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Illinois vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 71-68
37-34 34-34
Position#27
Record11-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#154
Record9-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Michigan State
15 Feb 2025
ILLI65
MICH79
11 Jan 2024
ILLI71
MICH68
13 Jan 2023
ILLI75
MICH66
25 Jan 2022
ILLI56
MICH55
11 Feb 2020
ILLI69
MICH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#166
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H20/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A02/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-27
43-33
40-23
44-29
41-36
35-22
39-42
59-47
36-34
43-52
44-27
30-30
49-24
48-49
48-28
56-43
46-29
50-37
32-47
46-36
156.9Avg total
87.4Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.566.8150.3+16.779%
Season at home (11)85.164.4149.5+20.791%
Season away (3)77.775.7153.3+2.033%
Last 10 (10)87.469.5156.9+17.980%
Last 5 (5)89.870.0159.8+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.675.3148.9-1.735%
vs Weaker (13)81.960.4142.3+21.5100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
38-34
38-11
48-44
23-34
34-36
34-31
36-46
45-17
43-47
30-22
49-40
48-12
51-43
44-34
43-41
51-26
41-35
31-46
43-42
148.1Avg total
80.0Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.065.9143.9+12.160%
Season at home (13)78.963.3142.2+15.669%
Season away (2)72.082.5154.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)80.068.1148.1+11.960%
Last 5 (5)86.268.2154.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.771.4140.1-2.729%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.472.0146.4+2.453%
vs Weaker (6)85.356.3141.7+29.0100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +10.1+10.12nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +10.1+10.12nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
IllinoisMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#166
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/01
NCAA
73.7Avg total
42.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.869.0+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.731.668.3+5.163%-
Last 30 away (11)32.637.570.1-4.855%-
Last 10 (10)42.031.773.7+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.831.074.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.737.470.1-4.635%-
vs Weaker (13)38.529.167.5+9.492%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
38-11
38
11
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
48-12
48
12
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
37.4Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.129.063.1+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.626.361.9+9.368%-
Last 30 away (11)31.533.765.2-2.345%-
Last 10 (10)37.427.364.7+10.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.828.068.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.632.762.3-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.630.964.5+2.859%-
vs Weaker (6)40.719.560.2+21.283%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois wins
3
Michigan State wins
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24APurdue78-83
03/01/24HNorthwestern96-66
30/12/23HFairleigh Dickinson104-71
23/12/23HMissouri97-73
17/12/23HColgate74-57
09/12/23ATennessee79-86
05/12/23HFlorida Atlantic98-89
02/12/23ARutgers76-58
25/11/23HWestern Illinois84-52
20/11/23HSouthern Univ.88-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24ANorthwestern74-88
05/01/24HPenn State92-61
30/12/23HIndiana State87-75
21/12/23HStony Brook99-55
19/12/23HOakland79-62
16/12/23HBaylor88-64
10/12/23ANebraska70-77
06/12/23HWisconsin57-70
28/11/23HGeorgia Southern86-55
23/11/23HArizona68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %79%91%33%
Points / game83.585.177.7
Allowed / game66.864.475.7
Point differential+16.7+20.7+2.0
Avg total150.3149.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%82%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15132
Win %60%69%0%
Points / game78.078.972.0
Allowed / game65.963.382.5
Point differential+12.1+15.6-10.5
Avg total143.9142.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%69%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1614288%84.469.0+15.4
2 Nebraska1613381%78.467.6+10.9
3 Minnesota1512380%78.966.3+12.6
4 Wisconsin1512380%75.565.5+9.9
5 Oregon1512380%78.771.4+7.3
6 Northwestern1512380%73.766.6+7.1
7 Illinois1411379%83.566.8+16.7
8 Ohio State1612475%77.066.1+10.9
9 Indiana1611569%74.473.2+1.2
10 Maryland1610662%70.663.3+7.3
11 Michigan State159660%78.065.9+12.1
12 Iowa159660%86.777.7+8.9
13 Washington159660%81.775.7+6.0
14 Rutgers159660%68.363.7+4.6
15 Penn State168850%76.272.2+4.0
16 USC168850%77.974.8+3.1
17 UCLA156940%65.562.2+3.3
18 Michigan1661038%80.177.8+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois373471
Michigan State343468
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