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Incarnate Word vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 66-71
29-26 37-45
Position#284
Record11-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#75
Record19-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Northwestern St.
17 Jan 2026
INCA76
NORT74
05 Dec 2024
INCA70
NORT72
17 Feb 2024
INCA61
NORT81
23 Feb 2023
INCA66
NORT71
17 Feb 2022
INCA64
NORT88
10 Feb 2021
INCA67
NORT68
08 Jan 2020
INCA66
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
50-44
33-21
37-43
31-32
39-33
31-36
38-31
36-33
31-44
38-39
40-31
39-36
20-32
39-36
39-48
36-34
33-35
33-39
41-45
146.5Avg total
73.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.973.7144.6-2.839%
Season at home (13)75.569.6145.1+5.854%
Season away (15)66.977.2144.1-10.327%
Last 10 (10)73.073.5146.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.076.8149.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)63.378.7142.0-15.317%
vs Similar (13)72.173.1145.2-1.038%
vs Weaker (5)84.064.0148.0+20.080%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
A20/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
88-65
88
65
+23
A21/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H27/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A05/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A10/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
38-45
39-33
49-32
36-30
46-33
45-30
35-35
53-40
41-36
35-28
37-40
36-35
52-47
42-36
30-28
33-43
48-33
34-29
31-39
152.1Avg total
81.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.772.1146.8+2.568%
Season at home (13)75.867.8143.7+8.077%
Season away (15)73.775.9149.5-2.260%
Last 10 (10)81.370.8152.1+10.590%
Last 5 (5)75.671.6147.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.075.6147.6-3.643%
vs Similar (7)68.175.6143.7-7.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.570.6149.1+7.980%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +3.9+3.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +3.9+3.9
Incarnate WordNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.168.4-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.034.770.7+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)30.935.466.3-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.069.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.873.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.236.465.6-7.217%-
vs Similar (13)34.135.269.2-1.146%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A21/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A05/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H18/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
39.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.869.2-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.834.470.1+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)33.335.168.4-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.333.773.0+5.690%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.270.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.435.965.3-6.414%-
vs Similar (7)33.636.470.0-2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.533.370.8+4.380%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
6
Northwestern St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ANicholls State74-84
17/02/23AMcNeese State76-78 OT
11/02/23HHouston Christian78-84
10/02/23HLamar59-68
04/02/23ANew Orleans78-70
03/02/23ASE Louisiana67-77
28/01/23HNicholls State69-67
27/01/23HMcNeese State70-65
22/01/23ALamar70-64
20/01/23AHouston Christian89-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HNew Orleans65-68
17/02/23HSE Louisiana81-76
11/02/23HTX A&M Commerce72-64
10/02/23ATX A&M Commerce88-82
05/02/23ALamar72-68
03/02/23AHouston Christian94-76
28/01/23HLamar80-65
27/01/23HHouston Christian82-63
21/01/23ANew Orleans88-65
20/01/23ASE Louisiana91-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeLWWLL54%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %39%54%27%
Points / game70.975.566.9
Allowed / game73.769.677.2
Point differential-2.8+5.8-10.3
Avg total144.6145.1144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %68%77%60%
Points / game74.775.873.7
Allowed / game72.167.875.9
Point differential+2.5+8.0-2.2
Avg total146.8143.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2819968%77.068.2+8.8
2 Texas A&M-CC2819968%80.171.9+8.2
3 Northwestern St.2819968%74.772.1+2.5
4 SE Louisiana29161355%77.576.2+1.2
5 Nicholls State28141450%76.573.3+3.2
6 UTRGV30151550%76.674.8+1.8
7 TX A&M Commerce29121741%70.272.1-1.8
8 Incarnate Word28111739%70.973.7-2.8
9 Houston Christian29101934%78.883.4-4.7
10 New Orleans2791833%71.979.9-8.0
11 Lamar2992031%67.874.6-6.8
12 McNeese State2982128%68.275.3-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word293766
Northwestern St.264571
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