PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illinois State vs Indiana State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#300
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#192
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois State v Indiana State
02 Jan 2027
ILLI v INDI
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
ILLI85
INDI65
21 Jan 2025
ILLI85
INDI81
04 Jan 2023
ILLI67
INDI76
03 Mar 2022
ILLI58
INDI53
26 Feb 2022
ILLI86
INDI66
17 Jan 2021
ILLI68
INDI74
16 Jan 2021
ILLI65
INDI73
08 Feb 2020
ILLI74
INDI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
30-50
36-28
42-33
31-43
29-31
28-23
43-46
38-40
43-34
27-35
25-39
39-33
38-44
56-29
44-26
28-36
31-40
31-31
38-38
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.275.8157.0+5.525%
Season at home (1)100.055.0155.0+45.0100%
Season away (3)75.082.7157.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.586.5168.0-5.00%
vs Similar (15)66.668.1134.7-1.553%
vs Weaker (13)83.669.5153.2+14.169%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
60-81
60
81
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#226
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H03/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Earlham
#534
W
109-37
109
37
+72
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-49
32-27
34-36
26-45
25-39
45-48
23-36
32-30
35-31
44-32
37-28
25-35
30-27
40-51
32-37
37-29
37-44
36-38
53-9
56-28
142.1Avg total
72.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.265.8146.0+14.550%
Season at home (3)84.065.7149.7+18.333%
Season away (1)69.066.0135.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.269.9142.1+2.330%
Last 5 (5)76.665.2141.8+11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.579.9153.4-6.520%
vs Similar (6)68.872.2141.0-3.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.969.2146.1+7.650%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +1.0+1.0
Illinois StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A14/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.567.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.329.467.7+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.167.9-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.167.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.869.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (15)31.031.862.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker (13)40.132.772.8+7.462%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#226
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Earlham
#534
W
53-9
53
9
+44
H15/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.869.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.132.269.3+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)32.737.370.1-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.668.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.829.066.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.838.371.1-5.533%-
vs Similar (6)36.033.769.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.832.167.9+3.662%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois State wins
5
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota St81-82 OT
10/11/26APurdue59-76
06/11/26HCentral State (OH)100-55
03/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)85-90 OT
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa52-74
01/03/26HBelmont81-74
26/02/26ANorthern Iowa71-69
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HEarlham109-37
12/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee73-82
07/11/26ABall State69-66
03/11/26HCharlotte70-78
06/03/26AValparaiso62-63
01/03/26HIllinois (Chi.)79-63
26/02/26ASouthern Illinois55-66
22/02/26ABelmont70-87
19/02/26HNorthern Iowa60-81
15/02/26AValparaiso75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game81.2100.075.0
Allowed / game75.855.082.7
Point differential+5.5+45.0-7.7
Avg total157.0155.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
Indiana State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game80.284.069.0
Allowed / game65.865.766.0
Point differential+14.5+18.3+3.0
Avg total146.0149.7135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.