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Sydney vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 95-106
17-31 29-28 19-20 30-27
Position#7
Record12-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game93.4
Sydney
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record12-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBLRound 19· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v Illawarra Hawks
25 Dec 2026
SYDN v ILLA
upcoming
27 Sep 2026
SYDN121
ILLA100
29 Jan 2026
SYDN122
ILLA104
25 Dec 2025
SYDN108
ILLA84
25 Dec 2024
SYDN108
ILLA111
29 Sep 2024
SYDN89
ILLA96
11 Feb 2024
SYDN95
ILLA106
25 Dec 2023
SYDN90
ILLA94
15 Jan 2023
SYDN84
ILLA79
20 Nov 2022
SYDN83
ILLA82
01 May 2022
SYDN99
ILLA87
24 Apr 2022
SYDN84
ILLA87
11 Dec 2021
SYDN84
ILLA92
11 Mar 2021
SYDN69
ILLA89
14 Feb 2021
SYDN82
ILLA85
14 Feb 2020
SYDN98
ILLA82
17 Nov 2019
SYDN92
ILLA87
13 Jan 2019
SYDN84
ILLA96
02 Nov 2018
SYDN86
ILLA79
05 Nov 2017
SYDN83
ILLA93
15 Oct 2017
SYDN103
ILLA87
23 Dec 2016
SYDN75
ILLA87
24 Oct 2016
SYDN90
ILLA73
09 Jan 2016
SYDN90
ILLA114
17 Oct 2015
SYDN86
ILLA100
15 Feb 2015
SYDN73
ILLA75
11 Oct 2014
SYDN86
ILLA83
15 Feb 2014
SYDN84
ILLA102
14 Dec 2013
SYDN63
ILLA69
15 Dec 2012
SYDN70
ILLA63
09 Nov 2012
SYDN65
ILLA51
24 Mar 2012
SYDN68
ILLA77
23 Oct 2011
SYDN95
ILLA89
21 Jan 2011
SYDN81
ILLA71
12 Dec 2010
SYDN80
ILLA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
86avg 88
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
101-82
101
82
+19
93avg 88
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
81avg 88
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 88
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 88
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 88
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 88
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 88
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 88
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 88
A02/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
19-29
25-31
17-17
27-24
27-21
15-12
32-25
23-18
17-20
19-35
26-28
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
20-34
37-24
21-22
20-24
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
22-26
36-17
14-22
26-21
18-17
23-20
18-17
19-31
185.6Avg total
92.8Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)94.493.4187.8+1.046%
Season at home (13)96.893.8190.5+3.054%
Season away (13)92.193.1185.2-1.038%
Last 10 (10)92.892.8185.6+0.030%
Last 5 (5)95.491.0186.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)91.488.5179.9+2.853%
vs Weaker (11)94.494.4188.7+0.045%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 77
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 77
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 77
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
92-93
92
93
-1
86avg 77
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
74avg 77
H20/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 77
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
73avg 77
H28/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 77
H03/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
70avg 77
A09/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
21-29
31-12
20-31
24-15
29-21
33-23
30-19
18-20
18-15
20-15
30-36
26-30
30-29
24-31
23-20
23-19
17-25
23-23
29-26
15-21
24-21
23-26
27-28
28-21
27-14
16-20
24-22
22-22
20-26
22-20
25-17
22-18
28-26
12-22
27-10
21-18
21-23
19-27
24-20
185.1Avg total
95.7Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.889.6179.4+0.348%
Season at home (13)92.891.0183.8+1.854%
Season away (12)86.688.0174.6-1.442%
Last 10 (10)95.789.4185.1+6.360%
Last 5 (5)89.484.4173.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.796.3180.0-12.722%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.687.7174.3-1.244%
vs Weaker (3)109.785.3195.0+24.3100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
SydneyIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/02
NBL
93.7Avg total
48.1Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.791.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.246.695.8+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)44.942.887.7+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)48.145.693.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.646.6101.2+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)47.443.090.4+4.463%-
vs Weaker (11)46.547.694.2-1.145%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H20/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H03/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/02
NBL
87.8Avg total
45.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.789.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.145.990.9-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)44.343.387.6+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.587.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.087.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.846.388.1-4.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)44.744.188.7+0.644%-
vs Weaker (3)53.743.397.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.0
55.3%
50.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.4
29.6%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.518.0
80.0%
73.8%18.0
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.2
52.0%
50.9%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.6
35.8%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.217.3
71.5%
73.8%17.3
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWLLWLLLWL
Illawarra Hawks
LWWWLLLWWW
#7
League position
#4
+0.7
Net rating
+8.4
112.4
Offensive rating
116.0
111.6
Defensive rating
107.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.6%
3-point %
35.8%
55.6%
Assist %
49.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 116.0Defence111.6 · 107.5Shooting50.5% · 52.6%3-point %29.6% · 35.8%Ball care15.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sydney   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sydney wins
2
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
25/12/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks90-94
03/11/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney83-103
30/09/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney81-96
15/01/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks84-79
16/12/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-86
20/11/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks83-82
01/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney97-106
01/05/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks99-87
29/04/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-89
24/04/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks84-87
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AAdelaide78-85
28/01/24HMelbourne United98-86
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104
21/01/24HPerth98-104
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101
04/01/24HMelbourne United85-101
29/12/23HCairns Taipans101-82
25/12/23HIllawarra Hawks90-94
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24ANew Zealand Breakers85-88
03/02/24HBrisbane Bullets89-76
28/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers89-85
25/01/24APerth95-77
20/01/24HAdelaide89-96
18/01/24HCairns Taipans92-93
14/01/24ABrisbane Bullets103-110
12/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers108-107 OT
05/01/24HSouth East Melbourne116-78
31/12/23HAdelaide91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeLLWLW54%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%54%38%
Points / game94.496.892.1
Allowed / game93.493.893.1
Point differential+1.0+3.0-1.0
Avg total187.8190.5185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWLLWW54%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game89.892.886.6
Allowed / game89.691.088.0
Point differential+0.3+1.8-1.4
Avg total179.4183.8174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2619773%93.787.3+6.3
2 Perth2617965%94.891.1+3.7
3 Tasmania JackJumpers27151256%91.885.4+6.4
4 Brisbane Bullets27131448%87.890.0-2.2
5 Illawarra Hawks25121348%89.889.6+0.3
6 Sydney26121446%94.493.4+1.0
7 New Zealand Breakers26121446%89.489.1+0.3
8 Cairns Taipans27111641%89.292.6-3.4
9 Adelaide27111641%88.292.3-4.1
10 South East Melbourne27101737%87.395.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney1729193095
Illawarra Hawks31282027106
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