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Horsens vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-91
19-24 36-18 17-22 23-27
Position#3
Record9-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game78.9
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#1
Record8-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game81.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2024-25
Meetings · Horsens v Bakken Bears
27 Dec 2026
HORS v BBE
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
HORS64
BBE103
26 Mar 2026
HORS93
BBE82
19 Feb 2026
HORS79
BBE88
05 May 2025
HORS83
BBE88
28 Apr 2025
HORS85
BBE90
13 Mar 2025
HORS86
BBE84
27 Dec 2024
HORS95
BBE91
04 Mar 2024
HORS88
BBE77
28 Dec 2023
HORS86
BBE80
27 Apr 2023
HORS69
BBE77
03 Mar 2023
HORS78
BBE94
27 Dec 2022
HORS87
BBE89
11 Mar 2022
HORS70
BBE80
02 Dec 2021
HORS72
BBE85
27 May 2021
HORS87
BBE96
21 May 2021
HORS84
BBE75
13 May 2021
HORS70
BBE77
03 Apr 2021
HORS80
BBE82
21 Mar 2021
HORS107
BBE105
31 Jan 2021
HORS92
BBE119
15 Mar 2020
HORS v BBE
upcoming
23 Jan 2020
HORS70
BBE103
13 May 2019
HORS76
BBE91
06 May 2019
HORS76
BBE83
08 Mar 2019
HORS86
BBE75
08 Feb 2019
HORS94
BBE101
03 May 2018
HORS68
BBE79
26 Apr 2018
HORS57
BBE71
14 Feb 2018
HORS85
BBE98
03 May 2017
HORS85
BBE93
27 Apr 2017
HORS76
BBE94
02 Feb 2017
HORS74
BBE69
11 Dec 2016
HORS90
BBE89
03 Nov 2016
HORS104
BBE98
09 May 2016
HORS84
BBE78
02 May 2016
HORS101
BBE64
25 Apr 2016
HORS69
BBE57
18 Apr 2016
HORS66
BBE88
08 Mar 2016
HORS66
BBE84
10 Dec 2015
HORS73
BBE62
15 May 2015
HORS72
BBE55
09 May 2015
HORS93
BBE67
30 Apr 2015
HORS79
BBE72
11 Dec 2014
HORS81
BBE86
16 Oct 2014
HORS77
BBE93
17 Apr 2014
HORS87
BBE104
10 Apr 2014
HORS79
BBE72
12 Dec 2013
HORS84
BBE78
04 Apr 2013
HORS71
BBE97
28 Mar 2013
HORS82
BBE78
10 Jan 2013
HORS79
BBE78
28 Oct 2012
HORS81
BBE92
28 Mar 2012
HORS87
BBE93
02 Feb 2012
HORS72
BBE81
03 Feb 2011
HORS59
BBE68
25 Nov 2010
HORS64
BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 79
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 79
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 79
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
48avg 79
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
95-59
95
59
+36
88avg 79
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 79
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H01/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
117-94
117
94
+23
112avg 79
A12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
80avg 79
A14/12
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
99-71
99
71
+28
94avg 79
H18/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
23-23
20-23
24-27
17-15
28-18
18-22
25-24
20-24
9-14
27-21
24-16
13-19
24-15
11-24
19-20
28-14
22-19
25-8
20-18
20-22
20-20
20-18
22-32
18-9
27-16
30-18
20-21
33-20
21-26
32-22
31-26
18-21
24-27
21-18
18-15
30-15
27-25
20-15
22-16
169.4Avg total
89.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.878.9167.8+9.975%
Season at home (5)88.074.8162.8+13.280%
Season away (7)89.481.9171.3+7.671%
Last 10 (10)89.779.7169.4+10.060%
Last 5 (5)97.083.2180.2+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.680.0158.6-1.440%
vs Similar (7)87.993.1181.0-5.329%
vs Weaker (18)90.476.9167.3+13.489%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#13
W
83-65
83
65
+18
72avg 90
H31/10
ENBL
Legia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
76avg 90
A06/11
ENBL
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
98-65
98
65
+33
94avg 90
A09/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
96-100
96
100
-4
92avg 90
H13/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 90
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Slovan Bratislava
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
65avg 90
H10/12
ENBL
Horsens
#3
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
89avg 90
H14/12
Denmark Cup
Bamberg
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 90
A18/12
ENBL
Amager
#6
W
105-72
105
72
+33
107avg 90
H21/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
22-18
16-13
30-16
22-26
22-29
23-16
12-17
24-20
18-18
26-10
30-17
28-30
32-18
21-30
15-22
24-16
17-20
20-30
19-25
22-16
20-21
25-20
18-13
27-19
18-16
23-26
13-26
21-18
27-24
18-21
15-18
25-23
21-27
9-19
26-18
25-18
27-14
25-23
28-17
170.0Avg total
88.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.681.0173.6+11.673%
Season at home (4)92.285.8178.0+6.550%
Season away (7)92.978.3171.1+14.686%
Last 10 (10)88.381.7170.0+6.650%
Last 5 (5)89.481.6171.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.089.5177.5-1.550%
vs Similar (6)83.082.7165.7+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.578.0171.5+15.591%
