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Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#29
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game118.1
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Utah Jazz
03 Feb 2027
HOU v UTA
upcoming
13 Nov 2026
HOU v UTA
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
HOU140
UTA106
23 Feb 2026
HOU125
UTA105
02 Apr 2025
HOU143
UTA105
23 Mar 2024
HOU147
UTA119
20 Jan 2024
HOU127
UTA126
05 Jan 2023
HOU114
UTA131
24 Oct 2022
HOU114
UTA108
02 Mar 2022
HOU127
UTA132
28 Oct 2021
HOU91
UTA122
21 Apr 2021
HOU89
UTA112
09 Feb 2020
HOU113
UTA114
24 Apr 2019
HOU100
UTA93
17 Apr 2019
HOU118
UTA98
14 Apr 2019
HOU122
UTA90
17 Dec 2018
HOU102
UTA97
24 Oct 2018
HOU89
UTA100
08 May 2018
HOU112
UTA102
02 May 2018
HOU108
UTA116
29 Apr 2018
HOU110
UTA96
18 Dec 2017
HOU120
UTA99
05 Nov 2017
HOU137
UTA110
08 Mar 2017
HOU108
UTA115
19 Nov 2016
HOU111
UTA102
23 Mar 2016
HOU87
UTA89
07 Jan 2016
HOU103
UTA94
15 Apr 2015
HOU117
UTA91
10 Jan 2015
HOU97
UTA82
17 Mar 2014
HOU124
UTA86
20 Mar 2013
HOU100
UTA93
01 Dec 2012
HOU124
UTA116
11 Apr 2012
HOU91
UTA103
19 Feb 2012
HOU101
UTA85
20 Mar 2011
HOU110
UTA108
08 Jan 2011
HOU99
UTA103
07 Apr 2010
HOU113
UTA96
16 Feb 2010
HOU95
UTA104
21 Jan 2009
HOU108
UTA99
27 Dec 2008
HOU120
UTA115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
121-114
121
114
+7
116avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
120-110
120
110
+10
126avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
132-100
132
100
+32
127avg 107
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
111-116
111
116
-5
98avg 107
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
119-98
119
98
+21
110avg 107
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
109-93
109
93
+16
109avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
99-102
99
102
-3
81avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
110-100
110
100
+10
107avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
W
115-108
115
108
+7
108avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
29-22
33-33
29-33
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
35-26
27-25
30-24
27-23
29-29
28-21
25-23
27-20
30-33
27-24
27-25
23-35
23-35
24-12
28-29
24-26
32-24
22-16
23-28
33-32
35-20
21-31
29-28
30-29
220.1Avg total
114.3Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.4106.5221.9+8.975%
Season at home (7)115.4105.1220.6+10.386%
Season away (5)115.4108.4223.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)114.3105.8220.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)108.0104.0212.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)107.6105.7213.4+1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)121.1108.2229.3+12.981%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 101
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 101
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 101
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 101
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 101
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 101
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 101
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 101
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
34-29
25-37
28-19
21-38
223.1Avg total
105.6Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)106.6118.1224.7-11.58%
Season at home (7)109.4118.3227.7-8.914%
Season away (5)102.6117.8220.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)105.6117.5223.1-11.90%
Last 5 (5)106.0117.0223.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)111.0125.8236.8-14.88%
vs Similar (5)126.6120.4247.0+6.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
Houston RocketsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H12/11
NBA
105.2Avg total
56.3Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.850.8107.7+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.851.6111.4+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)53.549.9103.4+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)56.348.9105.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.0103.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)53.853.4107.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)59.548.6108.1+10.981%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H12/11
NBA
111.4Avg total
52.7Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.761.3117.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.660.4118.9-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)52.562.4114.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)52.758.7111.4-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.2108.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)54.862.2117.1-7.420%-
vs Similar (5)60.256.6116.8+3.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.928.5
52.9%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.0
34.0%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.320.3
80.2%
77.1%20.3
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.026.2
52.4%
54.0%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.911.9
32.2%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.419.8
78.0%
77.1%19.8
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLLWWLWWW
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#29
+1.8
Net rating
-9.3
111.5
Offensive rating
104.2
109.6
Defensive rating
113.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
32.2%
62.5%
Assist %
65.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 104.2Defence109.6 · 113.4Shooting52.1% · 50.7%3-point %34.0% · 32.2%Ball care14.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 26.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Houston Rockets wins
3
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HGolden State Warriors115-108
10/11/26HDenver Nuggets110-100
08/11/26APhoenix Suns99-102
05/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves107-117
03/11/26HBoston Celtics109-93
01/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-98
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
25/10/26AAtlanta Hawks121-114
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HOrlando Magic108-123
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game115.4115.4115.4
Allowed / game106.5105.1108.4
Point differential+8.9+10.3+7.0
Avg total221.9220.6223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.6109.4102.6
Allowed / game118.1118.3117.8
Point differential-11.5-8.9-15.2
Avg total224.7227.7220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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