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Sacramento State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 62-70
29-40 33-30
Position#329
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#213
Record9-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sacramento State v Montana State
29 Jan 2026
SACR83
MONT80
01 Mar 2025
SACR60
MONT87
25 Jan 2024
SACR62
MONT70
28 Jan 2023
SACR65
MONT72
04 Dec 2021
SACR66
MONT68
27 Feb 2020
SACR81
MONT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#79
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H19/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
100-45
100
45
+55
H21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A29/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A30/12
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H04/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-50
30-33
54-13
46-32
22-33
36-28
27-44
34-43
33-26
34-38
22-36
28-27
35-30
36-39
34-35
32-29
33-40
42-37
27-31
34-39
134.4Avg total
66.1Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.871.9141.7-2.132%
Season at home (9)76.266.9143.1+9.356%
Season away (10)64.076.4140.4-12.410%
Last 10 (10)66.168.3134.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)64.668.6133.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.874.7138.5-10.921%
vs Similar (13)64.970.5135.5-5.623%
vs Weaker (2)80.557.5138.0+23.050%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#320
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H20/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A29/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A30/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H12/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
36-39
37-38
33-44
33-27
41-39
34-43
30-43
36-33
40-49
26-49
35-40
37-28
42-22
39-41
51-40
36-38
41-49
34-25
43-45
153.8Avg total
75.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.374.1148.4+0.247%
Season at home (12)79.272.4151.6+6.858%
Season away (7)65.977.0142.9-11.129%
Last 10 (10)75.778.1153.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)76.875.4152.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.583.2150.8-15.80%
vs Similar (13)71.974.0145.9-2.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.066.0144.0+12.092%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
Sacramento StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#79
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H19/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
54-13
54
13
+41
H21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A29/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/12
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H04/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H12/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A20/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
30.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.435.467.8-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.632.167.6+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)29.738.368.0-8.66%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.864.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.464.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.937.168.0-6.129%-
vs Similar (13)30.436.266.5-5.823%-
vs Weaker (2)40.522.062.5+18.550%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#320
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A29/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A30/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H12/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H23/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.668.0+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.431.668.9+5.874%-
Last 30 away (11)31.834.566.3-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.971.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.270.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.240.070.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (13)33.231.764.9+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.830.870.5+9.083%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ANorthern Arizona61-70
19/01/24ANorthern Colorado75-77
14/01/24HIdaho State66-64
12/01/24HWeber State71-69
07/01/24ASt. Thomas (Minn.)50-63
04/01/24HUMKC67-64
30/12/23AEast. Washington61-87
29/12/23AIdaho58-61
21/12/23HBethesda100-45
19/12/23HUC San Diego52-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HIdaho State77-70
21/01/24HMontana77-87
14/01/24HNorthern Colorado90-81
12/01/24HNorthern Arizona79-50
06/01/24ASouth Dakota St.61-89
04/01/24HOral Roberts76-82
30/12/23AWeber State64-86
29/12/23AIdaho State74-66
22/12/23ACS Northridge70-82
20/12/23HSouthern Utah89-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%56%10%
Points / game69.876.264.0
Allowed / game71.966.976.4
Point differential-2.1+9.3-12.4
Avg total141.7143.1140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW47%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %47%58%29%
Points / game74.379.265.9
Allowed / game74.172.477.0
Point differential+0.2+6.8-11.1
Avg total148.4151.6142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana1913668%79.071.3+7.7
2 East. Washington1811761%79.172.3+6.8
3 Northern Colorado1811761%81.578.4+3.1
4 Weber State2012860%75.864.5+11.3
5 Portland State1911858%70.871.5-0.7
6 Montana State1991047%74.374.1+0.2
7 Northern Arizona1991047%65.876.1-10.3
8 Idaho1871139%69.670.7-1.1
9 Idaho State2071335%68.269.0-0.8
10 Sacramento State1961332%69.871.9-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State293362
Montana State403070
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