Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	87.8	75.5	163.3	+12.3	67%
Season at home (3)	93.0	71.3	164.3	+21.7	100%
Season away (3)	82.7	79.7	162.3	+3.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	82.0	165.6	+1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	74.6	164.6	+15.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	77.3	91.7	169.0	-14.4	0%
vs Similar (4)	95.5	88.5	184.0	+7.0	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	87.4	73.7	161.1	+13.6	91%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVaerlose

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

79-75

no box

A04/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

104-60

104

+44

no box

H12/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

79-86

-7

no box

A22/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

69-87

-18

no box

A28/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

82-100

100

-18

70avg 75

A14/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

76-70

71avg 75

H23/09

Basketligaen

Amager

#11

102-83

102

+19

92avg 75

A28/09

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

85-78

77avg 75

H07/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

79-70

72avg 75

A14/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

79-83

-4

70avg 75

H22/10

Basketligaen

27-20

28-20

6-14

18-21

20-7

30-16

23-24

31-13

15-22

22-19

23-20

19-25

17-25

17-19

15-20

20-23

23-19

17-33

19-29

23-19

15-17

29-18

20-23

12-12

29-20

20-19

29-21

24-23

23-19

16-19

19-22

27-18

13-21

20-12

22-18

24-19

21-27

28-11

13-18

17-27

162.6Avg total

83.4Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	83.8	80.7	164.5	+3.2	67%
Season at home (3)	80.0	77.0	157.0	+3.0	67%
Season away (3)	87.7	84.3	172.0	+3.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	79.2	162.6	+4.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	76.8	161.0	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	79.0	92.5	171.5	-13.5	17%
vs Similar (12)	76.5	80.7	157.2	-4.2	42%
vs Weaker (11)	85.3	75.5	160.7	+9.8	64%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	19.3	39.7	+1.2	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	21.1	38.8	-3.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.8	22.8	41.7	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.5	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	20.6	45.1	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.6	44.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.2	43.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	22.1	24.4	46.5	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	22.5	46.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.3	18.6	41.9	+4.6	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.6	41.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.8	38.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	23.0	24.3	47.3	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.7	15.7	37.5	+6.0	91%	-

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

38-48

-10

A24/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-35

H27/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

51-40

+11

A01/05

Basketligaen

Randers

52-50

A11/05

Basketligaen

Svendborg

35-43

-8

A14/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

35-55

-20

A19/09

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

47-23

+24

H23/09

Basketligaen

Randers

48-48

H26/09

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

44-37

H08/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

40-28

+12

A12/10

Basketligaen

83.3Avg total

42.6Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	42.6	85.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	40.9	85.6	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	44.2	85.0	-3.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	40.7	83.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.2	81.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	41.4	46.0	87.4	-4.6	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	46.5	43.5	90.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.7	37.9	81.6	+5.8	82%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

55-40

+15

A04/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

50-23

+27

H12/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

37-41

-4

A22/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

34-44

-10

A28/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

40-52

-12

A14/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

44-35

H23/09

Basketligaen

Amager

#11

49-39

+10

A28/09

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

39-38

H07/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

33-33

A14/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

49-38

+11

H22/10

Basketligaen

81.3Avg total

43.0Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.1	78.7	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	41.1	82.0	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.5	39.3	75.8	-2.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	38.3	81.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.6	79.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	41.8	47.2	89.0	-5.3	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.0	35.5	76.5	+5.5	73%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.9	41.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.4	23.7	43.1	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	22.2	43.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	21.8	42.1	-1.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+1.9	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	22.2	40.2	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.6	42.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	21%	-
vs Similar (4)	27.8	22.8	50.5	+5.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.8	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.6	39.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	39.1	80.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	44.1	83.4	-4.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	41.3	82.3	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	36.4	83.6	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.9	45.7	81.6	-9.8	7%	-
vs Similar (4)	49.0	45.0	94.0	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.6	35.8	79.5	+7.8	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.2	81.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	40.4	81.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	42.0	81.4	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.2	45.3	82.5	-8.2	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.9	39.6	78.5	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.3	40.0	84.3	+4.3	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 86.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.7 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	23.8	53.6%	51.8%	47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.7	34.7%	31.7%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	20.0	13.2	65.8%	67.0%	13.2

