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Illinois State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 60-69
23-36 37-33
Position#311
Record5-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#279
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Illinois State v Valparaiso
16 Jan 2027
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
ILLI86
VALP64
01 Feb 2025
ILLI86
VALP78
14 Jan 2024
ILLI50
VALP59
21 Jan 2023
ILLI51
VALP71
09 Feb 2022
ILLI78
VALP75
24 Jan 2021
ILLI66
VALP70
23 Jan 2021
ILLI60
VALP69
03 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
02 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
ILLI62
VALP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#180
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A05/12
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A13/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#435
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A27/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-44
34-32
36-50
30-32
36-30
55-32
23-39
37-51
22-40
33-46
27-26
21-31
32-30
41-38
26-31
39-42
34-38
34-36
30-31
41-25
138.6Avg total
66.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.076.8152.8-0.838%
Season at home (6)92.374.2166.5+18.267%
Season away (7)62.079.0141.0-17.014%
Last 10 (10)66.272.4138.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)65.065.6130.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)63.373.1136.4-9.815%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.869.0137.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)134.085.0219.0+49.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#97
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H10/01
NCAA
DePaul
#314
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A16/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
39-75
39
75
-36
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-23
27-45
39-23
46-22
33-22
47-36
30-44
49-40
45-32
44-39
25-26
32-45
37-41
31-40
29-38
39-40
26-41
32-36
16-37
23-38
139.2Avg total
68.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)67.170.9138.0-3.825%
Season at home (6)71.568.0139.5+3.550%
Season away (6)62.773.8136.5-11.20%
Last 10 (10)68.470.8139.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)58.076.4134.4-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.774.1136.8-11.411%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.172.1143.1-1.043%
vs Weaker (7)74.960.9135.7+14.0100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.1-1.1
Illinois StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#180
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A13/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#435
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H21/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
29.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.267.1-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.430.866.2+4.650%-
Last 30 away (16)30.737.267.9-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)29.735.965.6-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.831.261.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.133.964.0-3.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.433.667.0-0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)59.540.099.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#97
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H10/01
NCAA
DePaul
#314
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A16/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
H21/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
31.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.533.664.0-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.731.363.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)28.335.964.1-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.764.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)26.636.663.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.834.463.2-5.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)29.435.865.1-6.421%-
vs Weaker (7)34.928.062.9+6.986%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
16/02/20Illinois State v Valparaiso62-65
02/02/20Valparaiso v Illinois State80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21HBradley71-56
17/01/21HIndiana State68-74
16/01/21HIndiana State65-73
10/01/21AEvansville73-68
09/01/21AEvansville48-57
29/12/20ALoyola Chicago55-86
27/12/20ALoyola Chicago60-90
15/12/20HChicago State91-62
13/12/20ABall State66-82
05/12/20AMurray State65-76
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21HLoyola Chicago39-75
16/01/21ADePaul58-77
10/01/21HMissouri State68-78
09/01/21HMissouri State68-81
19/12/20AToledo57-71
17/12/20HPurdue Northwest89-71
12/12/20ACentral Michigan79-84
10/12/20HSiu Edwardsville80-58
06/12/20HJudson85-45
05/12/20APurdue61-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game76.092.362.0
Allowed / game76.874.279.0
Point differential-0.8+18.2-17.0
Avg total152.8166.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.171.562.7
Allowed / game70.968.073.8
Point differential-3.8+3.5-11.2
Avg total138.0139.5136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake13130100%83.959.9+24.0
2 Belmont1817194%82.868.5+14.3
3 Southern Illinois107370%72.769.3+3.4
4 Bradley149564%73.762.2+11.5
5 Illinois (Chi.)138562%70.971.0-0.1
6 Indiana State136746%68.270.5-2.4
7 Evansville146843%64.669.4-4.8
8 Murray State125742%80.269.4+10.8
9 Illinois State135838%76.076.8-0.8
10 Valparaiso123925%67.170.9-3.8
11 Northern Iowa1331023%70.174.5-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State233760
Valparaiso363369
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