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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 52-109
12-20 15-29 10-34 15-26
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game87.6
Holbaek-Stenhus
Denmark
vs
Bakken Bears 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game78.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby (Holbaek)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Bakken Bears
30 Oct 2026
HOLB75
BBE105
14 Nov 2025
HOLB75
BBE105
25 Sep 2024
HOLB77
BBE103
29 Nov 2023
HOLB52
BBE109
20 Nov 2022
HOLB56
BBE96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
53-104
53
104
-51
36avg 53
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
55avg 53
H01/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
61avg 53
A08/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
63avg 53
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-96
73
96
-23
56avg 53
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
61-107
61
107
-46
41avg 53
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 53
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
65-63
65
63
+2
59avg 53
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 53
H16/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4-13
21-28
15-27
13-36
23-17
13-20
15-29
15-21
17-17
20-27
17-24
20-29
13-20
27-14
20-20
24-29
14-25
17-26
21-23
21-22
12-24
7-26
22-27
20-30
24-13
13-20
11-18
13-22
21-10
9-15
20-22
15-16
13-14
9-15
8-17
12-13
11-26
23-17
22-20
14-15
149.6Avg total
64.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.487.6155.0-20.122%
Season at home (4)67.583.5151.0-16.00%
Season away (5)67.490.8158.2-23.440%
Last 10 (10)64.984.7149.6-19.820%
Last 5 (5)59.876.0135.8-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)67.586.9154.4-19.412%
vs Similar (2)72.578.0150.5-5.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
W
110-85
110
85
+25
116avg 83
A13/10
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 83
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amager
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
102avg 83
H21/10
Basketligaen
FC Porto
#12
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 83
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Norrkoping
#43
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 83
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
118-72
118
72
+46
116avg 83
H05/11
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 83
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
W
113-99 OT
113
99
+14
107avg 83
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 83
H19/11
Basketligaen
Norrkoping
#43
W
89-82
89
82
+7
74avg 83
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-11
28-23
26-20
25-31
20-21
22-22
18-19
16-20
28-14
24-16
25-16
25-28
16-26
18-22
19-23
25-18
22-22
16-16
12-18
19-19
27-10
30-26
30-22
31-14
23-28
16-18
18-18
23-21
16-27
26-23
17-13
25-21
22-16
22-22
25-21
29-18
26-27
27-23
18-22
18-10
175.3Avg total
93.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.978.5176.4+19.4100%
Season at home (5)101.078.0179.0+23.0100%
Season away (3)92.779.3172.0+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)93.382.0175.3+11.360%
Last 5 (5)99.683.0182.6+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.594.0189.5+1.550%
vs Similar (2)78.083.5161.5-5.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)91.075.5166.5+15.688%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
Holbaek-StenhusBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/11
Basketligaen
69.8Avg total
31.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.342.875.1-10.517%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.941.274.2-8.323%-
Last 30 away (17)31.944.075.9-12.112%-
Last 10 (10)31.138.769.8-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.436.064.4-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.243.575.7-11.312%-
vs Similar (2)38.533.572.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A13/10
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amager
#11
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H21/10
Basketligaen
FC Porto
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Norrkoping
#43
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H05/11
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/11
Basketligaen
Norrkoping
#43
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
87.3Avg total
46.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.184.1+5.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)46.336.983.2+9.468%-
Last 30 away (11)42.742.985.6-0.245%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.387.3+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.091.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.049.087.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (2)40.544.585.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.838.484.2+7.468%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.316.1
38.1%
51.8%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.0
27.6%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.413.3
62.2%
67.0%13.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.226.4
59.7%
51.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
31.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
67.0%14.5
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLWLLLWLLL
Bakken Bears
WWWLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#1
-24.7
Net rating
+14.0
81.6
Offensive rating
114.7
106.2
Defensive rating
100.7
39.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
25.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.6%
3-point %
30.8%
53.4%
Assist %
58.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence81.6 · 114.7Defence106.2 · 100.7Shooting39.3% · 54.5%3-point %27.6% · 30.8%Ball care25.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds33.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
2
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Holbaek-Stenhus v Bakken Bears56-96
07/10/22Bakken Bears v Holbaek-Stenhus118-69
Holbaek-Stenhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23HVaerlose70-78
12/11/23ABears Academy42-59
09/11/23ABears Academy65-63
02/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack61-73
24/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved61-107
22/10/23HCopenhagen73-96
13/10/23AAmager84-83
08/10/23AHorsens74-97
01/10/23HSvendborg66-87
17/09/23ARanders53-104
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23ANorrkoping89-82
19/11/23HTeam FOG Naestved98-77
15/11/23HFC Porto113-99 OT
08/11/23AManisa80-85
05/11/23HVaerlose118-72
01/11/23HNorrkoping69-75
24/10/23AFC Porto78-89
21/10/23HAmager102-74
18/10/23HManisa76-82
13/10/23ASvendborg110-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%0%40%
Points / game67.467.567.4
Allowed / game87.683.590.8
Point differential-20.1-16.0-23.4
Avg total155.0151.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.9101.092.7
Allowed / game78.578.079.3
Point differential+19.4+23.0+13.3
Avg total176.4179.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%97.978.5+19.4
2 Horsens108280%91.269.5+21.7
3 Svendborg108280%90.179.1+11.0
4 Team FOG Naestved96367%93.980.2+13.7
5 Randers106460%95.384.6+10.7
6 Copenhagen105550%83.977.6+6.3
7 Vaerlose105550%79.485.4-6.0
8 Herlev Wolfpack92722%66.783.4-16.8
9 Holbaek-Stenhus92722%67.487.6-20.1
10 Bears Academy102820%72.182.3-10.2
11 Amager9090%68.299.4-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus1215101552
Bakken Bears20293426109
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