Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 96-61

27-18 20-23 26-8 23-12

Position#2

Record25-5

FormWLWLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game69.3

Benfica 🏆

Lusitania

Position#7

Record14-14

FormLLWWL

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game77.0

LPBLPB - Quarter-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Benfica v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelos

88-70

+18

A27/02

LPB

Ovarense

96-92 OT

H05/03

LPB

Galitos

75-63

+12

H06/03

LPB

FC Porto

94-97

-3

A13/03

LPB

Oliveirense

95-70

+25

H25/03

LPB

Barcelos

85-69

+16

H29/03

LPB

Ovarense

77-82

-5

A08/04

LPB

Galitos

94-77

+17

A10/04

LPB

FC Porto

70-80

-10

H16/04

LPB

Oliveirense

77-84

-7

A17/04

LPB

28-13

16-12

16-21

28-24

24-23

16-20

19-16

18-18

16-17

18-15

15-16

26-15

16-24

17-17

22-24

39-32

29-21

29-13

15-20

22-16

25-22

22-19

17-16

21-12

18-17

13-21

19-22

27-22

30-21

24-23

24-15

16-18

16-24

22-18

21-17

11-21

13-18

25-20

25-24

14-22

163.5Avg total

85.1Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.9	69.3	151.3	+12.6	83%
Season at home (15)	83.6	67.1	150.7	+16.5	93%
Season away (15)	80.3	71.5	151.8	+8.7	73%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	78.4	163.5	+6.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	78.4	159.0	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	75.8	84.2	160.0	-8.4	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	84.2	69.6	153.8	+14.6	88%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#11

79-72

A20/02

LPB

FC Porto

65-75

-10

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

92-85 OT

H27/02

LPB

Maia

#11

89-67

+22

A05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

92-88

A06/03

LPB

Vitoria

84-89

-5

A25/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

82-84

-2

A27/03

LPB

Maia

#11

59-58

H09/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

75-73

H10/04

LPB

Vitoria

82-86

-4

H17/04

LPB

13-19

27-17

13-16

26-20

9-17

24-12

17-25

15-21

14-21

17-18

15-20

29-16

16-18

28-17

28-15

17-17

19-26

18-22

28-20

27-20

15-27

17-28

23-20

29-14

19-27

26-18

17-18

20-21

14-10

19-22

13-14

13-12

15-26

23-17

18-13

19-17

22-18

19-21

22-16

19-31

157.6Avg total

79.9Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	75.5	77.0	152.5	-1.5	50%
Season at home (14)	74.3	76.6	150.9	-2.4	50%
Season away (14)	76.6	77.4	154.0	-0.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	77.7	157.6	+2.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	78.0	154.4	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	71.7	80.7	152.4	-9.0	21%
vs Similar (8)	75.1	73.9	149.0	+1.2	62%
vs Weaker (8)	78.4	74.1	152.5	+4.2	75%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	16.9	39.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.8	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.0	19.7	35.8	-3.7	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.6	19.6	35.1	-4.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.9	36.3	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	20.9	36.5	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	14.8	19.7	34.5	-4.8	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.4	36.6	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	16.0	35.7	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.5	17.2	36.8	+2.3	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	16.2	35.1	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	18.9	42.5	+4.8	62%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelos

44-25

+19

A27/02

LPB

Ovarense

40-43

-3

H05/03

LPB

Galitos

34-32

H06/03

LPB

FC Porto

33-41

-8

A13/03

LPB

Oliveirense

58-34

+24

H25/03

LPB

Barcelos

47-41

H29/03

LPB

Ovarense

31-38

-7

A08/04

LPB

Galitos

54-44

+10

A10/04

LPB

FC Porto

38-42

-4

H16/04

LPB

Oliveirense

38-38

A17/04

LPB

79.5Avg total

41.7Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	34.5	74.1	+5.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	32.9	74.9	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	36.0	73.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	37.8	79.5	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.6	82.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	35.4	40.0	75.4	-4.6	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	40.5	33.4	73.8	+7.1	76%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#11

