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Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-90
15-17 21-31 19-20 16-22
Position#12
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#4
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
DenmarkDenmark Cup· Sondersohallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Horsens
31 Jan 2027
VAER v HORS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
VAER60
HORS74
08 Feb 2025
VAER69
HORS89
18 Mar 2024
VAER64
HORS86
25 Jan 2024
VAER78
HORS99
12 Nov 2023
VAER71
HORS90
04 Nov 2022
VAER82
HORS87
22 Oct 2021
VAER84
HORS89
03 Jan 2021
VAER84
HORS100
27 Sep 2019
VAER73
HORS93
16 Jan 2019
VAER94
HORS101
04 Dec 2014
VAER68
HORS76
13 Oct 2014
VAER63
HORS91
31 Oct 2013
VAER78
HORS70
16 Jan 2013
VAER75
HORS95
04 Oct 2012
VAER65
HORS79
02 Nov 2011
VAER92
HORS88
17 Feb 2011
VAER69
HORS80
21 Nov 2010
VAER92
HORS56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 69
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 69
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
92avg 69
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 69
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 69
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 69
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
34avg 69
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-118
72
118
-46
59avg 69
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 69
H07/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
17-19
15-20
20-23
23-19
17-33
19-29
23-19
15-17
29-18
20-23
12-12
29-20
20-19
29-21
24-23
23-19
16-19
19-22
27-18
13-21
20-12
22-18
24-19
21-27
28-11
13-18
17-27
16-15
12-25
11-29
17-19
10-27
26-30
22-30
14-31
20-21
25-21
17-31
23-21
165.6Avg total
78.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.587.1165.6-8.640%
Last 5 (5)74.290.6164.8-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.395.0171.3-18.711%
vs Similar (10)76.780.7157.4-4.050%
vs Weaker (10)85.375.5160.8+9.860%
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
85-100
85
100
-15
no box
A11/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
68avg 89
A14/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 89
A19/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
84-48
84
48
+36
86avg 89
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
98-92
98
92
+6
90avg 89
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
95avg 89
H08/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
84-65
84
65
+19
78avg 89
A12/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
88-56
88
56
+32
86avg 89
H29/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
114-51
114
51
+63
118avg 89
H05/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
98avg 89
A09/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
24-26
15-21
18-29
11-25
24-18
20-17
22-20
18-25
17-30
24-19
28-20
19-8
28-15
10-16
27-9
21-28
27-20
28-22
22-22
17-17
27-20
24-17
29-20
16-17
24-11
28-20
16-17
15-16
25-12
29-11
19-17
28-9
28-10
20-13
38-19
30-19
15-13
26-16
24-31
164.8Avg total
90.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.973.9164.8+17.070%
Last 5 (5)95.665.0160.6+30.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.591.9168.5-15.40%
vs Similar (5)95.486.6182.0+8.880%
vs Weaker (11)90.170.4160.5+19.791%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
VaerloseHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
Basketligaen
81.5Avg total
39.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.679.3-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.981.3+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)36.441.177.6-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.881.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.080.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.046.986.9-6.944%-
vs Similar (10)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker (10)41.836.278.0+5.670%-
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A11/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A19/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A12/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
56-19
56
19
+37
H05/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A09/11
Basketligaen
80.5Avg total
44.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.284.3+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.738.784.4+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.484.2-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.380.5+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.028.873.8+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.346.387.6-5.046%-
vs Similar (5)46.241.287.4+5.060%-
vs Weaker (11)44.535.079.5+9.582%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.9 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.821.4
47.9%
-42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.9
28.8%
-20.7
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.8%
-15.1
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.925.3
55.2%
-50.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.3%
-28.3
🏀 Free throws18.011.7
64.8%
-11.7
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLLWWWWLL
Horsens
WWWWWWWLLL
#12
League position
#4
-9.3
Net rating
+25.9
96.5
Offensive rating
116.9
105.8
Defensive rating
91.0
46.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
46.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.8%
3-point %
36.3%
52.9%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vaerlose wins
10
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Horsens v Vaerlose88-56
22/01/23Horsens v Vaerlose90-63
04/11/22Vaerlose v Horsens82-87
16/01/22Horsens v Vaerlose95-92
22/10/21Vaerlose v Horsens84-89
03/01/21Vaerlose v Horsens84-100
11/10/20Horsens v Vaerlose96-88
24/11/19Horsens v Vaerlose95-85
27/09/19Vaerlose v Horsens73-93
16/01/19Vaerlose v Horsens94-101
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HRanders85-94
05/11/23ABakken Bears72-118
29/10/23AHorsens56-88
22/10/23HSvendborg79-83
14/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack79-70
07/10/23HBears Academy85-78
28/09/23AAmager102-83
23/09/23HCopenhagen76-70
14/09/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-100
28/04/23ACopenhagen69-87
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23ATeam FOG Naestved95-79
05/11/23HAmager114-51
29/10/23HVaerlose88-56
12/10/23ACopenhagen84-65
08/10/23HHolbaek-Stenhus97-74
26/09/23HRanders98-92
23/09/23HHerlev Wolfpack84-48
19/09/23ABakken Bears87-94
14/09/23ASvendborg77-80
11/05/23ARanders85-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Denmark Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Horsens
Denmark Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bears Academy110100%59.042.0+17.0
2 Falcon110100%81.071.0+10.0
3 Svendborg110100%86.084.0+2.0
4 Herlev Wolfpack1010%84.086.0-2.0
5 Bjerringbro1010%71.081.0-10.0
6 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%42.059.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1521191671
Horsens1731202290
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