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Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 108-92
24-26 32-24 28-21 24-21
Position#4
Record13-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#3
Record17-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game91.1
AustraliaNBLRound 20· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Perth
30 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
06 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ILLA99
PERT106
22 Dec 2024
ILLA120
PERT88
15 Feb 2024
ILLA108
PERT92
08 Dec 2023
ILLA100
PERT82
31 Dec 2022
ILLA97
PERT107
27 Jan 2022
ILLA80
PERT94
22 Jan 2022
ILLA78
PERT94
12 Jun 2021
ILLA71
PERT79
01 Jun 2021
ILLA81
PERT79
07 Mar 2021
ILLA70
PERT87
10 Jan 2020
ILLA77
PERT99
27 Oct 2019
ILLA76
PERT81
23 Dec 2018
ILLA81
PERT77
11 Nov 2018
ILLA81
PERT90
23 Dec 2017
ILLA96
PERT84
10 Dec 2017
ILLA91
PERT99
01 Mar 2017
ILLA77
PERT89
31 Dec 2016
ILLA87
PERT95
28 Oct 2016
ILLA81
PERT76
21 Feb 2016
ILLA104
PERT87
11 Nov 2015
ILLA96
PERT99
25 Oct 2015
ILLA99
PERT106
31 Dec 2014
ILLA77
PERT86
31 Oct 2014
ILLA64
PERT83
30 Mar 2014
ILLA61
PERT80
04 Jan 2014
ILLA96
PERT91
17 Nov 2013
ILLA76
PERT89
31 Mar 2013
ILLA81
PERT85
14 Dec 2012
ILLA78
PERT75
04 Nov 2012
ILLA100
PERT67
11 Dec 2011
ILLA70
PERT98
20 Nov 2011
ILLA70
PERT86
12 Feb 2011
ILLA105
PERT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 78
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 78
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
92-93
92
93
-1
86avg 78
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
74avg 78
H20/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 78
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
73avg 78
H28/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 78
H03/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
70avg 78
A09/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
106-95
106
95
+11
104avg 78
A11/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
29-21
33-23
30-19
18-20
18-15
20-15
30-36
26-30
30-29
24-31
23-20
23-19
17-25
23-23
29-26
15-21
24-21
23-26
27-28
28-21
27-14
16-20
24-22
22-22
20-26
22-20
25-17
22-18
28-26
12-22
27-10
21-18
21-23
19-27
24-20
31-17
28-29
20-19
27-30
187.7Avg total
97.2Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.589.8180.2+0.750%
Season at home (13)92.891.0183.8+1.854%
Season away (13)88.188.5176.6-0.546%
Last 10 (10)97.290.5187.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)92.884.2177.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.498.9183.2-14.512%
vs Similar ◀ (19)87.688.1175.7-0.547%
vs Weaker (3)109.785.3195.0+24.3100%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 84
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
92avg 84
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
108-102
108
102
+6
101avg 84
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-79
100
79
+21
83avg 84
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
118-86
118
86
+32
119avg 84
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
96avg 84
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
63avg 84
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 84
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
71avg 84
H04/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
112avg 84
H10/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
28-26
22-24
29-35
34-29
20-19
28-9
18-25
24-35
29-23
34-19
21-25
28-19
28-20
14-22
30-18
31-13
26-25
28-23
33-25
34-20
24-37
22-21
24-20
21-28
14-27
20-16
22-24
29-17
30-29
20-23
24-22
16-21
23-25
24-25
15-18
30-30
27-27
22-15
38-16
192.2Avg total
101.0Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)94.891.1186.0+3.765%
Season at home (14)94.186.9180.9+7.271%
Season away (12)95.896.1191.8-0.358%
Last 10 (10)101.091.2192.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)95.892.2188.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)92.194.6186.7-2.450%
vs Weaker (13)95.986.9182.8+9.077%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
Illawarra HawksPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H20/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H03/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A11/02
NBL
90.2Avg total
47.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.445.090.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.145.990.9-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)45.744.189.8+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)47.243.090.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.642.892.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.147.889.9-5.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)45.444.289.6+1.347%-
vs Weaker (3)53.743.397.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H10/02
NBL
100.9Avg total
52.2Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.545.992.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.344.189.4+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)47.948.095.9-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)52.248.7100.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)49.652.2101.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.036.076.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.049.594.5-4.525%-
vs Weaker (13)48.842.291.1+6.677%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.124.7
52.4%
50.9%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.9
36.3%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.818.6
72.1%
73.8%18.6
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 100.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.326.5
53.8%
50.9%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.0
35.2%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws28.423.0
81.0%
73.8%23.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WLWWWLLLWW
Perth
WLWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#3
+9.1
Net rating
+11.8
117.4
Offensive rating
120.0
108.4
Defensive rating
108.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.3%
3-point %
35.2%
53.0%
Assist %
51.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 120.0Defence108.4 · 108.3Shooting53.1% · 53.5%3-point %36.3% · 35.2%Ball care15.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds34.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
7
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASydney106-95
09/02/24ANew Zealand Breakers85-88
03/02/24HBrisbane Bullets89-76
28/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers89-85
25/01/24APerth95-77
20/01/24HAdelaide89-96
18/01/24HCairns Taipans92-93
14/01/24ABrisbane Bullets103-110
12/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers108-107 OT
05/01/24HSouth East Melbourne116-78
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HCairns Taipans117-88
04/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers78-89
27/01/24ASouth East Melbourne103-91
25/01/24HIllawarra Hawks77-95
21/01/24ASydney104-98
19/01/24HBrisbane Bullets118-86
13/01/24HSouth East Melbourne100-79
07/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers108-102
28/12/23AAdelaide100-82
26/12/23ACairns Taipans105-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWLLWW54%
AwayWLWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%54%46%
Points / game90.592.888.1
Allowed / game89.891.088.5
Point differential+0.7+1.8-0.5
Avg total180.2183.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %65%71%58%
Points / game94.894.195.8
Allowed / game91.186.996.1
Point differential+3.7+7.2-0.3
Avg total186.0180.9191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2619773%93.787.3+6.3
2 Perth2617965%94.891.1+3.7
3 Tasmania JackJumpers27151256%91.885.4+6.4
4 Illawarra Hawks26131350%90.589.8+0.7
5 Brisbane Bullets27131448%87.890.0-2.2
6 New Zealand Breakers26121446%89.489.1+0.3
7 Sydney27121544%94.493.9+0.6
8 Cairns Taipans27111641%89.292.6-3.4
9 Adelaide27111641%88.292.3-4.1
10 South East Melbourne27101737%87.395.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks24322824108
Perth2624212192
← all games of the day
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