They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 82.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.5 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	23.0	53.9%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	31.7%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.3	71.9%	67.0%	15.3

They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	18.8	48.5%	51.8%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.7	35.4%	31.7%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.2	71.4%	67.0%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	21.5	55.1%	51.8%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	6.5	27.3%	31.7%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	25.7	17.2	66.9%	67.0%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	18.8	48.5%	51.8%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.7	35.4%	31.7%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.2	71.4%	67.0%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	21.5	55.1%	51.8%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	6.5	27.3%	31.7%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	25.7	17.2	66.9%	67.0%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Horsens

WWWWLLLLLL

Vaerlose

LWWWWLLLWW

League position

+15.8

Net rating

+3.9

114.5

Offensive rating

103.3

98.7

Defensive rating

99.4

53.0%

Effective FG%

50.1%

Opp. effective FG%

49.7%

20.9%

Turnover %

20.3%

47.3%

Off. rebound %

32.5%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.32

34.7%

3-point %

29.1%

52.8%

Assist %

50.8%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Horsens ■ Vaerlose

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
22/01/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	90-63
04/11/22	Vaerlose v Horsens	82-87
16/01/22	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-92
22/10/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-89
03/01/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-100
11/10/20	Horsens v Vaerlose	96-88
24/11/19	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-85
27/09/19	Vaerlose v Horsens	73-93
16/01/19	Vaerlose v Horsens	94-101
22/12/18	Horsens v Vaerlose	85-65

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/23	A	Copenhagen	84-65
08/10/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	97-74
26/09/23	H	Randers	98-92
23/09/23	H	Herlev Wolfpack	84-48
19/09/23	A	Bakken Bears	87-94
14/09/23	A	Svendborg	77-80
11/05/23	A	Randers	85-100
01/05/23	A	Bakken Bears	94-100
27/04/23	H	Bakken Bears	69-77
24/04/23	A	Bakken Bears	61-90

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/23	H	Svendborg	79-83
14/10/23	A	Herlev Wolfpack	79-70
07/10/23	H	Bears Academy	85-78
28/09/23	A	Amager	102-83
23/09/23	H	Copenhagen	76-70
14/09/23	A	Team FOG Naestved	82-100
28/04/23	A	Copenhagen	69-87
22/04/23	A	Amager	79-86
12/04/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	104-60
04/04/23	A	Copenhagen	79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	67%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	100%	33%
Points / game	87.8	93.0	82.7
Allowed / game	75.5	71.3	79.7
Point differential	+12.3	+21.7	+3.0
Avg total	163.3	164.3	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	83.8	80.0	87.7
Allowed / game	80.7	77.0	84.3
Point differential	+3.2	+3.0	+3.3
Avg total	164.5	157.0	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	6	6	0	100%	100.0	73.0	+27.0
2	Bakken Bears	6	6	0	100%	94.5	79.8	+14.7
3	Svendborg	7	5	2	71%	85.6	81.3	+4.3
4	Horsens	6	4	2	67%	87.8	75.5	+12.3
5	Vaerlose	6	4	2	67%	83.8	80.7	+3.2
6	Randers	8	4	4	50%	96.6	85.6	+11.0
7	Copenhagen	8	3	5	38%	82.6	83.4	-0.8
8	Bears Academy	6	2	4	33%	81.0	84.2	-3.2
9	Holbaek-Stenhus	6	1	5	17%	68.5	95.7	-27.2
10	Herlev Wolfpack	7	1	6	14%	64.4	86.3	-21.9
11	Amager	6	0	6	0%	72.8	92.8	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsens	15	25	29	19	88
Vaerlose	16	12	11	17	56

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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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