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Illinois vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-80
40-42 48-38
Position#100
Record19-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#72
Record21-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois v Purdue
05 Jan 2027
ILLI v PURD
upcoming
07 Mar 2025
ILLI88
PURD80
05 Mar 2024
ILLI71
PURD77
17 Jan 2022
ILLI88
PURD96
02 Jan 2021
ILLI66
PURD58
05 Jan 2020
ILLI63
PURD37
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
95-74
95
74
+21
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
67-110
67
110
-43
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-40
39-30
36-42
51-37
29-37
44-45
46-35
49-39
31-25
52-53
41-37
24-42
41-47
33-48
37-54
30-56
37-30
44-31
31-30
62-43
160.3Avg total
79.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.673.3156.9+10.263%
Season at home (19)83.770.8154.5+12.868%
Season away (11)83.477.6161.0+5.755%
Last 10 (10)79.281.1160.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)76.083.6159.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.5100.5169.0-32.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.176.5160.6+7.664%
vs Weaker (14)85.266.3151.5+18.971%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
51-26
40-38
37-41
44-35
36-36
54-45
48-36
42-36
37-35
36-40
37-36
47-58
31-33
35-42
37-25
21-48
37-35
39-31
50-41
50-30
155.6Avg total
80.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.270.0148.2+8.270%
Season at home (19)83.071.2154.2+11.879%
Season away (11)69.968.1138.0+1.855%
Last 10 (10)80.974.7155.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)76.875.8152.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.0164.3-1.767%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.771.1146.8+4.553%
vs Weaker (12)80.665.4146.0+15.292%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
IllinoisPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A02/03
NCAA
73.7Avg total
36.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.132.973.0+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.931.872.7+9.174%-
Last 30 away (11)38.634.773.4+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.773.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.934.973.8+4.164%-
vs Weaker (14)41.829.170.9+12.786%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A23/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H05/03
NCAA
74.5Avg total
40.1Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.632.773.3+7.979%-
Last 30 away (11)30.831.662.5-0.845%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.474.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.072.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.037.071.0-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.632.470.0+5.267%-
vs Weaker (12)37.131.068.1+6.175%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois wins
5
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Illinois v Purdue71-77
06/01/24Purdue v Illinois83-78
05/03/23Purdue v Illinois76-71
09/02/22Purdue v Illinois84-68
17/01/22Illinois v Purdue88-96 OT
02/01/21Illinois v Purdue66-58
22/01/20Purdue v Illinois62-79
06/01/20Illinois v Purdue63-37
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AMichigan93-73
26/02/25HIowa81-61
23/02/25HDuke67-110
19/02/25AWisconsin74-95
16/02/25HMichigan State65-79
12/02/25HUCLA83-78
08/02/25AMinnesota95-74
06/02/25ARutgers73-82
02/02/25HOhio State87-79
31/01/25ANebraska74-80 OT
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HRutgers100-71
01/03/25HUCLA76-66
23/02/25AIndiana58-73
19/02/25AMichigan State66-75
15/02/25HWisconsin84-94
12/02/25AMichigan73-75
08/02/25HUSC90-72
05/02/25AIowa90-81
01/02/25HIndiana81-76
25/01/25HMichigan91-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW63%
HomeWWLLW68%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %63%68%55%
Points / game83.683.783.4
Allowed / game73.370.877.6
Point differential+10.2+12.8+5.7
Avg total156.9154.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%18%
Purdue
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW70%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %70%79%55%
Points / game78.283.069.9
Allowed / game70.071.268.1
Point differential+8.2+11.8+1.8
Avg total148.2154.2138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3025583%78.467.2+11.2
2 Maryland3023777%81.866.8+15.0
3 Wisconsin3023777%81.070.4+10.5
4 Michigan3022873%79.171.4+7.7
5 Oregon3022873%76.671.2+5.5
6 UCLA3021970%74.465.1+9.3
7 Purdue3021970%78.270.0+8.2
8 Illinois30191163%83.673.3+10.2
9 Indiana30181260%75.572.4+3.0
10 Ohio State30171357%79.773.7+6.1
11 Nebraska30171357%75.672.5+3.1
12 Northwestern30161453%73.169.1+4.0
13 Penn State30151550%78.973.2+5.7
14 Iowa30151550%82.379.5+2.7
15 USC30151550%76.974.5+2.3
16 Minnesota30151550%68.269.5-1.2
17 Rutgers30141647%76.777.3-0.6
18 Washington29121741%71.375.8-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois404888
Purdue423880
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