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Ferro vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 97-84
15-24 24-20 30-20 28-20
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game82.0
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game82.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ferro v Penarol
13 Nov 2026
FERR v PENA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FERR80
PENA78
24 Apr 2026
FERR97
PENA91
28 Sep 2025
FERR97
PENA84
09 Oct 2024
FERR84
PENA82
13 Nov 2023
FERR80
PENA73
19 Jan 2023
FERR88
PENA102
02 Apr 2022
FERR90
PENA78
20 Jan 2021
FERR90
PENA98
16 Feb 2020
FERR80
PENA69
14 Dec 2018
FERR82
PENA77
30 Apr 2018
FERR77
PENA89
19 Apr 2017
FERR63
PENA80
05 Oct 2016
FERR78
PENA52
03 Mar 2016
FERR78
PENA90
15 Oct 2015
FERR97
PENA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
L
75-92
75
92
-17
72avg 72
H27/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
57-76
57
76
-19
44avg 72
A30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
77-64
77
64
+13
73avg 72
A31/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 72
H03/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 72
A06/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
63avg 72
A08/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
76-73
76
73
+3
70avg 72
H12/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 72
H13/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
58avg 72
A17/06
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
78avg 72
A25/09
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
14-16
26-23
17-25
8-24
14-21
21-15
14-16
27-14
15-20
20-13
15-17
23-17
21-17
22-21
25-14
15-25
11-17
22-18
23-25
18-21
13-20
18-12
22-16
20-20
12-19
13-12
31-22
23-14
8-19
20-20
21-21
20-15
14-30
20-27
16-14
22-25
20-22
27-24
18-11
151.7Avg total
74.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.777.0151.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)75.276.8152.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.178.7155.8-1.650%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.081.0164.0+2.067%
vs Weaker (2)81.065.5146.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 70
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 70
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 70
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 70
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 70
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 70
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 70
H08/05
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
110-81
110
81
+29
113avg 70
H10/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
72avg 70
H20/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 70
A26/09
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-11
21-20
9-23
27-16
29-19
17-16
16-20
20-18
21-16
10-27
24-18
12-20
26-20
16-24
19-11
25-17
15-24
18-15
21-29
18-29
20-17
21-17
12-23
26-20
28-15
23-16
22-23
21-14
37-29
25-24
27-14
29-20
25-14
21-16
14-25
19-21
21-20
18-17
16-24
160.6Avg total
82.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.278.4160.6+3.840%
Last 5 (5)88.679.6168.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.480.7157.1-4.331%
vs Weaker (15)85.577.3162.9+8.253%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
FerroPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H03/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H12/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H13/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A17/06
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A25/09
Liga A
74.0Avg total
33.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.578.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.579.5+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)38.040.378.3-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)33.640.474.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.140.277.3-3.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.139.580.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker (2)47.533.581.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/05
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H20/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/09
Liga A
83.4Avg total
45.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.281.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.938.583.4+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.980.2-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.283.4+7.050%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.888.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.840.480.2-0.646%-
vs Weaker (15)44.540.184.5+4.467%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ferro wins
3
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Penarol v Ferro73-75
09/10/24Ferro v Penarol84-82 OT
13/05/24Penarol v Ferro70-86
14/11/23Ferro v Penarol80-73
19/01/23Ferro v Penarol88-102
26/11/22Penarol v Ferro69-64
03/04/22Ferro v Penarol90-78
02/12/21Penarol v Ferro80-89
10/10/21Penarol v Ferro97-101 OT
20/01/21Ferro v Penarol90-98 OT
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/25APlatense87-82
17/06/25ABoca Juniors70-86
13/06/25HBoca Juniors72-74
12/06/25HBoca Juniors76-73
08/06/25ABoca Juniors71-69
06/06/25ABoca Juniors71-85
03/06/25HGimnasia91-69
31/05/25AGimnasia77-64
30/05/25AGimnasia57-76
27/05/25HGimnasia75-92
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25ASan Lorenzo74-82
20/05/25HRiachuelo89-75
10/05/25HZarate110-81
08/05/25HIndependiente de Oliva99-74
04/05/25AObera TC71-86
03/05/25AUnion De Santa Fe79-85
27/04/25HFerro73-75
25/04/25HPlatense75-79
10/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba89-71
05/04/25ASan Lorenzo63-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Martin110100%76.049.0+27.0
2 Boca Juniors110100%82.067.0+15.0
3 San Lorenzo110100%82.074.0+8.0
4 Regatas110100%91.085.0+6.0
5 Ferro110100%87.082.0+5.0
6 Instituto de Cordoba220100%73.071.5+1.5
7 Quimsa1010%72.073.0-1.0
8 Olimpico1010%71.073.0-2.0
9 Platense1010%82.087.0-5.0
10 La Union1010%85.091.0-6.0
11 Penarol1010%74.082.0-8.0
12 Racing de Chivilcoy1010%67.082.0-15.0
13 Atenas1010%49.076.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro1524302897
Penarol2420202084
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