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Northwestern St. vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 79-70
30-26 49-44
Position#334
Record3-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#344
Record4-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Northwestern St. v Incarnate Word
16 Jan 2027
NORT v INCA
upcoming
23 Feb 2026
NORT54
INCA49
03 Mar 2025
NORT73
INCA57
13 Jan 2024
NORT97
INCA71
01 Mar 2023
NORT81
INCA64
27 Jan 2022
NORT79
INCA70
07 Jan 2022
NORT83
INCA80
06 Jan 2021
NORT67
INCA75
12 Feb 2020
NORT70
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#516
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H11/12
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
49-89
49
89
-40
A15/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
68-104
68
104
-36
A29/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A06/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H07/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H08/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-25
39-42
15-41
34-48
25-36
36-44
30-58
38-46
34-43
33-46
46-39
37-41
37-33
42-47
40-40
34-39
24-28
34-41
31-44
46-41
152.7Avg total
70.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)68.782.7151.4-14.116%
Season at home (6)79.074.0153.0+5.050%
Season away (13)63.986.8150.7-22.80%
Last 10 (10)70.582.2152.7-11.720%
Last 5 (5)74.278.6152.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)67.783.8151.5-16.114%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (4)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#197
L
55-85
55
85
-30
A16/12
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Texas
#94
L
33-78
33
78
-45
A29/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
90-45
90
45
+45
H02/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
56-87
56
87
-31
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H21/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-39
32-46
27-45
32-34
14-39
19-39
43-30
47-15
17-50
39-37
39-46
41-37
30-27
30-23
24-32
40-48
24-31
41-37
28-49
44-33
137.1Avg total
63.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)66.576.5142.9-10.020%
Season at home (13)70.272.3142.5-2.131%
Season away (7)59.484.3143.7-24.90%
Last 10 (10)63.473.7137.1-10.320%
Last 5 (5)68.272.6140.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)61.479.5140.9-18.26%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.968.4134.3-2.643%
vs Weaker (5)75.067.2142.2+7.840%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: -11.9-11.92nd half2nd half: -6.2-6.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: -11.9-11.92nd half2nd half: -6.2-6.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
Northwestern St.Incarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#516
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H11/12
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
15-41
15
41
-26
A15/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/12
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A29/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A15/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A22/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
33.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.938.272.1-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.833.271.0+4.769%-
Last 30 away (17)30.942.172.9-11.26%-
Last 10 (10)33.238.771.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.872.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)30.740.371.0-9.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.830.870.5+9.075%-
vs Weaker (4)45.534.079.5+11.575%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#197
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A16/12
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A21/12
NCAA
Texas
#94
L
14-39
14
39
-25
A29/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H02/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
17-50
17
50
-33
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H21/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H22/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
26.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.437.267.6-6.837%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.736.568.2-4.842%-
Last 30 away (11)28.338.466.6-10.127%-
Last 10 (10)26.938.865.7-11.920%-
Last 5 (5)29.037.066.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)26.539.365.8-12.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.132.665.7+0.657%-
vs Weaker (5)38.036.074.0+2.060%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Northwestern St. wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22ANew Orleans77-85
21/01/22ANicholls State58-69
15/01/22ASE Louisiana74-79
08/01/22HNew Orleans79-80
07/01/22HIncarnate Word83-80
06/01/22ATexas A&M-CC67-89
29/12/21ABaylor68-104
21/12/21ATexas A&M61-80
15/12/21ALSU49-89
11/12/21HDallas Christian89-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HMcNeese State72-82
21/01/22HHouston Christian65-68
15/01/22ATexas A&M-CC64-80
08/01/22HHouston Christian60-50
07/01/22ANorthwestern St.80-83
07/01/22HNicholls State56-87
02/01/22HDallas Christian90-45
29/12/21ATexas33-78
21/12/21APurdue59-79
16/12/21ARice55-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL16%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19613
Win %16%50%0%
Points / game68.779.063.9
Allowed / game82.774.086.8
Point differential-14.1+5.0-22.8
Avg total151.4153.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLWLL31%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %20%31%0%
Points / game66.570.259.4
Allowed / game76.572.384.3
Point differential-10.1-2.1-24.9
Avg total142.9142.5143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TX A&M Commerce110100%65.062.0+3.0
2 Texas A&M-CC2115671%77.767.7+10.0
3 Stephen F. Austin2012860%73.469.3+4.1
4 New Orleans1911858%76.372.4+3.9
5 Nicholls State2011955%79.771.8+8.0
6 SE Louisiana20101050%78.076.7+1.4
7 McNeese State2081240%76.272.8+3.4
8 Houston Christian1761135%71.272.2-1.0
9 UTRGV2061430%73.278.5-5.3
10 Incarnate Word2041620%66.576.5-10.1
11 Northwestern St.1931616%68.782.7-14.1
12 Lamar2021810%61.571.5-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.304979
Incarnate Word264470
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