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Illinois vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-96 (OT)
26-37 43-32 19-27
Position#66
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game64.2
Illinois
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#23
Record14-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Illinois v Purdue
05 Jan 2027
ILLI v PURD
upcoming
07 Mar 2025
ILLI88
PURD80
05 Mar 2024
ILLI71
PURD77
17 Jan 2022
ILLI88
PURD96
02 Jan 2021
ILLI66
PURD58
05 Jan 2020
ILLI63
PURD37
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
86-51
86
51
+35
H04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H11/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
106-48
106
48
+58
H18/12
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A23/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
76-53
76
53
+23
A05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
41-38
43-23
43-28
39-36
48-47
42-38
37-45
47-23
59-25
40-26
48-37
41-30
35-23
30-34
46-30
31-34
50-37
26-22
42-31
147.0Avg total
82.9Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.764.2143.9+15.481%
Season at home (9)83.861.8145.6+22.089%
Season away (7)74.467.4141.9+7.071%
Last 10 (10)82.964.1147.0+18.890%
Last 5 (5)77.860.8138.6+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.565.2134.7+4.367%
vs Weaker (22)81.464.5146.0+16.991%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A10/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A12/12
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H18/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H04/01
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-32
45-33
39-26
38-44
35-36
33-34
27-31
39-35
39-21
38-27
45-27
34-32
55-36
49-54
24-29
45-45
35-30
39-37
48-33
44-32
149.5Avg total
81.5Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.666.5152.1+19.188%
Season at home (12)87.764.2151.9+23.492%
Season away (4)79.273.2152.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)81.568.0149.5+13.580%
Last 5 (5)83.671.0154.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.070.0123.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.072.4147.4+2.667%
vs Weaker (20)81.864.0145.8+17.885%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +3.1+3.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +3.1+3.1
IllinoisPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H18/12
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A23/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H15/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
38.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.129.766.8+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.328.566.8+9.888%-
Last 30 away (13)35.531.366.8+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)38.030.068.0+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.262.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.537.077.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.330.363.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (22)37.828.966.7+8.977%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A12/12
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H04/01
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
39.5Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.467.3+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.929.967.8+8.071%-
Last 30 away (9)34.331.866.1+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)39.530.169.6+9.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.431.072.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.034.055.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.031.764.7+1.356%-
vs Weaker (20)39.429.769.0+9.780%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois wins
0
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
02/01/21Illinois v Purdue66-58
22/01/20Purdue v Illinois62-79
06/01/20Illinois v Purdue63-37
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22HMichigan68-53
12/01/22ANebraska81-71
07/01/22HMaryland76-64
05/01/22AMinnesota76-53
23/12/21AMissouri88-63
18/12/21HSt. Francis (PA)106-48
11/12/21HArizona79-83
07/12/21AIowa87-83
04/12/21HRutgers86-51
30/11/21HNotre Dame82-72
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22HNebraska92-65
08/01/22APenn State74-67
04/01/22HWisconsin69-74
29/12/21HNicholls State104-90
21/12/21HIncarnate Word79-59
18/12/21HButler77-48
12/12/21ANC State82-72 OT
10/12/21ARutgers68-70
04/12/21HIowa77-70
01/12/21HFlorida State93-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %81%89%71%
Points / game79.783.874.4
Allowed / game64.261.867.4
Point differential+15.4+22.0+7.0
Avg total143.9145.6141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%78%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %88%92%75%
Points / game85.687.779.2
Allowed / game66.564.273.2
Point differential+19.1+23.4+6.0
Avg total152.1151.9152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1614288%85.666.5+19.1
2 USC1614288%75.463.5+11.9
3 Wisconsin1614288%72.165.1+6.9
4 UCLA1311285%80.666.8+13.8
5 Michigan State1714382%74.765.6+9.1
6 Illinois1613381%79.764.2+15.4
7 Iowa1713476%86.271.7+14.5
8 Indiana1612475%74.962.2+12.7
9 Ohio State1511473%74.669.5+5.1
10 Minnesota1510567%69.766.3+3.3
11 Oregon1711665%72.867.8+5.1
12 Rutgers1610662%69.065.1+3.9
13 Northwestern159660%77.767.1+10.6
14 Penn State158753%66.564.7+1.7
15 Washington158753%69.771.5-1.8
16 Maryland179853%70.969.0+1.9
17 Michigan147750%71.466.9+4.4
18 Nebraska1861233%73.479.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Illinois26431988
Purdue37322796
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