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Northwestern St. vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 81-64
43-32 38-32
Position#75
Record20-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#284
Record12-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Northwestern St. v Incarnate Word
16 Jan 2027
NORT v INCA
upcoming
23 Feb 2026
NORT54
INCA49
03 Mar 2025
NORT73
INCA57
13 Jan 2024
NORT97
INCA71
01 Mar 2023
NORT81
INCA64
27 Jan 2022
NORT79
INCA70
07 Jan 2022
NORT83
INCA80
06 Jan 2021
NORT67
INCA75
12 Feb 2020
NORT70
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H27/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A05/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A10/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
46-33
45-30
35-35
53-40
41-36
35-28
37-40
36-35
52-47
42-36
30-28
33-43
48-33
34-29
31-39
26-29
45-37
39-34
36-49
149.1Avg total
78.0Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.672.3146.9+2.367%
Season at home (13)75.867.8143.7+8.077%
Season away (17)73.675.7149.3-2.159%
Last 10 (10)78.071.1149.1+6.980%
Last 5 (5)72.871.4144.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
vs Similar (7)68.175.6143.7-7.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)78.170.3148.4+7.881%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
39-33
31-36
38-31
36-33
31-44
38-39
40-31
39-36
20-32
39-36
39-48
36-34
33-35
33-39
41-45
29-26
37-45
40-27
39-48
145.5Avg total
71.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.073.6144.6-2.640%
Season at home (15)75.170.1145.1+5.053%
Season away (15)66.977.2144.1-10.327%
Last 10 (10)71.673.9145.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)74.678.4153.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.178.5141.6-15.518%
vs Similar (14)72.673.2145.8-0.643%
vs Weaker (5)84.064.0148.0+20.080%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -3.5-3.5
Northwestern St.Incarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A05/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
37.9Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.868.4+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.733.268.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)33.834.268.1-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.471.3+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.269.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.832.263.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (7)33.636.470.0-2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.833.069.8+3.875%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H25/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.367.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.133.369.5+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)30.735.366.0-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.869.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.467.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.635.163.7-6.527%-
vs Similar (14)34.534.669.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Northwestern St. wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23ATexas A&M-CC75-83
24/02/23AIncarnate Word71-66
18/02/23HNew Orleans65-68
17/02/23HSE Louisiana81-76
11/02/23HTX A&M Commerce72-64
10/02/23ATX A&M Commerce88-82
05/02/23ALamar72-68
03/02/23AHouston Christian94-76
28/01/23HLamar80-65
27/01/23HHouston Christian82-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HTX A&M Commerce79-75
24/02/23HNorthwestern St.66-71
18/02/23ANicholls State74-84
17/02/23AMcNeese State76-78 OT
11/02/23HHouston Christian78-84
10/02/23HLamar59-68
04/02/23ANew Orleans78-70
03/02/23ASE Louisiana67-77
28/01/23HNicholls State69-67
27/01/23HMcNeese State70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWWWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %67%77%59%
Points / game74.675.873.6
Allowed / game72.367.875.7
Point differential+2.3+8.0-2.1
Avg total146.9143.7149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)60% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWLLLW53%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %40%53%27%
Points / game71.075.166.9
Allowed / game73.670.177.2
Point differential-2.6+5.0-10.3
Avg total144.6145.1144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin30201067%76.567.8+8.8
2 Texas A&M-CC30201067%80.272.4+7.8
3 Northwestern St.30201067%74.672.3+2.3
4 SE Louisiana31181358%77.675.8+1.8
5 Nicholls State30161453%75.872.5+3.2
6 UTRGV31161552%77.475.5+1.9
7 TX A&M Commerce31131842%70.872.5-1.7
8 Incarnate Word30121840%71.073.6-2.6
9 New Orleans29101934%72.379.8-7.5
10 Houston Christian31102132%77.882.8-5.0
11 McNeese State3192229%68.875.4-6.5
12 Lamar3192229%67.974.5-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.433881
Incarnate Word323264
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