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Horsholm vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-87
14-30 31-12 14-26 19-19
Position#6
Record7-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#10
Record3-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game89.7
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 16
Other2013-14
Meetings · Horsholm v Vaerlose
16 Feb 2015
HORS95
VAER78
17 Dec 2014
HORS92
VAER90
24 Oct 2014
HORS72
VAER82
11 Jan 2014
HORS78
VAER87
17 Nov 2012
HORS84
VAER79
17 Oct 2012
HORS91
VAER82
11 Jan 2012
HORS78
VAER64
03 Mar 2011
HORS84
VAER71
23 Feb 2011
HORS77
VAER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsholm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsholmDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A19/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A06/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A20/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H23/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A30/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H11/12
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
A04/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A08/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
20-28
8-27
15-12
17-15
24-25
21-21
11-18
13-21
26-16
22-12
26-22
14-20
18-9
23-21
19-13
33-20
9-25
27-16
21-26
20-17
23-15
16-25
24-29
16-23
21-18
17-15
14-12
16-20
16-14
23-17
24-21
26-20
19-24
24-28
25-22
17-25
22-16
16-21
18-15
160.8Avg total
80.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.581.1161.6-0.650%
Season at home (5)83.478.4161.8+5.060%
Season away (9)78.982.6161.4-3.744%
Last 10 (10)80.680.2160.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)84.484.4168.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.486.7161.1-12.320%
vs Similar (11)84.179.1163.2+5.073%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)94.074.3168.3+19.767%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#9
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A24/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H31/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
60-102
60
102
-42
H07/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
63-105
63
105
-42
A20/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H24/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A30/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
93-122
93
122
-29
A07/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
68-91
68
91
-23
H11/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H15/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A07/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
7-12
26-15
16-15
21-16
17-15
23-18
17-21
22-27
12-29
10-24
16-22
14-29
14-26
18-18
17-32
20-16
17-20
23-23
19-24
27-28
22-28
26-23
13-16
14-29
29-23
19-32
31-38
19-28
16-19
14-25
19-19
26-18
16-14
19-25
17-19
14-33
18-24
18-23
17-20
165.1Avg total
74.0Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.589.7164.3-15.220%
Season at home (8)73.084.2157.2-11.238%
Season away (7)76.396.0172.3-19.70%
Last 10 (10)74.091.1165.1-17.120%
Last 5 (5)78.896.8175.6-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.989.0164.9-13.028%
vs Similar (2)79.076.5155.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (2)80.565.5146.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Horsholm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
HorsholmVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A06/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A20/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H23/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A30/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H11/12
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/01
Basketligaen
77.1Avg total
38.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.038.779.8+2.359%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.638.481.0+4.373%-
Last 30 away (18)40.138.979.0+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.477.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.477.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.139.578.6-0.443%-
vs Similar (11)40.638.579.1+2.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)51.335.787.0+15.7100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#9
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A24/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H31/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
34-56
34
56
-22
H07/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A20/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A30/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A07/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H11/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H15/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A07/01
Basketligaen
82.1Avg total
36.2Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.082.8-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.980.8-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.847.485.2-9.614%-
Last 10 (10)36.245.982.1-9.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.889.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.944.782.6-6.828%-
vs Similar (2)43.540.584.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)48.039.587.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Horsholm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Horsholm wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
17/10/13Vaerlose v Horsholm66-87
28/02/13Vaerlose v Horsholm63-84
17/11/12Horsholm v Vaerlose84-79
17/10/12Horsholm v Vaerlose91-82
29/01/12Vaerlose v Horsholm86-82
11/01/12Horsholm v Vaerlose78-64
13/10/11Vaerlose v Horsholm82-91
03/03/11Horsholm v Vaerlose84-71
23/02/11Horsholm v Vaerlose77-75
11/11/10Vaerlose v Horsholm59-69
Horsholmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/14ATeam FOG Naestved73-77
04/01/14AAalborg101-104 OT
11/12/13HSvendborg79-72
30/11/13AHerlev Wolfpack86-83 OT
23/11/13HRanders83-86
20/11/13AAalborg90-87
06/11/13AHorsens74-63
30/10/13HHerlev Wolfpack87-71
25/10/13ASvendborg73-79
19/10/13ASvendborg60-80
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/14ASisu67-100
15/12/13HTeam FOG Naestved78-76
11/12/13HHerlev Wolfpack68-91
07/12/13ARanders93-122
30/11/13ASvendborg88-95
24/11/13HAalborg79-83
20/11/13ARanders63-105
07/11/13HSvendborg60-102
31/10/13HHorsens78-70
24/10/13AAalborg66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsholm
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %50%60%44%
Points / game80.583.478.9
Allowed / game81.178.482.6
Point differential-0.6+5.0-3.7
Avg total161.6161.8161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %14%0%22%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%38%0%
Points / game74.573.076.3
Allowed / game89.784.296.0
Point differential-15.2-11.2-19.7
Avg total164.3157.2172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1210283%91.072.2+18.8
2 Svendborg1512380%84.975.5+9.3
3 Randers1512380%88.780.9+7.7
4 Horsens147750%76.473.6+2.8
5 Horsholm147750%80.581.1-0.6
6 Sisu146843%82.683.4-0.8
7 Aalborg135838%80.788.0-7.3
8 Team FOG Naestved1551033%76.983.5-6.7
9 Herlev Wolfpack1541127%74.279.5-5.3
10 Vaerlose1531220%74.589.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsholm1431141978
Vaerlose3012261987
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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