PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illinois vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-77
40-34 31-43
Position#27
Record22-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game73.2
Illinois
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record26-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Purdue
05 Jan 2027
ILLI v PURD
upcoming
07 Mar 2025
ILLI88
PURD80
05 Mar 2024
ILLI71
PURD77
17 Jan 2022
ILLI88
PURD96
02 Jan 2021
ILLI66
PURD58
05 Jan 2020
ILLI63
PURD37
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
32-28
41-34
46-41
34-36
39-37
41-44
39-44
47-29
50-39
43-38
42-42
48-41
41-49
44-43
51-42
48-45
57-52
39-37
52-46
169.8Avg total
88.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.873.2158.0+11.676%
Season at home (19)84.969.0153.9+15.989%
Season away (10)84.481.2165.6+3.250%
Last 10 (10)88.681.2169.8+7.480%
Last 5 (5)93.087.0180.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.177.7154.8-0.644%
vs Weaker (21)87.071.3158.3+15.786%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
105-96 OT
105
96
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H23/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-25
50-42
33-20
35-40
47-39
34-42
34-32
41-37
37-25
42-34
35-43
49-33
30-35
39-38
52-33
44-35
47-36
37-40
38-35
42-39
155.7Avg total
83.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.770.2154.9+14.490%
Season at home (18)89.469.5158.9+19.9100%
Season away (11)76.871.4148.2+5.573%
Last 10 (10)83.971.8155.7+12.190%
Last 5 (5)82.673.4156.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.065.7149.7+18.3100%
vs Weaker (24)83.771.0154.8+12.783%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
IllinoisPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/03
NCAA
80.4Avg total
42.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.634.574.1+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.632.673.2+8.179%-
Last 30 away (11)37.837.975.7-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.180.4+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.637.372.9-1.833%-
vs Weaker (21)41.333.374.7+8.090%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H23/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/03
NCAA
72.5Avg total
40.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.531.472.9+10.077%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.431.474.8+12.079%-
Last 30 away (11)38.131.569.5+6.673%-
Last 10 (10)40.232.372.5+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.476.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.530.371.8+11.267%-
vs Weaker (24)41.531.773.2+9.879%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois wins
4
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Purdue v Illinois83-78
05/03/23Purdue v Illinois76-71
09/02/22Purdue v Illinois84-68
17/01/22Illinois v Purdue88-96 OT
02/01/21Illinois v Purdue66-58
22/01/20Purdue v Illinois62-79
06/01/20Illinois v Purdue63-37
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AWisconsin91-83
29/02/24HMinnesota105-97
24/02/24HIowa95-85
21/02/24APenn State89-90
17/02/24AMaryland85-80
14/02/24HMichigan97-68
10/02/24AMichigan State80-88
04/02/24HNebraska87-84 OT
31/01/24AOhio State87-75
27/01/24HIndiana70-62
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HMichigan State80-74
25/02/24AMichigan84-76
23/02/24HRutgers96-68
18/02/24AOhio State69-73
16/02/24HMinnesota84-76
11/02/24HIndiana79-59
04/02/24AWisconsin75-69
31/01/24HNorthwestern105-96 OT
28/01/24ARutgers68-60
24/01/24HMichigan99-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %76%89%50%
Points / game84.884.984.4
Allowed / game73.269.081.2
Point differential+11.6+15.9+3.2
Avg total158.0153.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%63%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %90%100%73%
Points / game84.789.476.8
Allowed / game70.269.571.4
Point differential+14.4+19.9+5.5
Avg total154.9158.9148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%61%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2926390%84.770.2+14.4
2 Illinois2922776%84.873.2+11.6
3 Nebraska3021970%76.569.3+7.2
4 Northwestern2920969%74.469.6+4.8
5 Oregon29191066%76.272.6+3.6
6 Minnesota29181162%76.671.0+5.6
7 Wisconsin29181162%74.469.6+4.8
8 Iowa30181260%83.878.9+5.0
9 Ohio State30181260%74.569.6+4.9
10 Michigan State29171259%74.466.5+7.9
11 Indiana29161355%73.275.1-1.9
12 Washington30161453%81.077.3+3.7
13 Rutgers29151452%66.366.0+0.4
14 Maryland30151550%69.665.0+4.6
15 UCLA29141548%66.265.5+0.7
16 Penn State30141647%75.674.5+1.1
17 USC29121741%74.474.8-0.4
18 Michigan3082227%73.679.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois403171
Purdue344377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.