Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 78-75

18-22 10-20 23-9 27-24

Position#4

Record7-3

FormLWWLL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game67.6

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Perth

Position#3

Record8-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game70.6

NBLRound 11

Other2012-13

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Perth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

79-76

H05/10

NBL

Cairns

68-58

+10

A12/10

NBL

Townsville

84-66

+18

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

77-63

+14

A28/10

NBL

Perth

100-67

100

+33

H04/11

NBL

Sydney

51-65

-14

A09/11

NBL

Cairns

73-59

+14

H17/11

NBL

Melbourne United

74-66

A25/11

NBL

Cairns

66-76

-10

A02/12

NBL

Perth

68-80

-12

A07/12

NBL

26-20

14-23

21-12

18-21

23-12

12-13

15-15

18-18

20-13

25-17

18-16

21-20

12-21

18-15

17-13

30-14

38-19

16-12

24-19

22-17

19-19

10-13

11-16

11-17

17-12

12-21

20-19

24-7

21-20

18-16

12-17

23-13

22-19

13-23

12-23

19-11

7-19

21-20

27-16

13-25

141.6Avg total

74.0Scored

67.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	74.0	67.6	141.6	+6.4	70%
Season at home (4)	84.0	67.0	151.0	+17.0	100%
Season away (6)	67.3	68.0	135.3	-0.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	67.6	141.6	+6.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	66.4	69.2	135.6	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	72.6	80.5	153.1	-7.9	17%
vs Similar (15)	75.1	71.6	146.7	+3.5	60%
vs Weaker (3)	71.3	69.0	140.3	+2.3	67%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

82-58

+24

A14/10

NBL

Melbourne United

74-65

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

67-100

100

-33

A04/11

NBL

Adelaide

65-77

-12

A11/11

NBL

Adelaide

65-69

-4

H16/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

89-64

+25

H22/11

NBL

Townsville

68-63

A24/11

NBL

Sydney

75-56

+19

H30/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-68

+12

H07/12

NBL

Adelaide

91-85 OT

A09/12

NBL

23-17

11-21

23-12

25-8

24-19

17-18

21-19

12-9

19-38

12-16

19-24

17-22

18-24

23-18

16-11

8-24

14-20

18-11

14-14

19-24

28-27

17-8

19-8

25-21

28-16

16-19

12-14

11-14

26-5

22-23

16-14

19-7

20-21

16-27

25-13

17-23

22-24

12-15

26-15

146.1Avg total

75.6Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.2	70.6	147.8	+6.5	73%
Season at home (4)	77.2	64.2	141.5	+13.0	75%
Season away (7)	77.1	74.3	151.4	+2.9	71%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	70.5	146.1	+5.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	67.2	147.8	+13.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	88.0	84.1	172.1	+3.9	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	79.6	71.1	150.7	+8.5	74%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksPerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.7	19.6	39.2	+0.1	58%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.7	18.1	36.9	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.5	41.7	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.1	43.1	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	24.9	25.7	50.6	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.0	20.0	39.9	+0.0	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	17.3	33.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	18.6	33.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.1	42%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.7	17.3	35.0	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	17.7	34.0	-1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.6	38.6	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	16.3	40.3	+7.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.9	36.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.1	34.3	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.4	35.6	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	21.1	17.4	38.6	+3.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	17.6	38.7	+3.4	61%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

40-43

-3

H05/10

NBL

Cairns

35-25

+10

A12/10

NBL

Townsville

45-30

+15

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

30-36

-6

A28/10

NBL

Perth

54-31

+23

H04/11

NBL

Sydney

29-32

-3

A09/11

NBL

Cairns

29-33

-4

H17/11

NBL

Melbourne United

39-36

A25/11

NBL

Cairns

35-42

-7

A02/12

NBL

Perth

28-39

-11

A07/12

NBL

71.1Avg total

36.4Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	37.1	74.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	37.4	78.0	+3.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	36.9	71.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	34.7	71.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	36.4	68.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.8	39.8	78.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.5	35.4	71.9	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	33%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

34-38

-4

A14/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-37

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

31-54

-23

A04/11

NBL

Adelaide

41-42

-1

A11/11

NBL

Adelaide

32-31

H16/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-35

+10

H22/11

NBL

Townsville

44-35

A24/11

NBL

Sydney

37-19

+18

H30/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-28

+11

H07/12

NBL

Adelaide

39-47

-8

A09/12

NBL

74.9Avg total

38.3Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.9	81.0	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	36.8	82.0	+8.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.9	80.1	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	36.6	74.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	32.8	73.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	46.0	43.1	89.1	+2.9	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.0	37.6	78.6	+3.4	61%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	18.2	34.1	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	19.4	36.1	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.1	17.2	32.3	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.6	34.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.6	19.4	35.0	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	15.9	18.0	33.9	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	14.7	31.3	+2.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	16.7	34.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.6	38.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	14.6	32.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	16.4	36.7	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.4	34.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.4	36.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.9	17.3	36.1	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.7	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	37.8	73.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	38.9	77.1	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	36.8	71.2	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	32.9	70.5	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	32.8	67.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.8	40.7	74.4	-6.9	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.7	36.2	74.9	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	33.3	34.0	67.3	-0.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	33.9	72.0	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	33.4	73.1	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	34.5	71.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	33.1	69.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	32.8	69.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	38.0	33.2	71.1	+4.8	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/12	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	80-68
04/11/12	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	100-67
11/12/11	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	70-98
20/11/11	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	70-86
05/11/11	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	87-71
12/02/11	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	105-73
14/01/11	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	92-58
29/10/10	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	87-84

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/12	A	Perth	68-80
02/12/12	A	Cairns	66-76
25/11/12	A	Melbourne United	74-66
17/11/12	H	Cairns	73-59
09/11/12	A	Sydney	51-65
04/11/12	H	Perth	100-67
28/10/12	A	Adelaide	77-63
21/10/12	H	Townsville	84-66
12/10/12	A	Cairns	68-58
05/10/12	H	Sydney	79-76

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/12	A	Adelaide	91-85 OT
07/12/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	80-68
30/11/12	H	Sydney	75-56
24/11/12	A	Townsville	68-63
22/11/12	H	New Zealand Breakers	89-64
16/11/12	H	Adelaide	65-69
11/11/12	A	Adelaide	65-77
04/11/12	A	Illawarra Hawks	67-100
21/10/12	A	Melbourne United	74-65
14/10/12	A	Townsville	82-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	70%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	70%	100%	50%
Points / game	74.0	84.0	67.3
Allowed / game	67.6	67.0	68.0
Point differential	+6.4	+17.0	-0.7
Avg total	141.6	151.0	135.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perth

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WLLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	73%	75%	71%
Points / game	77.2	77.2	77.1
Allowed / game	70.6	64.2	74.3
Point differential	+6.5	+13.0	+2.9
Avg total	147.8	141.5	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	75%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	12	9	3	75%	78.0	71.3	+6.7
2	Perth	11	8	3	73%	77.2	70.6	+6.5
3	Illawarra Hawks	10	7	3	70%	74.0	67.6	+6.4
4	Sydney	13	8	5	62%	76.0	76.0	+0.0
5	Adelaide	11	5	6	45%	75.8	77.5	-1.7
6	Cairns	11	4	7	36%	73.9	76.0	-2.1
7	Melbourne United	10	2	8	20%	74.0	77.5	-3.5
8	Townsville	12	2	10	17%	71.5	83.1	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	18	10	23	27	78
Perth	22	20	9	24	75

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature