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Michigan State vs Rutgers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-55
28-22 45-33
Position#154
Record9-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#241
Record9-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game63.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Rutgers
05 Mar 2026
MICH91
RUTG87
14 Jan 2024
MICH73
RUTG55
19 Jan 2023
MICH70
RUTG57
05 Jan 2021
MICH68
RUTG45
08 Dec 2019
MICH77
RUTG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rutgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-11
48-44
23-34
34-36
34-31
36-46
45-17
43-47
30-22
49-40
48-12
51-43
44-34
43-41
51-26
41-35
31-46
43-42
34-37
34-34
147.8Avg total
80.0Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.466.2143.6+11.256%
Season at home (13)78.963.3142.2+15.669%
Season away (3)70.778.7149.3-8.00%
Last 10 (10)80.067.8147.8+12.260%
Last 5 (5)84.070.0154.0+14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.771.4140.1-2.729%
vs Similar (17)74.371.4145.6+2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.356.3141.7+29.0100%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#152
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H28/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H02/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A10/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H16/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H23/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-17
44-23
36-41
22-35
31-37
26-39
33-25
37-38
41-30
42-31
29-29
31-41
35-29
24-29
32-45
40-31
34-41
43-45
30-27
36-30
133.6Avg total
67.3Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.363.7132.1+4.660%
Season at home (11)68.159.5127.6+8.573%
Season away (4)69.075.2144.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)67.366.3133.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)66.869.4136.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.472.7137.1-8.314%
vs Similar (14)65.160.0125.1+5.157%
vs Weaker (8)71.062.9133.9+8.175%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
Michigan StateRutgers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
38-11
38
11
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
48-12
48
12
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
37.8Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.229.063.2+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.626.361.9+9.368%-
Last 30 away (11)31.633.765.4-2.145%-
Last 10 (10)37.827.064.8+10.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.072.6+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.632.762.3-3.143%-
vs Similar (17)33.830.964.6+2.959%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.719.560.2+21.283%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#152
W
27-17
27
17
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H02/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A10/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H23/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H10/01
NCAA
64.9Avg total
32.8Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.631.062.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.428.660.0+2.961%-
Last 30 away (12)31.934.766.6-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)32.832.164.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.266.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.335.767.0-4.414%-
vs Similar (14)29.428.457.9+1.050%-
vs Weaker (8)34.830.965.6+3.975%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan State wins
3
Rutgers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24AIllinois68-71
08/01/24ANorthwestern74-88
05/01/24HPenn State92-61
30/12/23HIndiana State87-75
21/12/23HStony Brook99-55
19/12/23HOakland79-62
16/12/23HBaylor88-64
10/12/23ANebraska70-77
06/12/23HWisconsin57-70
28/11/23HGeorgia Southern86-55
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HIndiana66-57
06/01/24AIowa77-86
04/01/24AOhio State72-76
30/12/23HStonehill59-58
23/12/23HMississippi St.60-70
16/12/23HLIU Sharks83-61
10/12/23ASeton Hall70-63
06/12/23AWake Forest57-76
02/12/23HIllinois58-76
28/11/23HSt. Peters71-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %56%69%0%
Points / game77.478.970.7
Allowed / game66.263.378.7
Point differential+11.2+15.6-8.0
Avg total143.6142.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%69%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
Rutgers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeLWLWW73%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %60%73%25%
Points / game68.368.169.0
Allowed / game63.759.575.2
Point differential+4.6+8.5-6.2
Avg total132.1127.6144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1715288%85.069.5+15.5
2 Wisconsin1613381%75.265.4+9.8
3 Oregon1613381%78.871.5+7.2
4 Illinois1512380%82.766.9+15.8
5 Nebraska1713476%78.369.1+9.2
6 Minnesota1612475%77.966.8+11.1
7 Ohio State1612475%77.066.1+10.9
8 Northwestern1612475%73.066.9+6.1
9 Indiana1712571%74.472.5+1.8
10 Iowa1610662%87.177.6+9.5
11 Maryland1610662%70.663.3+7.3
12 Washington1610662%81.775.1+6.6
13 Rutgers159660%68.363.7+4.6
14 Michigan State169756%77.466.2+11.2
15 Penn State178947%76.373.5+2.8
16 USC178947%76.874.4+2.4
17 Michigan1661038%80.177.8+2.4
18 UCLA1661038%64.263.9+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State284573
Rutgers223355
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