PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Idaho State vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 83-93
35-50 48-43
Position#284
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#139
Record5-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A09/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H28/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A04/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#410
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-34
36-39
34-43
40-40
22-30
33-34
40-32
49-19
34-38
47-46
39-18
43-32
25-29
43-30
43-37
50-42
32-36
37-37
41-33
39-31
142.8Avg total
74.8Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.068.2143.2+6.858%
Season at home (6)84.366.5150.8+17.883%
Season away (6)65.770.0135.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)74.868.0142.8+6.850%
Last 5 (5)78.465.0143.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.479.4150.9-8.00%
vs Similar (11)74.572.1146.5+2.455%
vs Weaker (10)76.465.5141.9+10.980%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Menlo
#449
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H25/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
62-104
62
104
-42
A13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
54-35
26-26
54-42
32-31
31-36
34-36
43-37
33-33
42-38
39-43
40-52
33-26
44-30
28-33
41-42
16-52
46-52
43-43
35-36
151.3Avg total
75.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.675.7151.3-0.150%
Season at home (5)81.669.0150.6+12.680%
Season away (5)69.682.4152.0-12.820%
Last 10 (10)75.675.7151.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.081.8154.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.272.8137.0-8.622%
vs Similar (11)70.473.5143.9-3.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)73.666.3139.9+7.267%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +3.0+3.0
Idaho StateUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A09/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H28/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#410
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H19/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.1Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.968.6+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.734.271.9+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)31.433.664.9-2.229%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.066.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.030.666.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.436.467.9-5.014%-
vs Similar (11)35.634.670.3+1.045%-
vs Weaker (10)35.430.766.1+4.770%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Menlo
#449
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H06/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
16-52
16
52
-36
A13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.132.464.5-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.631.766.3+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)29.533.162.6-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.768.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.839.471.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.433.360.8-5.933%-
vs Similar (11)33.533.567.0+0.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)33.830.063.8+3.856%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Idaho State wins
1
UC Davis wins
DateGameScore
28/11/20UC Davis v Idaho State70-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HMontana Western80-64
11/12/25AUtah Valley State69-73
06/12/25HDenver93-79
04/12/25AUMKC68-59
28/11/25HCS Northridge82-50
26/11/25HSam Houston St.81-84
21/11/25HJustice College89-51
19/11/25ASanta Clara55-64
16/11/25ASeattle74-83
09/11/25ASan Diego State57-73
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HSeattle78-79
13/12/25AOregon62-104
05/12/25AHawaii69-75
25/11/25HLouisiana Lafayette77-56
22/11/25AColorado79-95
19/11/25ANevada75-71
15/11/25HSacramento State77-73
09/11/25APortland63-67
06/11/25HNorth Dakota St80-68
04/11/25HMenlo96-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game75.084.365.7
Allowed / game68.266.570.0
Point differential+6.8+17.8-4.3
Avg total143.2150.8135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game75.681.669.6
Allowed / game75.769.082.4
Point differential-0.1+12.6-12.8
Avg total151.3150.6152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado129375%86.975.8+11.2
2 Idaho117464%82.671.2+11.5
3 Idaho State127558%75.068.2+6.8
4 Portland State116555%80.270.5+9.7
5 Montana136746%80.974.8+6.1
6 Montana State125742%77.770.5+7.2
7 Weber State125742%81.974.8+7.1
8 Northern Arizona125742%72.174.7-2.6
9 Sacramento State114736%75.577.6-2.1
10 East. Washington1221017%77.484.7-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1210283%80.463.1+17.3
2 UC San Diego1210283%82.671.2+11.3
3 UC Santa Barbara128467%79.472.4+7.0
4 UC Irvine127558%77.865.6+12.2
5 CS Northridge127558%79.076.8+2.2
6 UC Davis105550%75.675.7-0.1
7 UC Riverside136746%74.976.8-1.8
8 CS Fullerton135838%89.685.4+4.2
9 Cal Poly135838%82.987.7-4.8
10 CSU Bakersfield135838%73.578.7-5.2
11 Long Beach State123925%73.078.2-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho State354883
UC Davis504393
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.