40-36

A20/02

LPB

FC Porto

33-29

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

31-39

-8

H27/02

LPB

Maia

#11

44-35

A05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

37-48

-11

A06/03

LPB

Vitoria

32-55

-23

A25/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

45-45

A27/03

LPB

Maia

#11

33-32

H09/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

38-43

-5

H10/04

LPB

Vitoria

41-39

H17/04

LPB

77.5Avg total

37.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	39.0	74.7	-3.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.9	39.3	75.2	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	38.7	74.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	40.1	77.5	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.8	80.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	32.6	41.0	73.6	-8.4	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.9	37.2	73.1	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.6	37.4	78.0	+3.2	62%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	16.1	38.3	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.9	17.4	39.4	+4.5	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	16.4	34.7	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	19.2	39.1	+0.6	54%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.7	46%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	18.1	38.4	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	37.1	79.6	+5.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	34.7	77.2	+7.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	39.5	82.1	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.1	80.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.8	76.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	40.4	44.2	84.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.0	35.6	78.6	+7.4	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.0	37.2	75.2	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.8	36.1	72.9	+0.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	38.3	77.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.6	77.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	35.2	73.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.6	38.7	77.3	-0.1	54%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.2	36.6	75.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.6	35.5	71.1	+0.1	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
30/01/16	Benfica v Lusitania	83-65
14/11/15	Lusitania v Benfica	67-69
28/02/15	Benfica v Lusitania	97-87
29/11/14	Lusitania v Benfica	53-86
25/01/14	Lusitania v Benfica	66-73
03/11/13	Benfica v Lusitania	109-75
27/04/13	Lusitania v Benfica	65-89
21/04/13	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64
20/04/13	Benfica v Lusitania	102-74
16/02/13	Lusitania v Benfica	61-70

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	A	Oliveirense	77-84
16/04/16	H	FC Porto	70-80
10/04/16	A	Galitos	94-77
08/04/16	A	Ovarense	77-82
29/03/16	H	Barcelos	85-69
25/03/16	H	Oliveirense	95-70
13/03/16	A	FC Porto	94-97
06/03/16	H	Galitos	75-63
05/03/16	H	Ovarense	96-92 OT
27/02/16	A	Barcelos	88-70

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	H	Vitoria	82-86
10/04/16	H	CAB Madeira	75-73
09/04/16	H	Maia	59-58
27/03/16	A	Electrico FC	82-84
25/03/16	A	Vitoria	84-89
06/03/16	A	CAB Madeira	92-88
05/03/16	A	Maia	89-67
27/02/16	H	Electrico FC	92-85 OT
21/02/16	A	FC Porto	65-75
20/02/16	A	Maia	79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	83%
Home	WWWWL	93%
Away	WLLWL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	83%	93%	73%
Points / game	81.9	83.6	80.3
Allowed / game	69.3	67.1	71.5
Point differential	+12.6	+16.5	+8.7
Avg total	151.3	150.7	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	63%	73%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WWWWL	50%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	75.5	74.3	76.6
Allowed / game	77.0	76.6	77.4
Point differential	-1.5	-2.4	-0.7
Avg total	152.5	150.9	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	40% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	30	25	5	83%	81.9	69.3	+12.6
2	FC Porto	31	25	6	81%	77.0	66.4	+10.6
3	Ovarense	31	19	12	61%	76.9	72.8	+4.1
4	Galitos	30	17	13	57%	72.7	70.9	+1.8
5	Vitoria	29	15	14	52%	76.5	75.0	+1.5
6	Oliveirense	30	15	15	50%	72.6	72.3	+0.3
7	Lusitania	28	14	14	50%	75.5	77.0	-1.5
8	Barcelos	31	12	19	39%	66.9	71.0	-4.1
9	CAB Madeira	28	10	18	36%	74.0	77.4	-3.3
10	Electrico FC	28	6	22	21%	71.3	82.2	-11.0
11	Maia	28	4	24	14%	65.5	78.6	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	27	20	26	23	96
Lusitania	18	23	8	12	61

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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