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Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 100-82
38-18 20-25 15-22 27-17
Position#4
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#3
Record8-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game89.2
AustraliaNBLRound 10· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Perth
30 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
06 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ILLA99
PERT106
22 Dec 2024
ILLA120
PERT88
15 Feb 2024
ILLA108
PERT92
08 Dec 2023
ILLA100
PERT82
31 Dec 2022
ILLA97
PERT107
27 Jan 2022
ILLA80
PERT94
22 Jan 2022
ILLA78
PERT94
12 Jun 2021
ILLA71
PERT79
01 Jun 2021
ILLA81
PERT79
07 Mar 2021
ILLA70
PERT87
10 Jan 2020
ILLA77
PERT99
27 Oct 2019
ILLA76
PERT81
23 Dec 2018
ILLA81
PERT77
11 Nov 2018
ILLA81
PERT90
23 Dec 2017
ILLA96
PERT84
10 Dec 2017
ILLA91
PERT99
01 Mar 2017
ILLA77
PERT89
31 Dec 2016
ILLA87
PERT95
28 Oct 2016
ILLA81
PERT76
21 Feb 2016
ILLA104
PERT87
11 Nov 2015
ILLA96
PERT99
25 Oct 2015
ILLA99
PERT106
31 Dec 2014
ILLA77
PERT86
31 Oct 2014
ILLA64
PERT83
30 Mar 2014
ILLA61
PERT80
04 Jan 2014
ILLA96
PERT91
17 Nov 2013
ILLA76
PERT89
31 Mar 2013
ILLA81
PERT85
14 Dec 2012
ILLA78
PERT75
04 Nov 2012
ILLA100
PERT67
11 Dec 2011
ILLA70
PERT98
20 Nov 2011
ILLA70
PERT86
12 Feb 2011
ILLA105
PERT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
85avg 66
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
62avg 66
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 66
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
91-101
91
101
-10
67avg 66
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
71avg 66
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
68avg 66
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
65avg 66
H03/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
50avg 66
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
69-65
69
65
+4
66avg 66
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 66
A03/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
34-29
22-27
31-24
19-24
10-31
25-26
19-22
25-23
15-16
20-15
20-35
22-29
29-30
12-18
28-24
24-15
20-23
17-22
23-23
29-24
22-28
18-19
15-25
17-20
25-32
18-32
23-19
18-14
20-19
17-23
16-25
19-12
17-23
17-16
16-14
26-28
23-22
12-15
16-13
173.0Avg total
82.5Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.491.0173.4-8.627%
Season at home (5)90.497.8188.2-7.440%
Season away (6)75.785.3161.0-9.717%
Last 10 (10)82.590.5173.0-8.030%
Last 5 (5)76.884.6161.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)82.494.2176.7-11.810%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.987.2166.1-8.425%
vs Weaker (1)113.0106.0219.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
64avg 77
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
86-99
86
99
-13
69avg 77
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 77
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 77
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
99-88
99
88
+11
81avg 77
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
no box
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
94-76
94
76
+18
84avg 77
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
77avg 77
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 77
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
114-105
114
105
+9
107avg 77
H01/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
18-17
17-21
29-28
26-28
16-22
20-20
24-29
20-23
20-16
25-28
13-22
9-20
27-22
16-26
27-16
19-22
31-22
23-24
26-20
24-26
22-23
21-20
22-20
34-17
18-19
21-22
21-18
25-20
22-23
19-13
22-24
14-16
18-17
18-20
29-23
23-26
27-31
33-26
31-22
178.0Avg total
90.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.989.2180.2+1.762%
Season at home (8)92.286.4178.6+5.975%
Season away (5)88.893.8182.6-5.040%
Last 10 (10)90.088.0178.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)95.486.4181.8+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.296.6192.8-0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (15)94.993.7188.5+1.260%
vs Weaker (10)91.088.2179.2+2.860%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Illawarra HawksPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H03/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/12
NBL
90.8Avg total
44.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.747.290.9-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.549.896.3-3.431%-
Last 30 away (17)41.645.286.8-3.535%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.890.8-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.487.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)43.648.291.9-4.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H01/12
NBL
86.2Avg total
43.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.545.792.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.789.7+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)46.947.794.6-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.286.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.689.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.846.090.8-1.280%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)48.148.296.3-0.133%-
vs Weaker (10)44.941.886.7+3.160%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.621.7
47.6%
50.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.3
30.4%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.122.5
48.8%
50.9%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.1
27.7%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.018.5
77.1%
73.8%18.5
They take 75.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLLWLLLW
Perth
WWWWWWLLLL
#4
League position
#3
-10.8
Net rating
+4.0
104.2
Offensive rating
109.3
114.9
Defensive rating
105.3
46.8%
Effective FG%
46.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
11.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.4%
3-point %
27.7%
48.0%
Assist %
50.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 109.3Defence114.9 · 105.3Shooting46.8% · 46.0%3-point %30.4% · 27.7%Ball care14.4% · 11.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
7
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ABrisbane Bullets77-78
19/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers69-65
11/11/23ACairns Taipans71-81
03/11/23HSydney83-103
29/10/23AMelbourne United84-96
26/10/23HCairns Taipans84-83
20/10/23HMelbourne United91-101
14/10/23AAdelaide80-89
12/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers73-103
07/10/23HSouth East Melbourne113-106
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HSydney114-105
18/11/23ABrisbane Bullets79-76
16/11/23HCairns Taipans88-80
10/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers94-76
06/11/23AMelbourne United102-95 OT
04/11/23HAdelaide99-88
27/10/23HBrisbane Bullets79-84
21/10/23AAdelaide78-89
15/10/23ASydney86-99
13/10/23HMelbourne United81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game82.490.475.7
Allowed / game91.097.885.3
Point differential-8.6-7.4-9.7
Avg total173.4188.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game90.992.288.8
Allowed / game89.286.493.8
Point differential+1.7+5.9-5.0
Avg total180.2178.6182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1310377%91.986.0+5.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers138562%89.483.2+6.2
3 Sydney138562%95.592.8+2.8
4 Perth138562%90.989.2+1.7
5 South East Melbourne137654%92.290.5+1.7
6 Brisbane Bullets147750%86.787.6-0.9
7 Cairns Taipans135838%85.987.1-1.2
8 New Zealand Breakers124833%87.089.1-2.1
9 Adelaide134931%82.989.8-6.9
10 Illawarra Hawks113827%82.491.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks38201527100
Perth1825221782
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