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Illiabum vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 81-63
16-18 28-9 22-20 15-16
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game63.5
Illiabum 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#3
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game80.5
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illiabum v Lusitania
26 Mar 2027
ILLI v LUSI
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
ILLI81
LUSI63
02 Oct 2021
ILLI83
LUSI89
15 Feb 2020
ILLI78
LUSI83
17 Nov 2018
ILLI85
LUSI78
21 Oct 2017
ILLI95
LUSI98
12 Nov 2016
ILLI79
LUSI54
06 Dec 2014
ILLI62
LUSI75
18 Dec 2010
ILLI73
LUSI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
61-65
61
65
-4
53avg 70
A08/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
97-67
97
67
+30
98avg 70
H16/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 70
A22/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
84avg 70
H29/03
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 70
A05/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 70
H19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
45avg 70
A26/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 70
H03/05
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
93avg 70
H04/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
76-46
76
46
+30
76avg 70
A11/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
11-14
19-13
21-23
19-16
25-22
29-20
24-9
27-13
15-27
12-16
17-22
17-21
21-14
17-20
25-15
28-12
21-22
19-23
14-19
22-18
22-29
14-13
23-14
25-19
12-20
15-21
13-25
12-22
18-20
18-21
21-17
21-18
22-21
25-26
19-16
13-19
26-6
17-10
20-11
149.1Avg total
76.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.563.5145.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)76.046.0122.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.972.2149.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)75.673.2148.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.870.8141.5+0.075%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.074.7145.7-3.727%
vs Weaker (15)79.565.3144.8+14.180%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 75
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
75avg 75
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 75
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
74-70
74
70
+4
60avg 75
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
91avg 75
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 75
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 75
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 75
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 75
H11/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
32-25
17-20
23-32
28-19
14-30
17-18
27-26
18-8
22-25
25-14
20-24
15-16
23-13
17-21
19-20
25-26
22-23
28-12
19-21
26-25
24-15
34-15
19-29
19-20
16-23
24-15
26-15
30-30
21-25
28-17
16-20
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
170.4Avg total
87.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.080.5154.5-6.50%
Season at home (1)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
Season away (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)87.283.2170.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)86.282.0168.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.777.2145.9-8.520%
vs Weaker (20)85.277.7162.9+7.570%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
IlliabumLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A08/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/03
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A05/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A26/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H03/05
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A11/10
Proliga
75.5Avg total
38.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.835.073.7+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.376.2+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.733.671.3+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.875.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.235.573.8+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.138.573.6-3.527%-
vs Weaker (15)41.632.273.8+9.480%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
87.2Avg total
45.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.677.4+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.778.9+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.576.0+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.935.066.9-3.130%-
vs Weaker (20)43.839.082.7+4.865%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.621.8
47.8%
50.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.6
29.9%
30.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
67.4%15.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.4
51.8%
50.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.1
37.7%
30.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.813.7
69.2%
67.4%13.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WWLLWWWLWL
Lusitania
LLWWWWWWLL
#7
League position
#3
+6.5
Net rating
+7.4
101.3
Offensive rating
114.4
94.8
Defensive rating
107.0
47.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
21.2%
Turnover %
18.8%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.9%
3-point %
37.7%
68.2%
Assist %
57.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 114.4Defence94.8 · 107.0Shooting47.0% · 53.9%3-point %29.9% · 37.7%Ball care21.2% · 18.8%Off. rebounds36.8% · 37.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Illiabum   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illiabum wins
6
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
18/12/21Lusitania v Illiabum80-70
02/10/21Illiabum v Lusitania83-89
15/02/20Illiabum v Lusitania78-83
16/11/19Lusitania v Illiabum106-79
16/02/19Lusitania v Illiabum94-86 OT
17/11/18Illiabum v Lusitania85-78
13/01/18Lusitania v Illiabum92-97
21/10/17Illiabum v Lusitania95-98
28/01/17Lusitania v Illiabum78-82
12/11/16Illiabum v Lusitania79-54
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AAcademica76-46
04/10/25HMaia87-81
03/05/25HCAB Madeira69-80
26/04/25ASangalhos65-85
19/04/25HCB Queluz81-74
05/04/25ABraga82-76
29/03/25HPortimonense80-70
22/03/25AVasco Da Gama71-78
16/03/25HImortal B97-67
08/03/25ACAB Madeira61-65
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HGinasio74-81
04/10/25ASampaense74-80
04/05/25AGinasio95-92
26/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-73
19/04/25ASampaense103-84
05/04/25HBarreirense94-82
30/03/25ASanto Andre74-70
23/03/25HGalitos Aveiro85-71
16/03/25AMaia86-93
08/03/25HGinasio102-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.587.076.0
Allowed / game63.581.046.0
Point differential+18.0+6.0+30.0
Avg total145.0168.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.074.074.0
Allowed / game80.581.080.0
Point differential-6.5-7.0-6.0
Avg total154.5155.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Illiabum220100%81.563.5+18.0
3 Portimonense330100%84.770.3+14.3
4 CAB Madeira330100%86.372.3+14.0
5 Ginasio220100%83.070.5+12.5
6 Sampaense32167%79.385.7-6.3
7 Galomar21150%91.081.0+10.0
8 Imortal B21150%76.572.0+4.5
9 Benfica Lisboa B21150%78.578.5+0.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense21150%84.086.0-2.0
11 Maia31233%79.379.3+0.0
12 Lusitania2020%74.080.5-6.5
13 Sangalhos2020%67.582.0-14.5
14 Santo Andre3030%73.790.7-17.0
15 CB Queluz3030%68.388.0-19.7
16 Academica3030%57.783.0-25.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum1628221581
Lusitania189201663
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