Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 61-80

16-13 17-26 11-26 17-15

Position#4

Record13-16

FormLWWLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game83.6

Illawarra Hawks

Perth 🏆

Position#1

Record22-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game77.8

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Perth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

102-80

102

+22

H09/02

NBL

Townsville

90-75

+15

H14/02

NBL

Sydney

102-84

102

+18

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

88-68

+20

H21/02

NBL

Adelaide

91-89

H28/02

NBL

Cairns

79-82

-3

H08/03

NBL

Townsville

94-85

A14/03

NBL

Sydney

100-87

100

+13

H21/03

NBL

Perth

65-86

-21

A23/03

NBL

Perth

79-91

-12

A28/03

NBL

28-19

32-21

26-24

16-16

28-16

26-23

26-17

10-19

26-27

22-18

27-14

27-25

19-16

16-14

26-22

27-16

24-19

22-22

25-18

20-30

14-19

24-27

10-19

31-17

24-31

17-23

22-19

31-12

28-22

22-22

21-22

29-21

22-21

18-22

6-23

19-20

26-27

12-22

25-22

16-20

171.7Avg total

89.0Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	81.9	83.6	165.4	-1.7	45%
Season at home (14)	86.1	83.1	169.2	+2.9	57%
Season away (15)	77.9	84.0	161.9	-6.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	82.7	171.7	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	86.2	169.6	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	80.9	87.7	168.6	-6.8	30%
vs Similar (20)	82.3	81.6	163.9	+0.7	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

94-99 OT

-5

H30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

81-57

+24

A02/02

NBL

Townsville

75-88

-13

A07/02

NBL

Adelaide

85-61

+24

H14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

87-75

+12

H21/02

NBL

Sydney

85-81

A02/03

NBL

Townsville

81-69

+12

H07/03

NBL

Adelaide

79-102

102

-23

A14/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-65

+21

H23/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-79

+12

H28/03

NBL

23-21

24-24

15-21

28-24

10-18

35-9

13-13

23-17

24-23

21-27

21-12

9-26

27-13

21-11

16-19

21-18

25-17

21-30

18-14

23-14

25-15

23-32

21-21

16-13

24-21

21-16

19-21

17-11

20-27

17-25

24-23

18-27

21-22

22-18

23-6

20-19

27-26

22-12

22-25

20-16

162.0Avg total

84.4Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	86.6	77.8	164.3	+8.8	76%
Season at home (15)	88.1	73.3	161.5	+14.8	87%
Season away (14)	84.9	82.6	167.4	+2.3	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	77.6	162.0	+6.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	79.2	163.6	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	66.0	70.0	136.0	-4.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	86.6	77.8	164.3	+8.8	76%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksPerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	24.5	45.3	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.1	42.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	18.7	42.8	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	21.6	42.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.8	66%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.1	42.5	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	11.0	10.0	21.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	59%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

60-40

+20

H09/02

NBL

Townsville

54-39

+15

H14/02

NBL

Sydney

48-45

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-30

H21/02

NBL

Adelaide

46-41

H28/02

NBL

Cairns

38-46

-8

H08/03

NBL

Townsville

41-54

-13

A14/03

NBL

Sydney

50-44

H21/03

NBL

Perth

40-43

-3

A23/03

NBL

Perth

38-49

-11

A28/03

NBL

88.1Avg total

45.0Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	42.3	83.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	39.7	82.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	44.9	84.3	-5.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	43.1	88.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	47.2	88.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.4	43.3	85.7	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.7	41.8	82.5	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

47-45

H30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

45-27

+18

A02/02

NBL

Townsville

45-50

-5

A07/02

NBL

Adelaide

48-24

+24

H14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

46-47

-1

H21/02

NBL

Sydney

48-47

A02/03

NBL

Townsville

45-37

H07/03

NBL

Adelaide

37-52

-15

A14/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-40

H23/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-38

+11

H28/03

NBL

86.0Avg total

45.3Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	40.1	85.3	+5.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.8	37.7	83.5	+8.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	42.9	87.4	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	40.7	86.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	42.8	87.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	29.0	29.0	58.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	45.8	40.5	86.3	+5.2	72%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.1	38.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.1	17.6	37.8	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	14.0	25.0	39.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.8	40.5	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.0	43.2	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.0	79.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	39.1	77.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	39.6	83.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.7	42.7	79.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.9	38.6	79.5	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	36.6	76.5	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.7	34.9	75.6	+5.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	38.6	77.5	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	36.0	74.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.4	76.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	40.0	36.4	76.4	+3.5	66%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
28/03/14	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	91-79
23/03/14	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	86-65
04/01/14	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	96-91 OT
17/11/13	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	76-89
01/11/13	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	87-47
31/03/13	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	81-85 OT
28/03/13	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	93-65
03/02/13	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	80-52
14/12/12	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	78-75
07/12/12	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	80-68

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/14	A	Perth	79-91
23/03/14	A	Perth	65-86
21/03/14	H	Sydney	100-87
14/03/14	A	Townsville	94-85
08/03/14	H	Cairns	79-82
28/02/14	H	Adelaide	91-89
21/02/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	88-68
15/02/14	A	Sydney	102-84
14/02/14	H	Townsville	90-75
09/02/14	H	Adelaide	102-80

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-79
23/03/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	86-65
14/03/14	A	Adelaide	79-102
07/03/14	H	Townsville	81-69
02/03/14	A	Sydney	85-81
21/02/14	H	Melbourne United	87-75
14/02/14	H	Adelaide	85-61
07/02/14	A	Townsville	75-88
02/02/14	A	Melbourne United	81-57
30/01/14	H	Cairns	94-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	45%
Home	WWWLW	57%
Away	LWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	45%	57%	33%
Points / game	81.9	86.1	77.9
Allowed / game	83.6	83.1	84.0
Point differential	-1.7	+2.9	-6.1
Avg total	165.4	169.2	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	29%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	67% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Perth

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	76%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	WWLWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	76%	87%	64%
Points / game	86.6	88.1	84.9
Allowed / game	77.8	73.3	82.6
Point differential	+8.8	+14.8	+2.3
Avg total	164.3	161.5	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	67%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	10%	7%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	29	22	7	76%	86.6	77.8	+8.8
2	Adelaide	30	19	11	63%	90.5	88.4	+2.1
3	Melbourne United	30	16	14	53%	82.7	82.7	+0.1
4	Illawarra Hawks	29	13	16	45%	81.9	83.6	-1.7
5	Cairns	28	12	16	43%	82.3	83.9	-1.6
6	Sydney	28	12	16	43%	82.6	86.2	-3.6
7	New Zealand Breakers	28	11	17	39%	88.4	89.0	-0.7
8	Townsville	28	10	18	36%	84.6	88.3	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	16	17	11	17	61
Perth	13	26	26	15	80

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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