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Illinois vs Purdue Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#126
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois v Purdue
05 Jan 2027
ILLI v PURD
upcoming
07 Mar 2025
ILLI88
PURD80
05 Mar 2024
ILLI71
PURD77
17 Jan 2022
ILLI88
PURD96
02 Jan 2021
ILLI66
PURD58
05 Jan 2020
ILLI63
PURD37
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
120-45
120
45
+75
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
108-86
108
86
+22
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
28-32
43-27
29-37
33-34
67-20
53-25
53-30
59-40
29-49
49-35
45-40
63-46
157.1Avg total
88.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.571.2175.8+33.275%
Season at home (3)113.367.0180.3+46.3100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.568.6157.1+19.970%
Last 5 (5)96.071.2167.2+24.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.767.2154.0+19.580%
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
39-39
38-38
42-34
45-33
59-38
38-40
41-29
39-35
40-42
38-31
26-48
36-33
42-39
32-20
26-38
36-28
40-31
37-28
43-34
150.3Avg total
79.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season at home (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.371.0150.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)75.671.0146.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.780.7155.3-6.033%
vs Similar (9)77.869.8147.6+8.078%
vs Weaker (18)80.872.2152.9+8.672%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +2.6+2.6
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +2.6+2.6
IllinoisPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
67-20
67
20
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.070.9+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.628.570.1+13.183%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.872.0+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.870.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.279.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.630.071.6+11.688%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.271.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.534.273.8+5.376%-
Last 30 away (13)36.631.868.4+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.331.368.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.063.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (9)37.831.969.7+5.978%-
vs Weaker (18)38.932.871.7+6.172%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois wins
5
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Purdue v Illinois82-88
08/03/25Illinois v Purdue88-80
06/03/24Illinois v Purdue71-77
06/01/24Purdue v Illinois83-78
05/03/23Purdue v Illinois76-71
09/02/22Purdue v Illinois84-68
17/01/22Illinois v Purdue88-96 OT
02/01/21Illinois v Purdue66-58
22/01/20Purdue v Illinois62-79
06/01/20Illinois v Purdue63-37
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSam Houston St.108-86
11/11/26ATexas Tech78-84
06/11/26HPenn112-70
03/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson120-45
04/04/26AUconn62-71
28/03/26HIowa71-59
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOhio80-62
10/11/26HIllinois State76-59
06/11/26HValparaiso80-83 OT
03/11/26HGonzaga78-72
29/03/26AArizona64-79
26/03/26HTexas79-77
22/03/26HMiami (FL)79-69
20/03/26HQueens Royals104-71
15/03/26AMichigan80-72
14/03/26AUCLA73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5113.378.0
Allowed / game71.267.084.0
Point differential+33.2+46.3-6.0
Avg total175.8180.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total147.5147.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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