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Incarnate Word vs UTRGV Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-106
42-44 51-62
Position#287
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game72.5
vs
UTRGV 🏆
USA
Position#137
Record9-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Incarnate Word v UTRGV
04 Jan 2027
INCA v UTRG
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
INCA93
UTRG106
20 Jan 2025
INCA78
UTRG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
51-33
39-32
40-38
36-32
37-24
29-44
38-36
19-28
32-35
19-28
27-28
30-34
46-40
29-38
29-42
22-37
49-42
41-31
34-50
139.1Avg total
68.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.972.5148.4+3.443%
Season at home (11)85.068.9153.9+16.182%
Season away (10)65.976.5142.4-10.60%
Last 10 (10)68.670.5139.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)65.274.0139.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.475.3139.8-10.911%
vs Similar (8)67.269.5136.8-2.238%
vs Weaker (13)83.268.2151.4+14.985%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H06/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H17/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A24/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-35
45-50
39-35
30-36
28-28
31-35
44-29
36-38
33-42
36-35
28-28
35-36
46-30
33-46
31-29
37-36
31-24
37-27
24-20
40-35
136.2Avg total
68.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.768.4141.1+4.447%
Season at home (10)75.663.9139.5+11.760%
Season away (9)69.673.3142.9-3.833%
Last 10 (10)68.867.4136.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)68.462.2130.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.081.8153.8-9.840%
vs Similar (12)67.472.8140.2-5.325%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.067.0146.0+12.062%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.4-1.4
Incarnate WordUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
64.0Avg total
30.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.566.8-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.932.771.6+6.179%-
Last 30 away (16)28.534.162.6-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)30.333.764.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)28.233.661.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)27.336.363.7-9.022%-
vs Similar (8)29.431.160.5-1.825%-
vs Weaker (13)39.932.972.8+7.077%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H17/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A27/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
32.8Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.668.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.430.068.4+8.488%-
Last 30 away (14)32.035.667.6-3.621%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.062.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.026.258.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.234.870.0+0.440%-
vs Similar (12)32.733.666.2-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.130.969.0+7.269%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
3
UTRGV wins
DateGameScore
06/01/26UTRGV v Incarnate Word80-67
18/02/25UTRGV v Incarnate Word60-66
20/01/25Incarnate Word v UTRGV78-85
31/12/23UTRGV v Incarnate Word77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26AHouston Christian75-81
24/01/26HTexas A&M-CC71-79
19/01/26HEast Texas A&M58-80
17/01/26HNorthwestern St.76-74
13/01/26AStephen F. Austin46-56
11/01/26ALamar51-63
06/01/26AUTRGV67-80
03/01/26HHouston Christian73-56
30/12/25HSE Louisiana79-70
21/12/25HNorthern Arizona90-66
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26ATexas A&M-CC64-55
24/01/26AHouston Christian68-51
20/01/26HSE Louisiana68-65
17/01/26HMcNeese State79-76
13/01/26ANorthwestern St.63-64
10/01/26AEast Texas A&M69-77
06/01/26HIncarnate Word80-67
03/01/26HTexas A&M-CC59-63
31/12/25HNicholls State69-71
30/12/25HNew Orleans69-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%82%0%
Points / game75.985.065.9
Allowed / game72.568.976.5
Point differential+3.4+16.1-10.6
Avg total148.4153.9142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game72.775.669.6
Allowed / game68.463.973.3
Point differential+4.4+11.7-3.8
Avg total141.1139.5142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2118386%78.165.5+12.6
2 McNeese State2117481%83.167.8+15.3
3 Texas A&M-CC22121055%73.067.0+6.0
4 Lamar21111052%72.669.0+3.7
5 UTRGV1991047%72.768.4+4.4
6 Incarnate Word2191243%75.972.5+3.4
7 New Orleans2291341%76.380.1-3.9
8 Nicholls State2181338%74.076.9-2.8
9 Houston Christian2281436%69.574.4-5.0
10 Northwestern St.2061430%72.576.9-4.3
11 SE Louisiana2161529%65.369.7-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word425193
UTRGV4462106
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