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
HorsensBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H01/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/12
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H18/12
Basketligaen
81.6Avg total
43.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.284.8+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.837.982.7+6.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.586.9+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.981.6+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
vs Similar (7)43.644.187.7-0.629%-
vs Weaker (18)46.138.884.9+7.367%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H31/10
ENBL
Legia
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A06/11
ENBL
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A09/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H13/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Slovan Bratislava
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/12
ENBL
Horsens
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/12
Denmark Cup
Bamberg
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A18/12
ENBL
Amager
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H21/12
Basketligaen
86.6Avg total
45.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.783.9+4.677%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.639.284.8+6.485%-
Last 30 away (17)43.240.083.2+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.986.6+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.285.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.046.093.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (6)40.038.078.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.239.584.7+5.686%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.1
52.4%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
32.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.816.3
71.5%
70.2%16.3
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
51.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.7
35.0%
32.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.912.3
68.7%
70.2%12.3
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WLWWLWLWWL
Bakken Bears
WLWLWLLWLW
#3
League position
#1
+8.9
Net rating
+13.3
108.1
Offensive rating
113.1
99.2
Defensive rating
99.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.9%
3-point %
35.0%
56.1%
Assist %
72.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 113.1Defence99.2 · 99.8Shooting50.6% · 53.3%3-point %31.9% · 35.0%Ball care19.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds35.0% · 35.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Horsens   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Horsens wins
7
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Bakken Bears v Horsens95-92 OT
19/09/24Bakken Bears v Horsens72-90
30/03/24Bakken Bears v Horsens83-66
04/03/24Horsens v Bakken Bears88-77
28/12/23Horsens v Bakken Bears86-80
19/09/23Bakken Bears v Horsens94-87
01/05/23Bakken Bears v Horsens100-94
27/04/23Horsens v Bakken Bears69-77
24/04/23Bakken Bears v Horsens90-61
10/04/23Bakken Bears v Horsens93-60
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HHerlev Wolfpack99-71
14/12/24ABakken Bears92-95 OT
12/12/24AAmager117-94
01/12/24HVaerlose95-64
28/11/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-92
14/11/24HVaerlose95-59
07/11/24ASvendborg67-78
03/11/24HBears Academy80-75
24/10/24AHolbaek-Stenhus88-79
17/10/24HRanders82-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HAmager105-72
18/12/24ABamberg81-87
14/12/24HHorsens95-92 OT
10/12/24HSlovan Bratislava81-87
30/11/24AVejen85-70
28/11/24ASvendborg80-91
13/11/24HTeam FOG Naestved96-100
09/11/24AHerlev Wolfpack98-65
06/11/24ALegia79-88
31/10/24HDinamo Bucharest83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game88.888.089.4
Allowed / game78.974.881.9
Point differential+9.9+13.2+7.6
Avg total167.8162.8171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW73%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%50%86%
Points / game92.692.292.9
Allowed / game81.085.878.3
Point differential+11.6+6.5+14.6
Avg total173.6178.0171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved13130100%97.086.7+10.3
2 Svendborg1312192%88.571.8+16.7
3 Horsens129375%88.878.9+9.9
4 Bakken Bears118373%92.681.0+11.6
5 Randers138562%89.881.5+8.2
6 Herlev Wolfpack134931%78.786.5-7.8
7 Holbaek-Stenhus113827%81.093.5-12.5
8 Copenhagen123925%82.285.2-3.0
9 Vaerlose123925%75.287.3-12.1
10 Amager1331023%84.894.3-9.5
11 Bears Academy1321115%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1936172395
Bakken Bears2418222791
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