Aalborg vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 86-103

17-18 33-20 8-29 28-36

Position#9

Record5-8

FormWWLLW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game88.0

Aalborg

Horsens 🏆

Position#4

Record7-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game73.6

BasketligaenRound 16

Other2013-14

Meetings · Aalborg v Horsens

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Horsens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

77-84

-7

H26/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

63-94

-31

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

82-76

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

81-70

+11

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

87-90

-3

H20/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

83-79

A24/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

102-93

102

H05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

89-100

100

-11

A10/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

95-104

104

-9

A15/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

104-101 OT

104

101

H04/01

Basketligaen

13-19

26-15

21-21

17-29

20-22

15-28

14-30

14-14

21-16

16-23

23-17

22-20

25-18

16-15

18-21

22-16

20-33

25-9

16-27

26-21

16-20

20-17

23-23

24-19

30-31

23-22

24-17

25-23

24-23

14-25

30-24

21-28

20-23

19-23

31-20

25-38

20-26

24-19

28-24

22-25

175.4Avg total

86.3Scored

89.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.7	88.0	168.7	-7.3	38%
Season at home (7)	82.6	87.4	170.0	-4.9	43%
Season away (6)	78.5	88.7	167.2	-10.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	89.1	175.4	-2.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	95.4	190.0	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	74.4	85.9	160.4	-11.5	22%
vs Similar (9)	87.4	89.1	176.6	-1.7	44%
vs Weaker (2)	75.0	72.5	147.5	+2.5	100%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

72-59

+13

H17/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

70-72

-2

H20/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

70-78

-8

A31/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

63-74

-11

H06/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

78-79

-1

A21/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

84-78

H24/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

84-78

H12/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

79-57

+22

A19/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

79-67

+12

H05/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

89-77

+12

H09/01

Basketligaen

28-17

17-13

15-14

12-15

19-20

25-11

7-20

19-21

16-21

15-17

18-23

21-17

20-14

9-18

21-23

13-19

22-25

13-26

27-11

16-17

24-20

17-15

24-17

19-26

12-23

31-15

15-19

26-21

20-10

25-14

22-13

12-20

25-25

24-9

19-17

11-16

18-12

16-24

27-20

28-21

148.7Avg total

76.8Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	76.4	73.6	150.1	+2.8	50%
Season at home (9)	77.9	74.3	152.2	+3.6	56%
Season away (5)	73.8	72.4	146.2	+1.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	71.9	148.7	+4.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	71.4	154.4	+11.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.0	82.4	158.4	-6.4	40%
vs Similar (14)	83.6	80.3	163.9	+3.4	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	76.8	71.3	148.2	+5.5	67%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AalborgHorsens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.6	46.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.3	41.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.1	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.1	20.8	39.8	-1.7	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	12.0	28.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.4	38.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	19.2	40.9	+2.4	79%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	50%	-

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

39-34

H26/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

35-50

-15

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

37-39

-2

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-33

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

45-42

H20/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

36-37

-1

A24/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

53-53

H05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

38-48

-10

A10/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-46

-7

A15/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

44-45

-1

H04/01

Basketligaen

83.4Avg total

40.7Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.9	41.5	80.3	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	40.1	80.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	42.9	79.9	-5.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	42.7	83.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	45.8	87.8	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.8	42.7	80.5	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	41.6	83.0	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	30.5	67.0	+6.0	50%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

45-30

+15

H17/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-31

+13

H20/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

31-38

-7

A31/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

29-32

-3

H06/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

35-51

-16

A21/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

41-35

H24/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

43-38

H12/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

45-24

+21

A19/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

49-34

+15

H05/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

34-36

-2

H09/01

Basketligaen

74.5Avg total

39.6Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.9	40.9	83.8	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.9	41.2	79.1	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	33.4	75.8	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.8	43.7	81.5	-5.9	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.9	40.9	84.8	+3.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	38.3	36.8	75.2	+1.5	33%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	21.9	41.6	-2.3	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	21.6	48.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.1	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-2.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.7	41.1	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.3	45.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	26.6	50.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.4	21.4	38.9	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	19.5	38.4	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.7	43.9	82.6	-5.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	42.4	80.9	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	45.5	84.4	-6.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	45.7	90.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	48.2	98.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.6	42.7	78.2	-7.1	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.9	46.8	91.7	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	42.0	80.5	-3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	38.2	77.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.3	37.9	78.2	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	38.5	75.8	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	37.0	74.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.0	78.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.2	38.7	76.9	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	38.5	34.5	73.0	+4.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aalborg wins

Horsens wins

Date	Game	Score
09/10/13	Aalborg v Horsens	71-84
27/01/13	Horsens v Aalborg	74-73
05/12/12	Aalborg v Horsens	71-85
17/10/12	Horsens v Aalborg	107-75
28/01/12	Aalborg v Horsens	90-101
04/01/12	Aalborg v Horsens	91-86
13/10/11	Horsens v Aalborg	109-90
10/02/11	Horsens v Aalborg	73-87
09/12/10	Aalborg v Horsens	68-77
31/10/10	Horsens v Aalborg	94-66

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/14	H	Horsholm	104-101 OT
15/12/13	A	Svendborg	95-104
10/12/13	A	Sisu	89-100
05/12/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	102-93
24/11/13	A	Vaerlose	83-79
20/11/13	H	Horsholm	87-90
11/11/13	H	Herlev Wolfpack	81-70
07/11/13	A	Herlev Wolfpack	82-76
31/10/13	A	Bakken Bears	63-94
26/10/13	H	Sisu	77-84

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/14	H	Svendborg	89-77
05/01/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	79-67
19/12/13	A	Herlev Wolfpack	79-57
12/12/13	H	Bakken Bears	84-78
24/11/13	H	Sisu	84-78
21/11/13	A	Svendborg	78-79
06/11/13	H	Horsholm	63-74
31/10/13	A	Vaerlose	70-78
20/10/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	70-72
17/10/13	H	Herlev Wolfpack	72-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	38%
Home	WLLWW	43%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	38%	43%	33%
Points / game	80.7	82.6	78.5
Allowed / game	88.0	87.4	88.7
Point differential	-7.3	-4.9	-10.2
Avg total	168.7	170.0	167.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

Horsens

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	50%
Home	LWWWW	56%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	9	5
Win %	50%	56%	40%
Points / game	76.4	77.9	73.8
Allowed / game	73.6	74.3	72.4
Point differential	+2.8	+3.6	+1.4
Avg total	150.1	152.2	146.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	33%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	12	10	2	83%	91.0	72.2	+18.8
2	Svendborg	15	12	3	80%	84.9	75.5	+9.3
3	Randers	15	12	3	80%	88.7	80.9	+7.7
4	Horsens	14	7	7	50%	76.4	73.6	+2.8
5	Horsholm	15	7	8	47%	80.3	81.5	-1.1
6	Sisu	14	6	8	43%	82.6	83.4	-0.8
7	Aalborg	13	5	8	38%	80.7	88.0	-7.3
8	Team FOG Naestved	15	5	10	33%	76.9	83.5	-6.7
9	Herlev Wolfpack	15	4	11	27%	74.2	79.5	-5.3
10	Vaerlose	16	4	12	25%	75.3	89.0	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aalborg	17	33	8	28	86
Horsens	18	20	29	36	103

← all games of the day

Aalborg vs Horsens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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