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Illinois State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 67-74
36-36 31-38
Position#311
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#50
Record9-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Illinois State v Missouri State
06 Mar 2025
ILLI70
MISS54
18 Jan 2025
ILLI74
MISS68
28 Feb 2024
ILLI75
MISS74
11 Jan 2023
ILLI76
MISS66
01 Dec 2021
ILLI79
MISS74
07 Feb 2021
ILLI62
MISS72
06 Feb 2021
ILLI67
MISS74
07 Jan 2020
ILLI63
MISS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H21/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H23/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
60-95
60
95
-35
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-40
33-46
27-26
21-31
32-30
41-38
26-31
39-42
34-38
34-36
30-31
41-25
23-36
37-33
26-38
40-32
32-38
39-33
24-39
36-56
136.8Avg total
64.2Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.577.1150.6-3.529%
Season at home (8)85.073.0158.0+12.050%
Season away (9)63.380.7144.0-17.311%
Last 10 (10)64.272.6136.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)66.673.6140.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.675.4140.0-10.817%
vs Similar (10)67.669.1136.7-1.540%
vs Weaker (2)134.085.0219.0+49.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#254
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A29/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H02/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri S&T
#460
W
94-49
94
49
+45
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-41
47-44
50-30
34-44
32-29
38-37
41-37
40-31
38-29
40-39
39-25
55-24
41-26
20-42
35-44
38-34
16-41
30-31
26-42
24-28
141.0Avg total
71.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.568.9143.4+5.664%
Season at home (10)73.068.5141.5+4.560%
Season away (4)78.270.0148.2+8.275%
Last 10 (10)71.269.8141.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)64.867.4132.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.276.6135.8-17.40%
vs Similar (13)75.970.8146.8+5.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.468.2147.6+11.290%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.1-7.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.1-7.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
Illinois StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H23/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A02/02
NCAA
62.3Avg total
27.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.867.4-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.431.967.4+3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)30.237.367.5-7.131%-
Last 10 (10)27.634.762.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)27.036.463.4-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.234.564.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (10)31.634.365.9-2.740%-
vs Weaker (2)59.540.099.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#254
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H02/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri S&T
#460
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
16-41
16
41
-25
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H02/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.070.8+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.932.270.1+5.867%-
Last 30 away (12)34.936.871.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.469.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.667.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.840.870.6-11.020%-
vs Similar (13)38.034.972.9+3.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.731.870.5+6.980%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21ADrake60-95
31/01/21ADrake76-78 OT
24/01/21HValparaiso66-70
23/01/21HValparaiso60-69
21/01/21HBradley71-56
17/01/21HIndiana State68-74
16/01/21HIndiana State65-73
10/01/21AEvansville73-68
09/01/21AEvansville48-57
29/12/20ALoyola Chicago55-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21HLoyola Chicago50-70
31/01/21HLoyola Chicago46-72
28/01/21HDrake73-78
27/01/21HDrake61-68
17/01/21HMissouri S&T94-49
10/01/21AValparaiso78-68
09/01/21AValparaiso81-68
03/01/21HIndiana State70-66
02/01/21HIndiana State84-74
29/12/20ANorthern Iowa75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%50%11%
Points / game73.585.063.3
Allowed / game77.173.080.7
Point differential-3.5+12.0-17.3
Avg total150.6158.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Missouri State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL64%
HomeWLLLL60%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %64%60%75%
Points / game74.573.078.2
Allowed / game68.968.570.0
Point differential+5.6+4.5+8.2
Avg total143.4141.5148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%30%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake18180100%82.862.6+20.2
2 Belmont2221195%83.068.3+14.7
3 Indiana State1710759%67.867.9-0.1
4 Southern Illinois148657%70.469.6+0.7
5 Illinois (Chi.)169756%69.470.6-1.1
6 Bradley1991047%70.764.4+6.3
7 Murray State178947%77.267.5+9.7
8 Evansville178947%64.067.2-3.2
9 Valparaiso1861233%67.570.6-3.1
10 Northern Iowa1651131%70.272.6-2.4
11 Illinois State1751229%73.577.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1713476%74.169.5+4.5
2 Liberty2015575%73.858.2+15.6
3 Louisiana Tech2115671%72.365.9+6.4
4 Sam Houston St.1913668%80.671.5+9.1
5 Missouri State149564%74.568.9+5.6
6 Jacksonville State1811761%74.969.8+5.1
7 Delaware147750%67.066.4+0.6
8 UTEP178947%71.070.0+1.0
9 New Mexico State62433%67.767.3+0.3
10 Middle Tenn. St.1541127%60.567.0-6.5
11 Kennesaw State1831517%64.668.8-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State363167
Missouri State363874
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