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Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-74
39-33 45-41
Position#189
Record13-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#284
Record11-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nicholls State v Incarnate Word
06 Dec 2025
NICH74
INCA67
10 Mar 2025
NICH74
INCA70
26 Feb 2024
NICH92
INCA82
18 Feb 2023
NICH84
INCA74
10 Feb 2022
NICH69
INCA58
02 Jan 2020
NICH76
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A05/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
32-33
39-31
38-32
32-34
41-30
40-32
31-36
43-36
43-60
36-31
31-38
44-42
48-49
44-30
40-29
41-47
47-30
33-37
41-41
151.2Avg total
77.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.272.7148.9+3.452%
Season at home (10)83.963.3147.2+20.680%
Season away (15)71.079.0150.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)77.873.4151.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)81.074.8155.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.5100.0165.5-34.50%
vs Similar (12)73.176.6149.7-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.067.7148.7+13.371%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
41-37
39-34
50-44
33-21
37-43
31-32
39-33
31-36
38-31
36-33
31-44
38-39
40-31
39-36
20-32
39-36
39-48
36-34
33-35
145.3Avg total
72.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.873.3144.1-2.541%
Season at home (13)75.569.6145.1+5.854%
Season away (14)66.476.7143.1-10.329%
Last 10 (10)72.772.6145.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)71.675.4147.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.977.2140.2-14.325%
vs Similar (13)72.173.1145.2-1.038%
vs Weaker (5)84.064.0148.0+20.080%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
Nicholls StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H17/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
38.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.571.9+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.829.669.4+10.367%-
Last 30 away (18)35.837.873.6-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.674.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.477.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (12)35.235.871.0-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.432.672.9+7.871%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.968.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.034.770.7+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)31.135.166.2-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.969.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.436.065.4-6.625%-
vs Similar (13)34.135.269.2-1.146%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nicholls State wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23HTexas A&M-CC74-78
11/02/23ASE Louisiana88-77
10/02/23HNew Orleans84-59
05/02/23AHouston Christian92-91
28/01/23AIncarnate Word67-69
27/01/23ATexas A&M-CC86-96
21/01/23AMcNeese State71-68
20/01/23HMcNeese State73-64
14/01/23HNorthwestern St.77-63
13/01/23ALamar66-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23AMcNeese State76-78 OT
11/02/23HHouston Christian78-84
10/02/23HLamar59-68
04/02/23ANew Orleans78-70
03/02/23ASE Louisiana67-77
28/01/23HNicholls State69-67
27/01/23HMcNeese State70-65
22/01/23ALamar70-64
20/01/23AHouston Christian89-78
14/01/23HSE Louisiana71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %52%80%33%
Points / game76.283.971.0
Allowed / game72.763.379.0
Point differential+3.4+20.6-8.0
Avg total148.9147.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%70%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (1)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLWWLL54%
AwayWWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%54%29%
Points / game70.875.566.4
Allowed / game73.369.676.7
Point differential-2.5+5.8-10.3
Avg total144.1145.1143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %11%8%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.2719870%75.072.3+2.7
2 Stephen F. Austin2718967%76.567.5+9.0
3 Texas A&M-CC2718967%80.272.6+7.6
4 Nicholls State25131252%76.272.7+3.4
5 SE Louisiana27141352%77.376.9+0.4
6 UTRGV27131448%77.277.5-0.3
7 TX A&M Commerce27111641%70.071.9-1.9
8 Incarnate Word27111641%70.873.3-2.5
9 Lamar2791833%67.873.6-5.8
10 Houston Christian2781930%78.083.9-5.9
11 McNeese State2781930%68.374.9-6.6
12 New Orleans2571828%71.480.4-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State394584
Incarnate Word334174
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