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Illinois State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-84
32-40 45-44
Position#141
Record15-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Drake 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record22-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game58.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois State v Drake
18 Jan 2027
ILLI v DRAK
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
ILLI86
DRAK76
12 Feb 2025
ILLI77
DRAK84
17 Jan 2024
ILLI56
DRAK77
26 Jan 2022
ILLI88
DRAK89
22 Feb 2020
ILLI57
DRAK53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
21-35
43-36
41-49
30-34
32-32
25-31
49-37
40-40
45-41
26-28
31-33
35-31
46-47
45-38
41-40
45-37
36-42
36-32
29-36
145.9Avg total
72.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.571.8148.3+4.760%
Season at home (14)81.270.9152.1+10.479%
Season away (11)70.573.0143.5-2.536%
Last 10 (10)72.673.3145.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)74.072.8146.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.062.8120.8-4.80%
vs Similar (19)77.175.5152.6+1.663%
vs Weaker (7)77.462.7140.1+14.771%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
33-26
25-20
38-20
34-30
32-32
32-25
39-28
43-29
38-42
35-25
20-30
36-24
30-28
28-27
47-38
32-18
23-27
41-29
31-43
128.3Avg total
69.5Scored
58.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.258.5129.7+12.792%
Season at home (14)72.156.0128.1+16.193%
Season away (10)69.961.9131.8+8.090%
Last 10 (10)69.558.8128.3+10.7100%
Last 5 (5)70.061.0131.0+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)71.067.2138.2+3.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)72.461.2133.6+11.392%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
Illinois StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.469.1+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.732.268.9+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)34.435.069.4-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.169.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.270.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)28.231.559.8-3.20%-
vs Similar (19)37.634.972.6+2.768%-
vs Weaker (7)34.730.365.0+4.457%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
32-18
32
18
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/02
NCAA
59.5Avg total
33.7Scored
25.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.627.663.2+8.077%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.026.463.4+10.676%-
Last 30 away (13)33.829.263.0+4.777%-
Last 10 (10)33.725.859.5+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)34.424.659.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.232.669.8+4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)34.726.861.5+8.083%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
9
Drake wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Drake v Illinois State66-62
18/01/24Illinois State v Drake56-77
03/01/24Drake v Illinois State88-71
23/02/23Drake v Illinois State82-51
27/01/22Illinois State v Drake88-89 OT
13/01/22Drake v Illinois State86-75
02/02/21Drake v Illinois State95-60
31/01/21Drake v Illinois State78-76 OT
06/03/20Drake v Illinois State75-65
22/02/20Illinois State v Drake57-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ANorthern Iowa65-68
06/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)81-79
01/02/25HValparaiso86-78
30/01/25HBelmont81-78
25/01/25ABradley57-61
22/01/25HIndiana State85-81
18/01/25HMissouri State74-68
16/01/25ADrake62-66
12/01/25HNorthern Iowa84-85
09/01/25AEvansville51-69
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HIndiana State85-81 OT
05/02/25AMurray State55-45
01/02/25ASouthern Illinois75-65
30/01/25HNorthern Iowa66-52
25/01/25AMissouri State69-62 OT
23/01/25HValparaiso81-71
18/01/25AIndiana State71-53
16/01/25HIllinois State66-62
11/01/25HEvansville63-40
09/01/25ABradley64-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %60%79%36%
Points / game76.581.270.5
Allowed / game71.870.973.0
Point differential+4.7+10.4-2.5
Avg total148.3152.1143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %92%93%90%
Points / game71.272.169.9
Allowed / game58.556.061.9
Point differential+12.8+16.1+8.0
Avg total129.7128.1131.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%7%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2422292%71.258.5+12.8
2 Bradley2620677%79.269.4+9.8
3 Northern Iowa2617965%74.967.5+7.4
4 Belmont2617965%81.779.2+2.5
5 Illinois State25151060%76.571.8+4.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)26151158%79.574.6+4.9
7 Murray State26131350%72.269.0+3.2
8 Indiana State26121446%79.879.4+0.3
9 Southern Illinois26121446%72.873.5-0.7
10 Valparaiso26111542%76.475.2+1.2
11 Evansville2691735%65.870.7-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State324577
Drake404484
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