83%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

75-84

-9

A09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

69-95

-26

H13/10

Basketligaen

Randers

65-96

-31

A16/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

75-90

-15

H20/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-111

111

-32

A23/10

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

97-122

122

-25

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

80-96

-16

A01/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

73-93

-20

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

87-114

114

-27

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

62-93

-31

H19/11

Basketligaen

19-25

21-15

21-21

14-23

18-24

17-27

19-13

15-31

20-23

22-23

12-19

11-31

14-17

28-34

15-18

18-21

–

21-28

16-35

26-31

34-28

20-26

10-29

19-23

31-18

16-18

17-25

21-26

19-24

22-24

16-35

29-30

20-25

17-28

12-26

16-25

17-14

175.6Avg total

76.2Scored

99.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.9	98.1	174.0	-22.2	0%
Season at home (5)	75.2	98.6	173.8	-23.4	0%
Season away (4)	76.8	97.5	174.2	-20.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	99.4	175.6	-23.2	0%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	103.6	183.4	-23.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	81.0	96.5	177.6	-15.5	10%
vs Similar (8)	87.5	89.2	176.8	-1.8	38%
vs Weaker (1)	96.0	87.0	183.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.7	54%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (8)	24.1	17.0	41.1	+7.1	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	15.8	40.4	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.8	24.0	41.8	-6.2	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.9	17.7	42.6	+7.2	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	22.7	41.8	-3.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.8	43.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	23.7	42.2	-5.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.8	44.0	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	21.4	41.1	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	22.0	49.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	19.9	38.0	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	21.8	39.5	-4.0	17%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	24.4	43.0	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.3	17.7	33.0	-2.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.8	18.5	38.4	+1.3	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	24.5	43.7	-5.4	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	24.3	42.6	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	27.7	45.3	-10.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	30.0	44.2	-15.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	26.1	45.7	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	21.1	39.4	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

55-21

+34

A13/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

38-36

H16/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-48

-4

A20/10

Basketligaen

Randers

41-36

H30/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

41-51

-10

A03/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

40-29

+11

A08/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

46-29

+17

A17/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

49-29

+20

A20/11

Basketligaen

79.1Avg total

44.2Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.5	40.0	78.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	38.1	76.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	44.2	34.9	79.1	+9.4	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	34.8	78.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.4	48.4	84.8	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	33.3	33.7	67.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.7	36.3	81.0	+8.5	73%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

40-40

A09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

35-51

-16

H13/10

Basketligaen

Randers

42-46

-4

A16/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

42-51

-9

H20/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-63

-26

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

30-55

-25

A01/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

33-43

-10

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

38-59

-21

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

29-54

-25

H19/11

Basketligaen

87.6Avg total

36.2Scored

51.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.2	47.3	86.4	-8.1	10%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	47.5	86.6	-8.4	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	47.1	86.3	-7.8	13%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.2	51.3	87.6	-15.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	54.8	88.2	-21.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	39.5	49.4	88.8	-9.9	10%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.0	42.5	80.5	-4.5	12%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.9	18.8	39.6	+2.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	75%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.5	88%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.6	20.2	43.9	+3.4	62%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	17.4	36.6	+1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.6	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.3	43.9	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.8	22.9	42.7	-3.1	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	27.0	49.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.1	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.5	23.8	47.2	-0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.1	21.9	39.0	-4.8	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	16.6	35.8	+2.5	62%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	20.2	38.7	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.3	23.3	45.7	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	22.5	45.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	24.1	45.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	23.9	43.8	-4.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.4	24.2	45.7	-2.8	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	23.0	57.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.7	37.9	77.6	+1.9	61%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	36.8	76.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (8)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.2	76.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.8	36.9	79.6	+5.9	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.6	37.7	75.2	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	39.3	38.7	78.0	+0.5	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.9	46.1	89.0	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	45.9	88.6	-3.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	46.3	89.4	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.7	46.8	86.4	-7.1	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	48.8	95.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.9	46.8	87.7	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	46.6	44.8	91.4	+1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	44.0	97.0	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/14	Horsens v Aalborg	111-79
09/10/14	Horsens v Aalborg	84-75
27/02/14	Horsens v Aalborg	89-97 OT
12/01/14	Aalborg v Horsens	86-103
09/10/13	Aalborg v Horsens	71-84
27/01/13	Horsens v Aalborg	74-73
05/12/12	Aalborg v Horsens	71-85
17/10/12	Horsens v Aalborg	107-75
28/01/12	Aalborg v Horsens	90-101
04/01/12	Aalborg v Horsens	91-86

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/14	A	Herlev Wolfpack	82-70
17/11/14	A	Svendborg	91-69
10/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	97-65
08/11/14	A	Horsholm	76-63
03/11/14	A	Sisu	78-86
30/10/14	H	Randers	82-77
23/10/14	H	Aalborg	111-79
20/10/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	88-79
16/10/14	H	Bakken Bears	77-93
13/10/14	A	Vaerlose	91-63

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/11/14	H	Vaerlose	62-93
16/11/14	A	Sisu	87-114
06/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	73-93
01/11/14	A	Horsholm	80-96
29/10/14	H	Bakken Bears	97-122
23/10/14	A	Horsens	79-111
20/10/14	H	Svendborg	75-90
16/10/14	A	Randers	65-96
13/10/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	69-95
09/10/14	A	Horsens	75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	78%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	WLWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	3	6
Win %	78%	67%	83%
Points / game	83.2	81.0	84.3
Allowed / game	75.0	81.7	71.7
Point differential	+8.2	-0.7	+12.7
Avg total	158.2	162.7	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	0%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	75.9	75.2	76.8
Allowed / game	98.1	98.6	97.5
Point differential	-22.2	-23.4	-20.8
Avg total	174.0	173.8	174.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	9	9	0	100%	100.6	84.0	+16.6
2	Horsens	9	7	2	78%	83.2	75.0	+8.2
3	Herlev Wolfpack	10	7	3	70%	90.9	83.1	+7.8
4	Svendborg	10	7	3	70%	84.3	84.7	-0.4
5	Randers	9	5	4	56%	93.3	85.4	+7.9
6	Sisu	10	5	5	50%	88.7	87.0	+1.7
7	Team FOG Naestved	10	5	5	50%	81.5	82.8	-1.3
8	Vaerlose	10	2	8	20%	71.4	77.2	-5.8
9	Horsholm	10	1	9	10%	78.9	90.3	-11.4
10	Aalborg	9	0	9	0%	75.9	98.1	-22.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsens	33	22	24	26	105
Aalborg	24	17	11	30	82

← all games of the day

Horsens vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature