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Incarnate Word vs UTRGV Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 78-85
37-33 41-52
Position#190
Record9-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game69.2
vs
UTRGV 🏆
USA
Position#186
Record11-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Incarnate Word v UTRGV
04 Jan 2027
INCA v UTRG
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
INCA93
UTRG106
20 Jan 2025
INCA78
UTRG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
46-72
46
72
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
26-28
21-28
25-44
48-30
45-39
50-23
51-34
52-21
47-27
26-18
29-31
30-39
28-33
36-41
40-40
30-40
52-48
26-33
37-36
139.6Avg total
73.8Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.869.2145.9+7.650%
Season at home (10)84.665.4150.0+19.270%
Season away (8)67.073.9140.9-6.925%
Last 10 (10)73.865.8139.6+8.050%
Last 5 (5)66.871.8138.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.776.8140.4-13.111%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.378.5150.8-6.210%
vs Weaker (10)83.466.3149.7+17.180%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
52-84
52
84
-32
H07/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H19/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#555
W
106-56
106
56
+50
H21/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
88-44
88
44
+44
H31/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A04/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A11/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-46
29-38
41-31
31-29
34-28
44-45
43-23
63-33
44-18
44-26
43-30
33-34
38-36
37-43
26-41
48-38
26-27
31-28
24-27
33-39
139.5Avg total
73.5Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.770.5149.2+8.261%
Season at home (10)81.163.2144.3+17.990%
Season away (8)75.679.6155.2-4.025%
Last 10 (10)73.566.0139.5+7.560%
Last 5 (5)67.868.6136.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.479.8144.2-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.784.8154.5-15.20%
vs Weaker (12)81.562.8144.3+18.792%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.0+4.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.0+4.0
Incarnate WordUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H18/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
35.8Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.669.0-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.732.870.5+4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)31.036.567.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.829.865.6+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.263.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)26.935.962.8-9.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.037.670.6-4.620%-
vs Weaker (10)41.330.872.1+10.580%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H07/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H19/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#555
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H31/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A04/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A11/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A18/01
NCAA
64.9Avg total
34.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.268.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.730.365.0+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)33.538.171.6-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)34.230.764.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.263.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.937.967.8-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.340.275.5-4.833%-
vs Weaker (12)37.727.565.2+10.283%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Incarnate Word wins
1
UTRGV wins
DateGameScore
31/12/23UTRGV v Incarnate Word77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HTexas A&M-CC63-69
14/01/25HNicholls State82-88
11/01/25AHouston Christian76-81
07/01/25ALamar58-72
04/01/25AStephen F. Austin55-49
29/12/24HTexas Lutheran99-48
19/12/24HSchreiner Mountaineers101-57
15/12/24HOur Lady Of The Lake93-69
11/12/24ADuke46-72
07/12/24HTX A&M Commerce65-53
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AHouston Christian57-66
14/01/25HTX A&M Commerce57-55
11/01/25ATexas A&M-CC74-79
07/01/25ASE Louisiana75-79
04/01/25ANew Orleans76-64
31/12/24HDallas Christian88-44
21/12/24HCBS Ambassadors106-56
19/12/24HSouthern Utah78-73
14/12/24HNorthern New Mexico72-60
07/12/24HLamar52-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%70%25%
Points / game76.884.667.0
Allowed / game69.265.473.9
Point differential+7.6+19.2-6.9
Avg total145.9150.0140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%60%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTRGV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL61%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%90%25%
Points / game78.781.175.6
Allowed / game70.563.279.6
Point differential+8.2+17.9-4.0
Avg total149.2144.3155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1914574%77.564.4+13.1
2 Texas A&M-CC1913668%81.568.4+13.1
3 UTRGV1811761%78.770.5+8.2
4 Nicholls State1911858%74.670.1+4.6
5 SE Louisiana1911858%71.868.6+3.2
6 Lamar1910953%72.868.2+4.6
7 Incarnate Word189950%76.869.2+7.6
8 Northwestern St.1991047%71.570.1+1.4
9 Stephen F. Austin1981142%64.364.8-0.5
10 Houston Christian1871139%66.770.7-4.0
11 New Orleans1941521%70.183.7-13.7
12 TX A&M Commerce1921711%63.880.3-16.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word374178
UTRGV335285
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