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Illawarra Hawks vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 92-95
26-18 31-21 14-34 21-22
Position#15
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game88.5
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Penrith P. 🏆
Australia
Position#16
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game95.7
AustraliaNBL1 East· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
106-95
106
95
+11
104avg 79
A11/02
NBL
Perth
#3
W
108-92
108
92
+16
101avg 79
H15/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 79
A18/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
76-92
76
92
-16
65avg 79
A28/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
76avg 79
H04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
106-115 OT
106
115
-9
no box
A07/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
113-108 OT
113
108
+5
no box
H10/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 79
A13/03
NBL
Canberra
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
no box
A06/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A13/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
28-29
20-19
27-30
24-26
32-24
28-21
24-21
17-23
25-15
24-30
21-24
17-29
27-22
19-19
13-22
31-17
11-25
24-21
22-22
29-25
28-31
27-18
16-26
19-25
31-24
23-26
24-22
24-30
23-24
18-22
29-24
22-28
12-23
9-25
26-25
16-21
13-20
16-21
19-14
186.7Avg total
91.1Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.588.5155.0-22.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)66.588.5155.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)91.195.6186.7-4.540%
Last 5 (5)89.2100.0189.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.098.7187.7-9.720%
vs Similar ◀ (18)89.686.8176.4+2.861%
vs Weaker (2)108.075.0183.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormP.
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
57-95
57
95
-38
no box
H24/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
no box
H02/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
H08/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
95-101
95
101
-6
no box
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
80-108
80
108
-28
no box
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
77-95
77
95
-18
no box
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
95-112
95
112
-17
no box
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A19/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
14-32
16-23
17-18
10-24
17-27
22-25
19-18
18-29
20-22
15-26
16-19
28-27
17-25
28-25
22-24
19-28
17-26
26-27
18-27
21-29
19-20
21-21
16-25
15-21
12-33
31-21
28-18
12-26
21-15
22-20
18-26
22-26
22-27
29-34
22-25
16-16
16-18
20-30
25-24
174.6Avg total
77.7Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.795.7177.3-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)81.795.7177.3-14.00%
Last 10 (10)77.796.9174.6-19.20%
Last 5 (5)81.695.0176.6-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.594.4167.9-20.912%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
Illawarra HawksPenrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A11/02
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H15/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A18/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A28/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A07/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H10/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A13/03
NBL
Canberra
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A06/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A13/04
NBL1 East
93.8Avg total
46.0Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.244.890.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.144.689.7+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)45.244.990.2+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)46.047.893.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.450.293.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.047.889.8-5.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)46.343.990.3+2.450%-
vs Weaker (2)50.537.588.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
24-54
24
54
-30
H24/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H02/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H08/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
NBL1 East
83.9Avg total
34.6Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)34.149.783.8-15.64%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.849.584.3-14.70%-
Last 30 away (14)33.649.983.5-16.27%-
Last 10 (10)34.649.383.9-14.70%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.281.4-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.149.783.8-15.64%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws27.919.5
69.9%
-19.5
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penrith P.their own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illawarra Hawks wins
0
Penrith P. wins
No previous meetings.
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ABankstown Bruins64-76
06/04/24ACanberra69-101
13/03/24AMelbourne United94-100
10/03/24HMelbourne United113-108 OT
07/03/24AMelbourne United106-115 OT
04/03/24HNew Zealand Breakers88-85
28/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers76-92
18/02/24AMelbourne United87-92
15/02/24HPerth108-92
11/02/24ASydney106-95
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins77-88
14/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders95-112
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks73-87
23/07/23AInner West Bulls86-93
22/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders77-95
15/07/23HNorths Bears80-108
09/07/23HMaitland M.95-101
08/07/23HNewcastle Falcons69-96
02/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 268-94
24/06/23HHills Hornets57-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.5-66.5
Allowed / game88.5-88.5
Point differential-22.0--22.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.7-81.7
Allowed / game95.7-95.7
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total177.3-177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manly W.110100%110.079.0+31.0
2 Maitland M.330100%100.073.3+26.7
3 Bankstown Bruins330100%78.370.3+8.0
4 Inner West Bulls54180%87.481.0+6.4
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits43175%93.884.2+9.5
6 Central Coast Crusaders32167%98.086.0+12.0
7 Canberra32167%79.073.0+6.0
8 Sydney Comets32167%80.374.7+5.7
9 Norths Bears21150%71.062.5+8.5
10 Sutherland Sharks21150%80.090.0-10.0
11 BA CoE1010%88.099.0-11.0
12 Penrith P.3030%81.795.7-14.0
13 Hills Hornets2020%74.088.5-14.5
14 Hornsby S.4040%80.5101.2-20.8
15 Newcastle Falcons3030%65.787.0-21.3
16 Illawarra Hawks2020%66.588.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2631142192
Penrith P.1821342295
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