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Valparaiso vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-70
34-28 46-42
Position#173
Record8-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#312
Record5-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Valparaiso v Illinois State
07 Jan 2026
VALP77
ILLI71
03 Mar 2024
VALP75
ILLI72
11 Feb 2023
VALP81
ILLI76
02 Jan 2022
VALP81
ILLI76
01 Feb 2020
VALP80
ILLI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#134
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
34-40
28-35
35-31
36-31
34-39
28-32
22-31
34-34
32-27
42-36
36-52
32-35
54-42
16-36
44-31
36-23
31-42
26-37
43-43
140.6Avg total
68.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.272.6144.8-0.444%
Season at home (7)75.066.7141.7+8.371%
Season away (11)70.576.4146.8-5.927%
Last 10 (10)68.871.8140.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)72.075.4147.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.078.5143.5-13.50%
vs Similar (10)68.371.2139.5-2.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.867.5146.2+11.288%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#209
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H19/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-53
34-36
20-30
56-40
19-29
36-38
25-30
38-37
21-29
31-36
43-47
31-37
24-28
26-34
36-34
27-41
23-17
32-41
36-37
41-29
133.8Avg total
63.5Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)64.969.6134.6-4.728%
Season at home (9)65.362.7128.0+2.756%
Season away (9)64.676.6141.1-12.00%
Last 10 (10)63.570.3133.8-6.820%
Last 5 (5)63.869.0132.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)65.173.1138.1-8.014%
vs Similar (6)63.563.5127.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)55.556.5112.0-1.00%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -1.7-1.7
ValparaisoIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#134
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/01
NCAA
64.3Avg total
31.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)33.134.067.0-0.941%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.131.666.7+3.657%-
Last 30 away (13)30.836.567.4-5.723%-
Last 10 (10)31.233.164.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.463.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.038.071.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (10)31.834.165.9-2.330%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.631.868.4+4.962%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#209
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A04/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H19/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
23-17
23
17
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/01
NCAA
61.7Avg total
28.3Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)30.832.062.8-1.141%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.127.957.0+1.147%-
Last 30 away (12)33.037.070.0-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)28.333.461.7-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.665.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.133.964.0-3.936%-
vs Similar (6)29.231.560.7-2.317%-
vs Weaker (2)29.025.054.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/20ABradley69-80
26/01/20HEvansville67-65
24/01/20AMissouri State60-67
19/01/20HIndiana State86-77
16/01/20ANorthern Iowa78-88
11/01/20HDrake66-61
08/01/20ASouthern Illinois50-63
05/01/20AEvansville81-79 OT
31/12/19HLoyola Chicago63-66
22/12/19HArkansas68-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/20HEvansville77-66
25/01/20HSouthern Illinois55-58
23/01/20ABradley63-75
19/01/20HLoyola Chicago50-62
17/01/20ADrake74-84
11/01/20AIndiana State52-65
08/01/20HMissouri State63-67
04/01/20ASouthern Illinois55-67
31/12/19HNorthern Iowa76-70
21/12/19AUTSA Roadrunners70-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %44%71%27%
Points / game72.275.070.5
Allowed / game72.666.776.4
Point differential-0.4+8.3-5.9
Avg total144.8141.7146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%18%
Illinois State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%56%0%
Points / game64.965.364.6
Allowed / game69.662.776.6
Point differential-4.7+2.7-12.0
Avg total134.6128.0141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa1613381%78.866.7+12.1
2 Murray State1713476%76.966.2+10.8
3 Indiana State1713476%70.564.6+5.9
4 Bradley1812667%71.764.8+6.9
5 Southern Illinois1711665%63.459.9+3.4
6 Belmont1912763%79.570.4+9.1
7 Drake1912763%68.266.9+1.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)20101050%70.370.3-0.1
9 Valparaiso1881044%72.272.6-0.4
10 Evansville1961332%68.476.9-8.5
11 Illinois State1851328%64.969.6-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso344680
Illinois State284270
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