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Illinois State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 56-77
27-43 29-34
Position#240
Record8-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game68.6
Illinois State
USA
vs
Drake 🏆
USA
Position#15
Record14-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois State v Drake
18 Jan 2027
ILLI v DRAK
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
ILLI86
DRAK76
12 Feb 2025
ILLI77
DRAK84
17 Jan 2024
ILLI56
DRAK77
26 Jan 2022
ILLI88
DRAK89
22 Feb 2020
ILLI57
DRAK53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
41-39
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
28-35
47-30
42-28
43-36
30-45
40-51
28-47
43-41
29-31
35-40
34-34
26-33
20-28
30-31
137.6Avg total
67.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.968.6135.5-1.747%
Season at home (10)67.562.3129.8+5.270%
Season away (7)66.077.6143.6-11.614%
Last 10 (10)67.170.5137.6-3.440%
Last 5 (5)63.076.2139.2-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.877.4142.1-12.67%
vs Similar (12)67.867.5135.2+0.258%
vs Weaker (3)69.058.7127.7+10.367%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H02/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H10/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H20/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
38-32
25-41
50-28
28-19
44-34
35-30
33-26
41-16
51-39
37-37
35-35
47-28
41-43
29-42
36-45
43-43
46-35
36-25
40-33
144.0Avg total
77.7Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.968.5147.4+10.482%
Season at home (11)80.564.2144.7+16.4100%
Season away (6)75.876.3152.2-0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.766.3144.0+11.480%
Last 5 (5)79.274.6153.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)77.264.0141.2+13.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.667.2144.8+10.383%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
Illinois StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H14/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
29.8Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.834.865.6-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.630.160.8+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)31.040.171.1-9.17%-
Last 10 (10)29.833.463.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.237.065.2-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.038.367.3-9.314%-
vs Similar (12)32.232.965.2-0.742%-
vs Weaker (3)31.028.059.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H02/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H07/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
41-16
41
16
+25
H20/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H03/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A14/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.7Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.431.168.6+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.929.867.6+8.176%-
Last 30 away (13)36.832.969.8+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.666.3+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.073.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.532.870.3+4.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.430.668.0+6.874%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
8
Drake wins
DateGameScore
03/01/24Drake v Illinois State88-71
23/02/23Drake v Illinois State82-51
27/01/22Illinois State v Drake88-89 OT
13/01/22Drake v Illinois State86-75
02/02/21Drake v Illinois State95-60
31/01/21Drake v Illinois State78-76 OT
06/03/20Drake v Illinois State75-65
22/02/20Illinois State v Drake57-53
17/01/20Drake v Illinois State84-74
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HValparaiso50-59
11/01/24ABelmont60-67
07/01/24HSouthern Illinois64-71
03/01/24ADrake71-88
30/12/23AKentucky70-96
22/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State85-64
17/12/23HNorth Dakota St75-65
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ASouthern Illinois76-58
11/01/24HIndiana State89-78
07/01/24ABelmont65-87
03/01/24HIllinois State88-71
22/12/23AUAB78-79 OT
20/12/23HAlcorn State92-55
15/12/23HGrambling St.68-56
10/12/23HNevada72-53
07/12/23HSt. Louis Billikens75-69
02/12/23HMissouri State74-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeLWWLL70%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %47%70%14%
Points / game66.967.566.0
Allowed / game68.662.377.6
Point differential-1.7+5.2-11.6
Avg total135.5129.8143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %82%100%50%
Points / game78.980.575.8
Allowed / game68.564.276.3
Point differential+10.4+16.4-0.5
Avg total147.4144.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%82%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1815383%86.571.9+14.6
2 Drake1714382%78.968.5+10.4
3 Southern Illinois1712571%74.164.5+9.6
4 Bradley1712571%74.666.1+8.6
5 Belmont1711665%78.577.7+0.8
6 Evansville1710759%76.173.5+2.6
7 Northern Iowa179853%75.271.6+3.6
8 Illinois (Chi.)178947%69.665.3+4.4
9 Illinois State178947%66.968.6-1.7
10 Murray State1771041%72.570.2+2.3
11 Valparaiso1751229%66.571.0-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State272956
Drake433477
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