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Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 08:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game104.7
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Perth
Australia
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.8
AustraliaNBLRound 16· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Perth
30 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
06 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ILLA99
PERT106
22 Dec 2024
ILLA120
PERT88
15 Feb 2024
ILLA108
PERT92
08 Dec 2023
ILLA100
PERT82
31 Dec 2022
ILLA97
PERT107
27 Jan 2022
ILLA80
PERT94
22 Jan 2022
ILLA78
PERT94
12 Jun 2021
ILLA71
PERT79
01 Jun 2021
ILLA81
PERT79
07 Mar 2021
ILLA70
PERT87
10 Jan 2020
ILLA77
PERT99
27 Oct 2019
ILLA76
PERT81
23 Dec 2018
ILLA81
PERT77
11 Nov 2018
ILLA81
PERT90
23 Dec 2017
ILLA96
PERT84
10 Dec 2017
ILLA91
PERT99
01 Mar 2017
ILLA77
PERT89
31 Dec 2016
ILLA87
PERT95
28 Oct 2016
ILLA81
PERT76
21 Feb 2016
ILLA104
PERT87
11 Nov 2015
ILLA96
PERT99
25 Oct 2015
ILLA99
PERT106
31 Dec 2014
ILLA77
PERT86
31 Oct 2014
ILLA64
PERT83
30 Mar 2014
ILLA61
PERT80
04 Jan 2014
ILLA96
PERT91
17 Nov 2013
ILLA76
PERT89
31 Mar 2013
ILLA81
PERT85
14 Dec 2012
ILLA78
PERT75
04 Nov 2012
ILLA100
PERT67
11 Dec 2011
ILLA70
PERT98
20 Nov 2011
ILLA70
PERT86
12 Feb 2011
ILLA105
PERT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Perth win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
102avg 92
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 92
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 92
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
70avg 92
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
81-98
81
98
-17
61avg 92
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
104avg 92
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
107-95
107
95
+12
no box
A05/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-106
78
106
-28
no box
A07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
120-110
120
110
+10
no box
A11/11
NBL
Perth
#6
L
100-111 OT
100
111
-11
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
16-25
19-30
27-14
19-29
24-19
27-25
27-25
27-29
32-35
29-27
26-20
20-13
21-22
16-27
23-36
18-21
28-23
43-31
24-27
25-29
30-26
18-24
18-19
26-23
202.3Avg total
97.6Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)97.5104.7202.2-7.333%
Season at home (5)97.8106.0203.8-8.220%
Season away (10)97.3104.1201.4-6.840%
Last 10 (10)97.6104.7202.3-7.140%
Last 5 (5)102.0104.0206.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)97.9106.7204.6-8.832%
vs Similar (9)96.796.0192.7+0.744%
vs Weaker (2)104.576.5181.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 83
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
75avg 83
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
73avg 83
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 83
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 83
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
84avg 83
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
no box
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
25-26
21-22
31-31
26-23
17-33
25-26
28-21
21-19
19-24
25-27
25-27
29-27
22-37
21-26
25-18
36-28
27-31
21-22
17-24
27-23
19-21
24-27
26-16
29-28
26-30
24-18
19-18
23-26
195.1Avg total
97.0Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.797.8193.5-2.154%
Season at home (11)96.396.4192.6-0.164%
Season away (2)92.5105.5198.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)97.098.1195.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.6101.2201.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.998.7189.6-7.929%
vs Similar (14)93.092.3185.3+0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)99.987.2187.1+12.789%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
Illawarra HawksPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A05/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A11/11
NBL
Perth
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/11
NBL
102.1Avg total
49.2Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.751.099.7-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.950.597.5-3.627%-
Last 30 away (19)49.751.2100.9-1.537%-
Last 10 (10)49.252.9102.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)53.651.8105.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)48.252.3100.5-4.132%-
vs Similar (9)49.450.6100.0-1.133%-
vs Weaker (2)50.040.090.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H14/11
NBL
95.4Avg total
44.8Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.994.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.045.891.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (10)46.552.198.6-5.630%-
Last 10 (10)44.850.695.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.652.698.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.150.494.6-6.314%-
vs Similar (14)46.248.995.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.744.392.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.6
56.8%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.2
35.6%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
74.0%12.1
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
56.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.614.0
84.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLWWLLWLL
Perth
WWLLLLWLWW
#9
League position
#6
-8.7
Net rating
-8.1
100.8
Offensive rating
97.4
109.5
Defensive rating
105.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
34.9%
59.5%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 97.4Defence109.5 · 105.5Shooting55.4% · 53.1%3-point %35.6% · 34.9%Ball care12.1% · 13.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Perth wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Perth v Illawarra Hawks111-100 OT
31/10/26Perth v Illawarra Hawks98-105
31/01/26Illawarra Hawks v Perth99-106
16/01/26Perth v Illawarra Hawks92-87
25/10/25Perth v Illawarra Hawks84-85
02/10/25Perth v Illawarra Hawks92-84
22/12/24Illawarra Hawks v Perth120-88
06/12/24Perth v Illawarra Hawks111-121
01/11/24Perth v Illawarra Hawks113-105
15/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Perth108-92
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APerth100-111 OT
11/11/26ASouth East Melbourne120-110
07/11/26AAdelaide78-106
05/11/26ACairns Taipans107-95
31/10/26APerth105-98
24/10/26HBrisbane Bullets81-98
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllawarra Hawks111-100 OT
12/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers98-92
08/11/26HCairns Taipans92-100
04/11/26ABrisbane Bullets104-109
31/10/26HIllawarra Hawks98-105
28/10/26HSydney91-99
23/10/26HMelbourne United103-102
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %33%20%40%
Points / game97.597.897.3
Allowed / game104.7106.0104.1
Point differential-7.3-8.2-6.8
Avg total202.2203.8201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%10%
Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %54%64%0%
Points / game95.796.392.5
Allowed / game97.896.4105.5
Point differential-2.1-0.1-13.0
Avg total193.5192.6198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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